Short Trade on HBAR

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29 Sep 2026 at 21:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on HBAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1120.56 HBAR at 0.102$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09992 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1096 (6.93 %)

HBAR SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 21:15 → 03:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1025$

Qty 1120.558 HBAR

Size 114.8348$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.09992 (+2.52%)

TP $ 2.89$

SL 0.1096 (-6.93%)

SL $ 7.96$

RR 0.36

Status loss PnL -2.76% / -3.17$ MAE -3.49% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 03:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166179)

#48 / 84 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3311

Quality Score

0.469

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

19.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 21:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#48 / 84 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#48 / 84 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.15×ATR
4h	clear	1.97×ATR
1d	clear	3.11×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 20:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 20:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4413

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	compression	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 28.0%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : btc_led_risk_on

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	42.9%
1h	57.1%
4h	22.2%
24h	50.8%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	49.2%	-0.04%
4h	25.4%	-0.67%
24h	44.4%	+0.07%

Dispersion : 0.135

Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 21:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.7143

Score SMA

0.6829

Rank

#12 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8659

Rank Norm SMA

0.6704

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7795	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -16.02% · r3d: 9.46% · ema21_slope: 1.8013% · dist_ema21: 13.515%
Force Relative	25%	0.6267	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -16.22% · rs_3d: 10.40% · beta_24h: 0.897
Volume	20%	0.9414	rvol_20: 3.45× · zscore_50: 2.122 · trend: 337.23%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9030	ADX: 48.4 (trend) · Chop: 6.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.229% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 21:00

Score brut

0.4693

Score SMA

0.5930

Rank

#48 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3311

Rank Norm SMA

0.5847

Calculé le

29/09/2026 21:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2924	r1h: -0.751% · r4h: -1.938% · r1d: -15.71% · r3d: 9.58% · ema21_slope: -0.6085% · dist_ema21: -6.642%
Force Relative	25%	0.4066	rs_1h: -0.501% · rs_4h: -1.727% · rs_1d: -16.04% · rs_3d: 10.61% · beta_24h: 0.909
Volume	20%	0.2896	rvol_20: 1.08× · zscore_50: -0.313 · trend: -36.49%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7974	ADX: 35.7 (trend) · Chop: 36.0 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.880% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5143

Score SMA

0.6617

Rank

#26 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7692

Rank Norm SMA

0.7166

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5778	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.537% · r1d: -16.02% · r3d: 9.46% · ema21_slope: 1.1207% · dist_ema21: -3.882%
Force Relative	25%	0.4683	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.603% · rs_1d: -16.22% · rs_3d: 10.40% · beta_24h: 1.683
Volume	20%	0.3536	rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.073 · trend: 68.81%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8398	ADX: 40.8 (trend) · Chop: 17.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.2722	ATR%: 5.183% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.927% (0.0071)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.532%	0.2R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.532%	0.2R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.722%	0.4R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.493%	0.5R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.273%	0.6R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.522%	1.1R	0.0×	144

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	70%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	—	0.64	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.98	28/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	—	0.45	bull_high	+1.75%	+0.66	29/09 16:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	compression	bear_high	51%	choppy 49%	late	—	—	0.37	range_medium	-0.45%	-0.94	29/09 20:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 36%	late	—	—	0.33	range_low	-0.15%	-0.28	29/09 20:30
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177588	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	70%	mid 1b 1.3ATR	noisy_chop 45%	0.683	— —	3.45	below_value	-5.19 ATR	—	#97271	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:25
4h 177459	↑ up	bull_high	58%	mid 7b -0.6ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.706	— —	0.41	below_value	-5.19 ATR	—	#97271	29/09 16:00 upd 29/09 20:19
1h anchor 177969	↔ neutral	bear_high	51%	late 30b -2.5ATR	choppy 49%	0.319	— —	1.08	below_value	-5.66 ATR	inside	#97522	29/09 20:00 upd 29/09 21:11
15m 177812	↓ down	bear_high	50%	late 24b -2.4ATR	noisy_chop 36%	0.747	— —	0.03	below_value	-5.19 ATR	—	#97271	29/09 20:30 upd 29/09 20:47
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	1b	—	3.374×ATR	p28	+1.272×ATR	p74
4h	↓ down	mid	7b	—	5.357×ATR	p78	-0.595×ATR	p31
1h	↓ down	late	30b	—	9.977×ATR	p100	-2.5×ATR	p91
15m	↓ down	late	24b	—	4.63×ATR	p82	-2.435×ATR	p88

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.1096193
tp_price: 0.099918
atr: 0.00285572
expires_at: 2026-09-30T07:15:10+00:00

Details

rank: 80
total: 84
score: 0.3014
delta_2h: -0.0019
extension_atr: -1.99
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3476
confidence: 0.952

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1025	0.1096	0.09992	0.36	0.1009

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1025
Stop Loss: 0.1096
Take Profit: 0.09992

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1096 - 0.1025 = 0.0071
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1025 - 0.09992 = 0.00258
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00258 / 0.0071 = 0.3634

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
114.8348	100	1120.558	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0071

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0071 = 1126.76

Taille de position USD = 1126.76 x 0.1025 = 115.49

Donc, tu peux acheter 1126.76 avec un stoploss a 0.1096

Avec un position size USD de 115.49$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1126.76 x 0.0071 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1126.76 x 0.00258 = 2.91

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.91$

Résumé

Taille de position 1126.76
Taille de position USD 115.49
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.91
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3634

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.52 %	2.89 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.93 %	7.96 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.17 $	-2.76

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.0244 %	43.66 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1025	0.1096	0.09992	0.36	0.1009

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1025
Stop Loss: 0.1096
Take Profit: 0.09992

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1096 - 0.1025 = 0.0071
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1025 - 0.09992 = 0.00258
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00258 / 0.0071 = 0.3634

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.927% (0.0071)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.532%	0.2R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.532%	0.2R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.722%	0.4R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.493%	0.5R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.273%	0.6R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.522%	1.1R	0.0×	144

computed 5 days ago

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