Short Trade on AZTEC

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29 Sep 2026 at 20:15:20 hyperliquid

Short Trade on AZTEC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 5821.91 AZTEC at 0.0167$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01629 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01809 (8.26 %)

AZTEC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 20:15 → 02:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.01671$

Qty 5821.9078 AZTEC

Size 97.2957$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.01629 (+2.51%)

TP $ 2.45$

SL 0.01809 (-8.26%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 0.3

Status loss PnL -1.93% / -1.88$ MAE -4.06% MFE +1.54% 0.2R expires 30 Sep 02:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165965)

#81 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2403

Quality Score

0.367

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.0M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 20:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#81 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

8.26 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#81 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

8.26 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.97×ATR
4h	clear	0.83×ATR
1d	clear	3.03×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 18:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 18:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4409

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	compression	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 37.6%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : mixed

% Positive (universe)

15m	71.4%
1h	36.5%
4h	42.9%
24h	46.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	65.1%	+0.05%
4h	38.1%	-0.13%
24h	41.3%	-0.37%

Dispersion : 0.142

Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.8512

Score SMA

0.6069

Rank

#5 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9545

Rank Norm SMA

0.5781

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9768	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.95% · r3d: 14.49% · ema21_slope: 1.3900% · dist_ema21: 20.264%
Force Relative	25%	0.9639	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.11% · rs_3d: 15.22% · beta_24h: 1.312
Volume	20%	0.9850	rvol_20: 3.49× · zscore_50: 2.776 · trend: 149.19%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8011	ADX: 36.1 (trend) · Chop: 27.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.082% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3671

Score SMA

0.6224

Rank

#81 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2403

Rank Norm SMA

0.6838

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2532	r1h: -0.012% · r4h: -3.430% · r1d: -11.49% · r3d: -1.12% · ema21_slope: -0.3687% · dist_ema21: -6.173%
Force Relative	25%	0.2979	rs_1h: -0.068% · rs_4h: -3.496% · rs_1d: -11.69% · rs_3d: -0.18% · beta_24h: 1.613
Volume	20%	0.1950	rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.595 · trend: -34.65%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6651	ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 43.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.8773	ATR%: 3.368% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4070

Score SMA

0.6708

Rank

#73 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2015

Rank Norm SMA

0.7414

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5022	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.430% · r1d: -11.49% · r3d: -1.12% · ema21_slope: 0.4721% · dist_ema21: -5.843%
Force Relative	25%	0.3376	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.496% · rs_1d: -11.69% · rs_3d: -0.18% · beta_24h: 1.337
Volume	20%	0.2840	rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.012 · trend: 7.53%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7644	ADX: 36.1 (trend) · Chop: 42.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 7.137% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.259% (0.0014)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.544%	0.2R	-0.772%	0.1R	2.0×	12
2h	+1.544%	0.2R	-0.772%	0.1R	2.0×	24
4h	+1.544%	0.2R	-3.782%	0.5R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+1.544%	0.2R	-4.058%	0.5R	0.4×	72
8h	+1.544%	0.2R	-4.566%	0.6R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.544%	0.2R	-4.566%	0.6R	0.3×	144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.81

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	—	bull_high	+12.96%	+0.95	27/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.45	bull_high	+1.72%	+0.26	29/09 12:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	0.29	range_medium	-0.27%	-0.58	29/09 18:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 51%	late	—	—	0.32	range_low	+0.04%	-0.35	29/09 19:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167133	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	59%	late 12b 1.7ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.725	— —	3.49	above_value	+3.75 ATR	—	#92681	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:32
4h 175913	↑ up	bull_high	50%	early 6b -0.3ATR	noisy_chop 35%	0.649	— —	1.26	value	+2.08 ATR	—	#96575	29/09 12:00 upd 29/09 16:22
1h anchor 177030	↓ down	bear_high	55%	late 3b -2.1ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.504	— —	1.07	value	+1.03 ATR	—	#97141	29/09 18:00 upd 29/09 19:12
15m 177354	↓ down	bear_high	62%	late 18b -2.2ATR	noisy_chop 51%	0.510	— —	0.53	value	+0.93 ATR	—	#97309	29/09 19:45 upd 29/09 20:13
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	12b	—	3.882×ATR	p40	+1.69×ATR	p88
4h	↓ down	early	6b	—	2.998×ATR	p40	-0.321×ATR	p14
1h	↓ down	late	3b	—	1.378×ATR	p2	-2.145×ATR	p86
15m	↓ down	late	18b	—	4.303×ATR	p61	-2.248×ATR	p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.01808612
tp_price: 0.0162942
atr: 0.00054965
expires_at: 2026-09-30T06:15:20+00:00

Details

rank: 81
total: 83
score: 0.2467
delta_2h: -0.1815
extension_atr: -2.13
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2373
confidence: 0.976

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (3)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	20:15	0.01671200	+0.012%
2	21:15	0.01668700	-0.138%
3	22:15	0.01677000	+0.359%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.01671	0.01809	0.01629	0.3	0.01727

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.01671
Stop Loss: 0.01809
Take Profit: 0.01629

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.01809 - 0.01671 = 0.00138
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.01671 - 0.01629 = 0.00042
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00042 / 0.00138 = 0.3043

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
97.2957	97.2957	5821.9078	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00138

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00138 = 5797.1

Taille de position USD = 5797.1 x 0.01671 = 96.87

Donc, tu peux acheter 5797.1 avec un stoploss a 0.01809

Avec un position size USD de 96.87$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5797.1 x 0.00138 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5797.1 x 0.00042 = 2.43

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.43$

Résumé

Taille de position 5797.1
Taille de position USD 96.87
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.43
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3043

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	2.45 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
8.26 %	8.03 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.88 $	-1.93

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.0575 %	49.13 %	14

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.01671	0.01809	0.01629	0.3	0.01727

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.01671
Stop Loss: 0.01809
Take Profit: 0.01629

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.01809 - 0.01671 = 0.00138
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.01671 - 0.01629 = 0.00042
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00042 / 0.00138 = 0.3043

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.259% (0.0014)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.544%	0.2R	-0.772%	0.1R	2.0×	12
2h	+1.544%	0.2R	-0.772%	0.1R	2.0×	24
4h	+1.544%	0.2R	-3.782%	0.5R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+1.544%	0.2R	-4.058%	0.5R	0.4×	72
8h	+1.544%	0.2R	-4.566%	0.6R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.544%	0.2R	-4.566%	0.6R	0.3×	144

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

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