Short Trade on DASH

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29 Sep 2026 at 20:15:21 hyperliquid

Short Trade on DASH (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3.36 DASH at 60.5$ per unit. Take profit: 58.9875 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 62.8796 (3.93 %)

DASH SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 20:15 → 02:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 60.5$

Qty 3.3619 DASH

Size 203.3942$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 58.9875 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.08$

SL 62.8796 (-3.93%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.64

Status loss PnL -0.18% / -0.37$ MAE -1.73% MFE +0.21% 0.1R expires 30 Sep 02:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165964)

#82 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0123

Quality Score

0.352

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 20:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#82 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-2

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#82 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.17×ATR
4h	near	0.49×ATR
1d	clear	2.32×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 29/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 18:00 Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

29/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 18:00

Score : -2 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4409

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	compression	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 37.6%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : mixed

% Positive (universe)

15m	71.4%
1h	36.5%
4h	42.9%
24h	46.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	65.1%	+0.05%
4h	38.1%	-0.13%
24h	41.3%	-0.37%

Dispersion : 0.142

Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5796

Score SMA

0.6198

Rank

#45 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5000

Rank Norm SMA

0.4454

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7668	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.46% · r3d: 2.45% · ema21_slope: 1.1848% · dist_ema21: 9.086%
Force Relative	25%	0.6995	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.30% · rs_3d: 3.18% · beta_24h: 1.453
Volume	20%	0.2810	rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.330 · trend: 26.36%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7896	ADX: 43.7 (trend) · Chop: 47.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.975% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3516

Score SMA

0.5503

Rank

#82 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0123

Rank Norm SMA

0.4886

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3040	r1h: -0.554% · r4h: 0.008% · r1d: -7.25% · r3d: -15.53% · ema21_slope: -0.1391% · dist_ema21: -1.069%
Force Relative	25%	0.2587	rs_1h: -0.611% · rs_4h: -0.058% · rs_1d: -7.45% · rs_3d: -14.59% · beta_24h: 2.734
Volume	20%	0.1407	rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -0.889 · trend: -80.51%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4777	ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 66.9 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.635% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3850

Score SMA

0.5472

Rank

#79 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0547

Rank Norm SMA

0.3860

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3642	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.008% · r1d: -7.25% · r3d: -15.53% · ema21_slope: -0.3780% · dist_ema21: -4.568%
Force Relative	25%	0.2693	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.058% · rs_1d: -7.45% · rs_3d: -14.59% · beta_24h: 3.083
Volume	20%	0.1587	rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.619 · trend: -66.91%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6276	ADX: 26.5 (trend) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.5726	ATR%: 4.282% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.933% (2.3796)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.205%	0.1R	-1.357%	0.4R	0.2×	12
2h	+0.205%	0.1R	-1.731%	0.4R	0.1×	24
4h	+0.205%	0.1R	-1.731%	0.4R	0.1×	48
6h ★	+0.205%	0.1R	-1.731%	0.4R	0.1×	72
8h	+0.826%	0.2R	-1.731%	0.4R	0.5×	96
12h	+0.826%	0.2R	-2.884%	0.7R	0.3×	144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.31

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.54	bull_high	+12.96%	-0.13	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	near 0.5ATR	—	0.43	bull_high	+1.72%	-0.75	29/09 12:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 37%	early	near -0.2ATR	—	0.42	range_medium	-0.27%	+0.13	29/09 18:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 44%	early	near 0.1ATR	—	0.65	range_low	+0.04%	-0.10	29/09 19:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167127	↑ up	bull_high	62%	early 13b 0.8ATR	noisy_chop 40%	0.723	— —	0.51	value	-5.21 ATR	—	#92679	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:32
4h 175907	↔ neutral	range_high	34%	mid 17b -1.3ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.681	near 0.5ATR —	0.11	below_value	-9.82 ATR	—	#96573	29/09 12:00 upd 29/09 16:21
1h anchor 177029	↓ down	bear_high	58%	early 7b -0.4ATR	noisy_chop 37%	0.613	near -0.2ATR —	0.13	below_value	-10.82 ATR	—	#97140	29/09 18:00 upd 29/09 19:12
15m 177351	↓ down	bear_medium	59%	early 3b -0.7ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.498	near 0.1ATR —	0.14	below_value	-11.34 ATR	—	#97308	29/09 19:45 upd 29/09 20:13
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	13b	—	2.429×ATR	p0	+0.788×ATR	p49
4h	↓ down	mid	17b	—	4.736×ATR	p77	-1.262×ATR	p66
1h	↑ up	early	7b	—	1.413×ATR	p4	-0.421×ATR	p27
15m	↓ down	early	3b	—	1.932×ATR	p21	-0.701×ATR	p36

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 62.87961513
tp_price: 58.9875
atr: 0.95184605
expires_at: 2026-09-30T06:15:21+00:00

Details

rank: 78
total: 83
score: 0.307
delta_2h: -0.06
extension_atr: -0.88
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0123
confidence: 0.939

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
60.5	62.8796	58.9875	0.64	59.153

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 60.5
Stop Loss: 62.8796
Take Profit: 58.9875

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 62.8796 - 60.5 = 2.3796
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 60.5 - 58.9875 = 1.5125
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5125 / 2.3796 = 0.6356

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
203.3942	100	3.3619	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 2.3796

Taille de position = 8 / 2.3796 = 3.36

Taille de position USD = 3.36 x 60.5 = 203.28

Donc, tu peux acheter 3.36 avec un stoploss a 62.8796

Avec un position size USD de 203.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3.36 x 2.3796 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3.36 x 1.5125 = 5.08

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.08$

Résumé

Taille de position 3.36
Taille de position USD 203.28
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.08
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6356

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5.08 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.93 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.37 $	-0.18

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.7306 %	44 %	2

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
60.5	62.8796	58.9875	0.64	59.153

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 60.5
Stop Loss: 62.8796
Take Profit: 58.9875

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 62.8796 - 60.5 = 2.3796
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 60.5 - 58.9875 = 1.5125
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5125 / 2.3796 = 0.6356

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.933% (2.3796)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.205%	0.1R	-1.357%	0.4R	0.2×	12
2h	+0.205%	0.1R	-1.731%	0.4R	0.1×	24
4h	+0.205%	0.1R	-1.731%	0.4R	0.1×	48
6h ★	+0.205%	0.1R	-1.731%	0.4R	0.1×	72
8h	+0.826%	0.2R	-1.731%	0.4R	0.5×	96
12h	+0.826%	0.2R	-2.884%	0.7R	0.3×	144

computed 4 days ago

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