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Long Trade on BERA

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29 Sep 2026 at 21:15:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on BERA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 509 BERA at 0.241$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2473 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2256 (6.51 %)

BERA LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 21:15 → 22:10 · 54 minutes

Position

Entry 0.2413$

Qty 509.0027 BERA

Size 122.8223$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2473 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3.05$

SL 0.2256 (-6.51%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.38

Status win PnL +2.49% / +3.05$ MAE -1.53% MFE +7.75% 1.2R expires 30 Sep 03:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166196)
#2 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6625

Quality Score
0.775
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 21:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#2 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.51 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.51 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.83×ATR
4h near -0.32×ATR
1d clear 7.82×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

29/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/09 20:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4413
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.0%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 42.9%
1h 57.1%
4h 22.2%
24h 50.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 49.2% -0.04%
4h 25.4% -0.67%
24h 44.4% +0.07%
Dispersion : 0.135
Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 21:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6601
Score SMA
0.5343
Rank
#23 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7317
Rank Norm SMA
0.5472
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8478 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.76% · r3d: -1.19% · ema21_slope: 1.4452% · dist_ema21: 10.137%
Force Relative 25% 0.7314 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.57% · rs_3d: -0.25% · beta_24h: 1.315
Volume 20% 0.5309 rvol_20: 1.65× · zscore_50: 0.876 · trend: 15.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7784 ADX: 33.4 (trend) · Chop: 37.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.962% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.7754
Score SMA
0.5811
Rank
#2 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6625
Rank Norm SMA
0.5911
Calculé le
29/09/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7478 r1h: 3.688% · r4h: 0.049% · r1d: 12.60% · r3d: 3.61% · ema21_slope: 0.4265% · dist_ema21: 5.933%
Force Relative 25% 0.7941 rs_1h: 3.938% · rs_4h: 0.260% · rs_1d: 12.28% · rs_3d: 4.64% · beta_24h: 1.781
Volume 20% 0.9107 rvol_20: 2.89× · zscore_50: 1.933 · trend: 216.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7800 ADX: 33.6 (trend) · Chop: 24.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.653% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7084
Score SMA
0.6144
Rank
#5 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8390
Rank Norm SMA
0.6632
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6000 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.424% · r1d: 7.76% · r3d: -1.19% · ema21_slope: -0.2849% · dist_ema21: 3.549%
Force Relative 25% 0.6139 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.359% · rs_1d: 7.57% · rs_3d: -0.25% · beta_24h: 3.125
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 7.14× · zscore_50: 4.697 · trend: 155.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7175 ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 32.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6725 ATR%: 3.982% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.506% (0.0157)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.687% 0.7R -1.533% 0.2R 3.1× 12
2h +5.263% 0.8R -1.533% 0.2R 3.4× 24
4h +5.263% 0.8R -1.533% 0.2R 3.4× 48
6h ★ +7.750% 1.2R -1.533% 0.2R 5.1× 72
8h +7.750% 1.2R -1.533% 0.2R 5.1× 96
12h +7.750% 1.2R -1.533% 0.2R 5.1× 144

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.22
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.45 bull_high +12.90% +0.96 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
46%
noisy_chop 41% early — near -0.3ATR 0.44 bull_high +1.75% -0.30 29/09 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 53% late — — 0.39 range_medium -0.45% +0.89 29/09 20:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 45% early — near 0.4ATR 0.53 range_low -0.15% +0.36 29/09 20:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177639 		↔ neutral bull_high
54%
mid 13b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.633

—

—

1.65 above_value +1.94 ATR — #97288 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:28
4h
177529 		↑ up bull_high
46%
early 5b 0.8ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.682

—

near -0.3ATR

7.14 above_value +1.94 ATR — #97288 29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 20:22
1h anchor
177986 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
64%
late 1b 1.9ATR noisy_chop 53% 0.841

—

—

2.89 above_value +2.77 ATR — #97539 29/09 20:00
upd 29/09 21:12
15m
177829 		↑ up bull_high
58%
early 3b 0.8ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.668

—

near 0.4ATR

0.26 above_value +1.94 ATR — #97288 29/09 20:30
upd 29/09 20:48
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 13b — 3.387×ATR p57 +1.078×ATR p50
4h ↑ up early 5b — 2.93×ATR p42 +0.818×ATR p51
1h ↑ up late 1b — 1.632×ATR p9 +1.924×ATR p84
15m ↑ up early 3b — 2.407×ATR p37 +0.848×ATR p29

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.22558299
  2. tp_price: 0.2473325
  3. atr: 0.0062868
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T07:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.7553
  4. delta_2h: 0.0612
  5. extension_atr: 1.67
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6625
  9. confidence: 0.99

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2413 0.2256 0.2473 0.38 0.2333
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2413
  • Stop Loss: 0.2256
  • Take Profit: 0.2473

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2256 - 0.2413 = -0.0157

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2413 - 0.2473 = -0.006

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.006 / -0.0157 = 0.3822

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
122.8223 100 509.0027 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0157

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0157 = -509.55

Taille de position USD = -509.55 x 0.2413 = -122.95

Donc, tu peux acheter -509.55 avec un stoploss a 0.2256

Avec un position size USD de -122.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -509.55 x -0.0157 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -509.55 x -0.006 = 3.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.06$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -509.55
  • Taille de position USD -122.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.06
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3822

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 3.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.51 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
3.05 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5334 % 23.57 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2413 0.2256 0.2473 0.38 0.2333
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2413
  • Stop Loss: 0.2256
  • Take Profit: 0.2473

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2256 - 0.2413 = -0.0157

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2413 - 0.2473 = -0.006

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.006 / -0.0157 = 0.3822

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.506% (0.0157)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.687% 0.7R -1.533% 0.2R 3.1× 12
2h +5.263% 0.8R -1.533% 0.2R 3.4× 24
4h +5.263% 0.8R -1.533% 0.2R 3.4× 48
6h ★ +7.750% 1.2R -1.533% 0.2R 5.1× 72
8h +7.750% 1.2R -1.533% 0.2R 5.1× 96
12h +7.750% 1.2R -1.533% 0.2R 5.1× 144

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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