Short Trade on PENDLE

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29 Sep 2026 at 13:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PENDLE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 85.69 PENDLE at 2.334$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2754 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.4271 (4 %)

PENDLE SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 13:15 → 19:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 2.3337$

Qty 85.6913 PENDLE

Size 199.9777$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 2.2754 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5$

SL 2.4271 (-4%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.62

Status loss PnL -0.32% / -0.63$ MAE -1.27% MFE +0.69% 0.2R expires 29 Sep 19:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165257)

#63 / 83 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3391

Quality Score

0.441

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

3.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 13:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#63 / 83 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.00 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#63 / 83 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.00 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.36×ATR
4h	clear	0.74×ATR
1d	clear	2.04×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 12:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4381

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 28.1%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : alt_capitulation

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	34.9%
1h	63.5%
4h	14.3%
24h	46.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	38.1%	-0.05%
4h	31.8%	-2.06%
24h	58.7%	-0.15%

Dispersion : 0.209

Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 13:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5040

Score SMA

0.5934

Rank

#70 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2159

Rank Norm SMA

0.4055

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6058	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.65% · r3d: -6.72% · ema21_slope: 1.3103% · dist_ema21: 0.330%
Force Relative	25%	0.4575	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.49% · rs_3d: -6.00% · beta_24h: 0.645
Volume	20%	0.4447	rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: 0.747 · trend: 29.48%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7928	ADX: 49.2 (trend) · Chop: 52.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.517% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 13:00

Score brut

0.4414

Score SMA

0.5083

Rank

#63 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3391

Rank Norm SMA

0.3520

Calculé le

29/09/2026 13:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2817	r1h: -0.934% · r4h: -2.946% · r1d: -2.62% · r3d: -10.27% · ema21_slope: -0.0103% · dist_ema21: -2.177%
Force Relative	25%	0.3337	rs_1h: -0.919% · rs_4h: -1.438% · rs_1d: -1.82% · rs_3d: -9.03% · beta_24h: 2.035
Volume	20%	0.4384	rvol_20: 1.46× · zscore_50: 0.191 · trend: 3.44%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5717	ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.687% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.4223

Score SMA

0.4744

Rank

#72 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1906

Rank Norm SMA

0.1731

Calculé le

29/09/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3120	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.031% · r1d: -0.97% · r3d: -9.70% · ema21_slope: -0.3510% · dist_ema21: -4.455%
Force Relative	25%	0.3966	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.532% · rs_1d: -0.59% · rs_3d: -8.41% · beta_24h: 2.919
Volume	20%	0.2885	rvol_20: 0.95× · zscore_50: -0.390 · trend: -18.49%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6433	ADX: 21.3 (weak) · Chop: 42.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.7531	ATR%: 3.741% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.002% (0.0934)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.694%	0.2R	-0.437%	0.1R	1.6×	12
2h	+0.694%	0.2R	-1.268%	0.3R	0.6×	24
4h	+0.694%	0.2R	-1.268%	0.3R	0.6×	48
6h ★	+0.694%	0.2R	-1.268%	0.3R	0.6×	72
8h	+0.956%	0.2R	-1.268%	0.3R	0.8×	96
12h	+0.956%	0.2R	-1.268%	0.3R	0.8×	144

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.81

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.63	bull_high	+12.96%	+0.45	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	—	0.46	bull_high	+1.12%	-0.61	29/09 08:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	near -0.4ATR	near 0.2ATR	0.35	bear_medium	-0.96%	-0.10	29/09 12:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 47%	late	near 0.2ATR	—	0.63	range_low	-0.73%	-0.27	29/09 12:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 166919	↑ up	bull_high	55%	early 18b 0.0ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.825	— —	1.06	below_value	-1.20 ATR	—	#92625	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:23
4h 174056	↔ neutral	bear_high	53%	mid 11b -1.2ATR	noisy_chop 41%	0.600	— —	0.95	below_value	-5.73 ATR	—	#95764	29/09 08:00 upd 29/09 12:14
1h anchor 174511	↓ down	bear_high	57%	mid 5b -1.4ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.484	near -0.4ATR near 0.2ATR	1.46	below_value	-6.29 ATR	inside	#96016	29/09 12:00 upd 29/09 13:10
15m 174439	↓ down	bear_high_confirmed	59%	late 8b -2.3ATR	noisy_chop 47%	0.596	near 0.2ATR —	3.12	below_value	-5.73 ATR	—	#95764	29/09 12:45 upd 29/09 13:01
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	18b	—	2.285×ATR	p0	+0.034×ATR	p4
4h	↓ down	mid	11b	—	3.898×ATR	p73	-1.221×ATR	p67
1h	↓ down	mid	5b	—	2.678×ATR	p58	-1.429×ATR	p70
15m	↓ down	late	8b	—	4.229×ATR	p81	-2.258×ATR	p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 2.4270584
tp_price: 2.2753575
atr: 0.03734336
expires_at: 2026-09-29T23:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 80
total: 84
score: 0.2817
delta_2h: -0.1724
extension_atr: -1.21
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3391
confidence: 0.952

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.3337	2.4271	2.2754	0.62	2.4495

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.3337
Stop Loss: 2.4271
Take Profit: 2.2754

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.4271 - 2.3337 = 0.0934
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.3337 - 2.2754 = 0.0583
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0583 / 0.0934 = 0.6242

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
199.9777	100	85.6913	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0934

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0934 = 85.65

Taille de position USD = 85.65 x 2.3337 = 199.88

Donc, tu peux acheter 85.65 avec un stoploss a 2.4271

Avec un position size USD de 199.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 85.65 x 0.0934 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 85.65 x 0.0583 = 4.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.99$

Résumé

Taille de position 85.65
Taille de position USD 199.88
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.99
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6242

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.63 $	-0.32

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.2684 %	31.69 %	13

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.3337	2.4271	2.2754	0.62	2.4495

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.3337
Stop Loss: 2.4271
Take Profit: 2.2754

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.4271 - 2.3337 = 0.0934
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.3337 - 2.2754 = 0.0583
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0583 / 0.0934 = 0.6242

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.002% (0.0934)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.694%	0.2R	-0.437%	0.1R	1.6×	12
2h	+0.694%	0.2R	-1.268%	0.3R	0.6×	24
4h	+0.694%	0.2R	-1.268%	0.3R	0.6×	48
6h ★	+0.694%	0.2R	-1.268%	0.3R	0.6×	72
8h	+0.956%	0.2R	-1.268%	0.3R	0.8×	96
12h	+0.956%	0.2R	-1.268%	0.3R	0.8×	144

computed 1 day ago

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