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Long Trade on ICP

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29 Sep 2026 at 15:15:15 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ICP (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 74.63 ICP at 3.42$ per unit. Take profit: 3.5062 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 3.3125 (3.13 %)

ICP LONG momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 15:15 → 16:20 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 3.4197$

Qty 74.6269 ICP

Size 255.2015$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 3.5062 (+2.53%)

TP $ 6.46$

SL 3.3125 (-3.13%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.81

Status win PnL +2.53% / +6.46$ MAE -2.29% MFE +4.05% 1.3R expires 30 Sep 03:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165471)
#7 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9099

Quality Score
0.663
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 15:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#7 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.13 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#7 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.13 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near -1.54×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/09 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4389
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 21.2%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 38.1%
1h 100.0%
4h 11.1%
24h 41.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 44.4% -0.01%
4h 15.9% -1.92%
24h 46.0% -1.06%
Dispersion : 0.255
Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 15:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6018
Score SMA
0.6075
Rank
#37 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5909
Rank Norm SMA
0.4454
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7549 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.31% · r3d: -1.91% · ema21_slope: 1.0242% · dist_ema21: 7.856%
Force Relative 25% 0.6263 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -1.19% · beta_24h: 0.955
Volume 20% 0.6053 rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.270 · trend: 66.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6516 ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 41.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.816% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.6625
Score SMA
0.5737
Rank
#7 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9099
Rank Norm SMA
0.5670
Calculé le
29/09/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8077 r1h: 2.144% · r4h: -0.438% · r1d: 11.57% · r3d: 5.10% · ema21_slope: 0.4486% · dist_ema21: 3.414%
Force Relative 25% 0.7250 rs_1h: 1.455% · rs_4h: -0.315% · rs_1d: 12.06% · rs_3d: 5.52% · beta_24h: 1.664
Volume 20% 0.3083 rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.079 · trend: 13.80%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6936 ADX: 35.0 (trend) · Chop: 50.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.250% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7479
Score SMA
0.6042
Rank
#6 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8930
Rank Norm SMA
0.5778
Calculé le
29/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7005 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.085% · r1d: 14.42% · r3d: 2.49% · ema21_slope: 0.0540% · dist_ema21: 6.818%
Force Relative 25% 0.8259 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.584% · rs_1d: 14.79% · rs_3d: 3.78% · beta_24h: 1.367
Volume 20% 0.7288 rvol_20: 2.18× · zscore_50: 1.491 · trend: 70.00%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7175 ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7793 ATR%: 3.662% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.135% (0.1072)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.483% 0.8R -0.687% 0.2R 3.6× 12
2h +4.047% 1.3R -0.687% 0.2R 5.9× 24
4h +4.047% 1.3R -0.687% 0.2R 5.9× 48
8h +4.047% 1.3R -2.123% 0.7R 1.9× 96
12h ★ +4.047% 1.3R -2.290% 0.7R 1.8× 144

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.28
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 40% mid — near -1.5ATR 0.51 bull_high +12.96% +0.02 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.41 bull_high +1.12% +0.58 29/09 08:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 46% mid near -0.1ATR — 0.44 range_medium -0.24% +0.79 29/09 14:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.60 range_low +0.04% -0.13 29/09 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167115 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
62%
mid 12b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.614

—

near -1.5ATR

1.54 value -1.76 ATR — #92675 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:31
4h
174192 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
66%
late 6b 1.8ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.559

—

—

2.18 above_value +2.17 ATR inside #95811 29/09 08:00
upd 29/09 12:20
1h anchor
175367 		↑ up bull_high
69%
mid 5b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.500

near -0.1ATR

—

0.68 above_value +2.70 ATR — #96401 29/09 14:00
upd 29/09 15:12
15m
175282 		↑ up bull_high
60%
early 4b 0.4ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.681

—

—

0.24 above_value +1.74 ATR — #96231 29/09 14:45
upd 29/09 15:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b — 3.277×ATR p16 +1×ATR p63
4h ↑ up late 6b — 3.93×ATR p61 +1.789×ATR p88
1h ↓ down mid 5b — 1.114×ATR p3 +1.361×ATR p71
15m ↑ up early 4b — 2.067×ATR p17 +0.384×ATR p18

