Long Trade on SKY (CatchTheWave)
With 10138.26 SKY at 0.0829$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08451 (1.89 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08215 (0.95 %)
Long Trade on SKY (CatchTheWave)
With 10138.26 SKY at 0.0829$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08451 (1.89 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08215 (0.95 %)
Position
Entry 0.08294$
Qty 10138.2605 SKY
Size 840.8268$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08451 (+1.89%)
TP $ 15.92$
SL 0.08215 (-0.95%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8803
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.90×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.04×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.61×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.152103 15m : 0.421832 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 38.1% |
| 1h | 63.5% |
| 4h | 71.4% |
| 24h | 69.8% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 46.0% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 54.0% | +0.80% |
| 24h | 69.8% | +1.09% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7265 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.48% · r3d: 2.74% · ema21_slope: 1.0833% · dist_ema21: 11.330% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6177 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.32% · rs_3d: 3.46% · beta_24h: 1.108 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.71× · zscore_50: 5.648 · trend: 288.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7157 | ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 29.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.420% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6326 | r1h: -3.322% · r4h: -1.185% · r1d: 9.11% · r3d: 8.32% · ema21_slope: 0.4154% · dist_ema21: 1.408% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5215 | rs_1h: -3.255% · rs_4h: -1.808% · rs_1d: 8.86% · rs_3d: 8.81% · beta_24h: 1.143 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3197 | rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: -0.395 · trend: -42.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7353 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 38.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.407% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7827 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.185% · r1d: 9.11% · r3d: 8.32% · ema21_slope: 0.4042% · dist_ema21: 5.507% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7715 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.808% · rs_1d: 8.86% · rs_3d: 8.81% · beta_24h: 0.575 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2412 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.268 · trend: -5.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7192 | ADX: 29.4 (trend) · Chop: 41.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6315 | ATR%: 4.105% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.668% | 0.7R | -0.130% | 0.1R | 5.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.668% | 0.7R | -1.022% | 1.1R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.668% | 0.7R | -3.328% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.668% | 0.7R | -3.328% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.668% | 0.7R | -3.328% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.74 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.39 | bull_high | +1.12% | +0.66 | 29/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.36 | range_medium | -0.24% | +0.77 | 29/09 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.39 | range_low | -0.03% | -0.24 | 29/09 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167083 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
mid 12b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.659 |
— — |
5.71 | above_value | +0.67 ATR | — | #92665 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:30
|
|
4h
174164 |
↑ up | bull_high |
58%
|
mid 4b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.614 |
— near 0.0ATR |
0.77 | value | +3.50 ATR | — | #95802 |
29/09 08:00
upd 29/09 12:19
|
|
1h
anchor
175357 |
↑ up | bull_high |
63%
|
late 22b 2.0ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.649 |
— near -0.9ATR |
0.51 | above_value | +4.67 ATR | — | #96391 |
29/09 14:00
upd 29/09 15:12
|
|
15m
175680 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
56%
|
mid 5b -1.4ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.690 |
near -0.1ATR — |
0.26 | above_value | +4.67 ATR | — | #96391 |
29/09 15:45
upd 29/09 16:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.964×ATR | p53 | +1.236×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.401×ATR | p19 | +1.394×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 22b | — | 5.187×ATR | p91 | +1.954×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.749×ATR | p70 | -1.393×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83610
-0.00128035
83503
0.152103
83580.2
-0.000924828
83503
0.421832
83761.5
-0.00265699
83539
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0.6183
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0.7186
0.1038
0.0762
1
0.0374
0.93
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1
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0.9474
0.4885
0.263
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0.55
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0
0.2587
0.74
0.3259
0.5505
0.5417
0.9238
0.7186
-2.0548
5.247
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 12:50:00 | 0.083584 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:25:00 | 0.085998 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 13:35:00 | 0.083481 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:55:00 | 0.086317 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:35:00 | 0.083624 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 16:25:00 | 0.086617 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.083925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 17:10:00 | 0.085253 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 18:35:00 | 0.087461 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 20:05:00 | 0.081601 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 05:30:00 | 0.079386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 07:30:00 | 0.0829 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 09:30:00 | 0.080371 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:30:00 | 0.083481 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:45:00 | 0.086317 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:30:00 | 0.083624 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 16:15:00 | 0.086617 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.083925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 18:30:00 | 0.087461 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 20:00:00 | 0.081601 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 20:00:00 | 0.076368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 01:00:00 | 0.078515 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 08:00:00 | 0.078155 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 13:00:00 | 0.072619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 03:00:00 | 0.086917 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 08:00:00 | 0.07825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 20:00:00 | 0.076701 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.077038 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 18:00:00 | 0.087461 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 20:00:00 | 0.081601 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08294 | 0.08215 | 0.08451 | 1.99 | 0.08878 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08215 - 0.08294 = -0.00079
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08294 - 0.08451 = -0.00157
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00157 / -0.00079 = 1.9873
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 840.8268 | 100 | 10138.2605 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00079 = -10126.58
Taille de position USD = -10126.58 x 0.08294 = -839.9
Donc, tu peux acheter -10126.58 avec un stoploss a 0.08215
Avec un position size USD de -839.9$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10126.58 x -0.00079 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10126.58 x -0.00157 = 15.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.9$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.89 % | 15.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.95 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0224 % | 107.34 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08294 | 0.08215 | 0.08451 | 1.99 | 0.08878 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08215 - 0.08294 = -0.00079
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08294 - 0.08451 = -0.00157
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00157 / -0.00079 = 1.9873
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[rr_ratio] => 1.32
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 22:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.668% | 0.7R | -0.130% | 0.1R | 5.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.668% | 0.7R | -1.022% | 1.1R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.668% | 0.7R | -3.328% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.668% | 0.7R | -3.328% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.668% | 0.7R | -3.328% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
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