Short Trade on VIRTUAL

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29 Sep 2026 at 20:15:20 hyperliquid

Short Trade on VIRTUAL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 175.72 VIRTUAL at 0.769$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7498 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8145 (5.92 %)

VIRTUAL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 20:15 → 02:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.769$

Qty 175.716 VIRTUAL

Size 135.1239$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.7498 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.37$

SL 0.8145 (-5.92%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.42

Status loss PnL -2.04% / -2.75$ MAE -3.49% MFE +1.10% 0.2R expires 30 Sep 02:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165938)

#77 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5049

Quality Score

0.390

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

9.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 20:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#77 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#77 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.02×ATR
4h	clear	4.40×ATR
1d	clear	4.38×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/09 18:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

29/09 18:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4409

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	compression	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 37.6%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : mixed

% Positive (universe)

15m	71.4%
1h	36.5%
4h	42.9%
24h	46.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	65.1%	+0.05%
4h	38.1%	-0.13%
24h	41.3%	-0.37%

Dispersion : 0.142

Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6864

Score SMA

0.5906

Rank

#20 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7841

Rank Norm SMA

0.3916

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7873	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.50% · r3d: 3.75% · ema21_slope: 1.1671% · dist_ema21: 14.915%
Force Relative	25%	0.6913	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.34% · rs_3d: 4.48% · beta_24h: 1.419
Volume	20%	0.8205	rvol_20: 2.52× · zscore_50: 2.262 · trend: 59.39%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7549	ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 34.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 6.830% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3904

Score SMA

0.5842

Rank

#77 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5049

Rank Norm SMA

0.6527

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2947	r1h: 0.005% · r4h: -4.593% · r1d: -6.92% · r3d: -2.70% · ema21_slope: -0.1518% · dist_ema21: -3.467%
Force Relative	25%	0.2972	rs_1h: -0.051% · rs_4h: -4.659% · rs_1d: -7.11% · rs_3d: -1.76% · beta_24h: 2.723
Volume	20%	0.5044	rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: 0.204 · trend: 103.94%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5334	ADX: 13.6 (weak) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.454% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5629

Score SMA

0.6438

Rank

#19 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8481

Rank Norm SMA

0.7487

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4749	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.593% · r1d: -6.92% · r3d: -2.70% · ema21_slope: 0.1127% · dist_ema21: -3.361%
Force Relative	25%	0.3345	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.659% · rs_1d: -7.11% · rs_3d: -1.76% · beta_24h: 3.136
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 4.23× · zscore_50: 5.178 · trend: 155.63%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5456	ADX: 28.2 (trend) · Chop: 61.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.4176	ATR%: 4.747% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.917% (0.0455)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.103%	0.2R	-1.640%	0.3R	0.7×	12
2h	+1.103%	0.2R	-2.246%	0.4R	0.5×	24
4h	+1.103%	0.2R	-2.246%	0.4R	0.5×	48
6h ★	+1.103%	0.2R	-3.488%	0.6R	0.3×	72
8h	+1.103%	0.2R	-3.488%	0.6R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.103%	0.2R	-3.718%	0.6R	0.3×	144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.6

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.72	bull_high	+12.96%	+0.70	27/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	near 0.2ATR	0.58	bull_high	+1.72%	+0.31	29/09 12:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	0.57	range_medium	-0.27%	-0.23	29/09 18:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 47%	mid	—	—	0.67	range_low	+0.04%	-0.48	29/09 19:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167034	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	66%	late 12b 1.9ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.685	— —	2.52	value	+0.64 ATR	—	#92653	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:28
4h 175831	↑ up	bull_high	63%	early 10b 0.2ATR	noisy_chop 35%	0.683	— near 0.2ATR	2.13	above_value	-0.31 ATR	—	#96548	29/09 12:00 upd 29/09 16:18
1h anchor 177004	↔ neutral	bear_high_confirmed	57%	late 3b -1.7ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.498	— —	0.42	value	-2.23 ATR	—	#97115	29/09 18:00 upd 29/09 19:11
15m 177320	↓ down	bear_high	59%	mid 2b -1.2ATR	noisy_chop 47%	0.514	— —	0.88	value	-2.23 ATR	—	#97115	29/09 19:45 upd 29/09 20:03
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	12b	—	4.488×ATR	p48	+1.928×ATR	p90
4h	↓ down	early	10b	—	1.321×ATR	p0	+0.192×ATR	p14
1h	↓ down	late	3b	—	2.777×ATR	p53	-1.705×ATR	p80
15m	↓ down	mid	2b	—	0.973×ATR	p0	-1.23×ATR	p62

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.814518
tp_price: 0.74976525
atr: 0.0182112
expires_at: 2026-09-30T06:15:20+00:00

Details

rank: 79
total: 83
score: 0.2708
delta_2h: -0.1408
extension_atr: -1.49
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4734
confidence: 0.951

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.769	0.8145	0.7498	0.42	0.8539

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.769
Stop Loss: 0.8145
Take Profit: 0.7498

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8145 - 0.769 = 0.0455
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.769 - 0.7498 = 0.0192
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0192 / 0.0455 = 0.422

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
135.1239	100	175.716	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0455

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0455 = 175.82

Taille de position USD = 175.82 x 0.769 = 135.21

Donc, tu peux acheter 175.82 avec un stoploss a 0.8145

Avec un position size USD de 135.21$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 175.82 x 0.0455 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 175.82 x 0.0192 = 3.38

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.38$

Résumé

Taille de position 175.82
Taille de position USD 135.21
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.38
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.422

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.37 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.92 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-2.75 $	-2.04

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.4876 %	58.94 %	5

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.769	0.8145	0.7498	0.42	0.8539

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.769
Stop Loss: 0.8145
Take Profit: 0.7498

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8145 - 0.769 = 0.0455
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.769 - 0.7498 = 0.0192
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0192 / 0.0455 = 0.422

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.917% (0.0455)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.103%	0.2R	-1.640%	0.3R	0.7×	12
2h	+1.103%	0.2R	-2.246%	0.4R	0.5×	24
4h	+1.103%	0.2R	-2.246%	0.4R	0.5×	48
6h ★	+1.103%	0.2R	-3.488%	0.6R	0.3×	72
8h	+1.103%	0.2R	-3.488%	0.6R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.103%	0.2R	-3.718%	0.6R	0.3×	144

computed 4 days ago

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