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.3125
  2. tp_price: 3.50615399
  3. atr: 0.03458159
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T07:15:15+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.7857
  4. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9084
  5. rank_velocity: 0.0555
  6. pullback_depth_atr: 5.18
  7. trigger_price: 3.411
  8. fip_24h: -0.083
  9. confidence: 0.964
  10. market_structures
  11. market_structures
  12. 15m_version: 1.1
  13. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 02:30:00
                    [1] => 3.0468
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 04:15:00
                    [1] => 3.2838
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 08:15:00
                    [1] => 3.4143
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 10:30:00
                    [1] => 3.2838
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 11:45:00
                    [1] => 3.4002
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 12:45:00
                    [1] => 3.2955
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 13:45:00
                    [1] => 3.4916
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 3.3465
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 17:45:00
                    [1] => 3.3125
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.4247
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14599818962245
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2362264150943
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3871698113208
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  14. market_structures
  15. 1H_version: 1.1
  16. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-25 15:00:00
                    [1] => 3.0973
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-26 00:00:00
                    [1] => 3.217
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-26 03:00:00
                    [1] => 3.1341
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-26 07:00:00
                    [1] => 3.2493
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-26 16:00:00
                    [1] => 3.3585
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-26 20:00:00
                    [1] => 3.1167
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-27 04:00:00
                    [1] => 3.158
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-27 07:00:00
                    [1] => 3.2522
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 2.9027
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 13:00:00
                    [1] => 3.4916
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0792759766296
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.786888069728
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 29
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 20.288007716953
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    17. ¸

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 15:15 3.41970000 0%
2 15:30 3.41440000 -0.155%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.24%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.39%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2657
8.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0146
0.42%
DateTime Price Type
2026-09-29 02:30:00 3.0468 ↓ Low
2026-09-29 04:15:00 3.2838 ↑ High
2026-09-29 08:15:00 3.4143 ↑ High
2026-09-29 10:30:00 3.2838 ↓ Low
2026-09-29 11:45:00 3.4002 ↑ High
2026-09-29 12:45:00 3.2955 ↓ Low
2026-09-29 13:45:00 3.4916 ↑ High
2026-09-29 15:15:00 3.3465 ↓ Low
2026-09-29 17:45:00 3.3125 ↓ Low
2026-09-29 19:00:00 3.4247 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
17.79%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
29 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
20.29%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4098
12.37%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0146
0.42%
DateTime Price Type
2026-09-25 15:00:00 3.0973 ↓ Low
2026-09-26 00:00:00 3.217 ↑ High
2026-09-26 03:00:00 3.1341 ↓ Low
2026-09-26 07:00:00 3.2493 ↑ High
2026-09-26 16:00:00 3.3585 ↑ High
2026-09-26 20:00:00 3.1167 ↓ Low
2026-09-27 04:00:00 3.158 ↓ Low
2026-09-27 07:00:00 3.2522 ↑ High
2026-09-28 14:00:00 2.9027 ↓ Low
2026-09-29 13:00:00 3.4916 ↑ High

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.4197 3.3125 3.5062 0.81 3.2748
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.4197
  • Stop Loss: 3.3125
  • Take Profit: 3.5062

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.3125 - 3.4197 = -0.1072

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.4197 - 3.5062 = -0.0865

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0865 / -0.1072 = 0.8069

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
255.2015 100 74.6269 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1072

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1072 = -74.63

Taille de position USD = -74.63 x 3.4197 = -255.21

Donc, tu peux acheter -74.63 avec un stoploss a 3.3125

Avec un position size USD de -255.21$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -74.63 x -0.1072 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -74.63 x -0.0865 = 6.46

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.46$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -74.63
  • Taille de position USD -255.21
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.46
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8069

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.53 % 6.46 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
6.46 $ 2.53
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6872 % 21.92 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.4197 3.3125 3.5062 0.81 3.2748
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.4197
  • Stop Loss: 3.3125
  • Take Profit: 3.5062

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.3125 - 3.4197 = -0.1072

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.4197 - 3.5062 = -0.0865

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0865 / -0.1072 = 0.8069

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.135% (0.1072)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.483% 0.8R -0.687% 0.2R 3.6× 12
2h +4.047% 1.3R -0.687% 0.2R 5.9× 24
4h +4.047% 1.3R -0.687% 0.2R 5.9× 48
8h +4.047% 1.3R -2.123% 0.7R 1.9× 96
12h ★ +4.047% 1.3R -2.290% 0.7R 1.8× 144

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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