Short Trade on APEX

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29 Sep 2026 at 21:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on APEX (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 470.69 APEX at 0.263$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2561 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2797 (6.47 %)

APEX SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 21:15 → 03:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2627$

Qty 470.6882 APEX

Size 123.6498$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2561 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.11$

SL 0.2797 (-6.47%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.39

Status loss PnL -2.12% / -2.63$ MAE -4.16% MFE +1.47% 0.2R expires 30 Sep 03:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166206)

#75 / 84 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2173

Quality Score

0.429

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.0M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 21:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#75 / 84 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-2

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.47 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#75 / 84 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.47 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.45×ATR
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	3.68×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	—	—	OK
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 20:00 Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

27/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 20:00

Score : -2 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4413

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	compression	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 28.0%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : btc_led_risk_on

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	42.9%
1h	57.1%
4h	22.2%
24h	50.8%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	49.2%	-0.04%
4h	25.4%	-0.67%
24h	44.4%	+0.07%

Dispersion : 0.135

Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 21:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.7723

Score SMA

0.5595

Rank

#11 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8864

Rank Norm SMA

0.5132

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8664	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 8.74% · r3d: 14.10% · ema21_slope: 0.7397% · dist_ema21: 17.114%
Force Relative	25%	0.8712	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 9.90% · rs_3d: 14.83% · beta_24h: 1.274
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 5.35× · zscore_50: 3.184 · trend: 107.99%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6308	ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 38.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.110% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 21:00

Score brut

0.4292

Score SMA

0.5416

Rank

#75 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2173

Rank Norm SMA

0.5317

Calculé le

29/09/2026 21:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3150	r1h: 1.699% · r4h: -0.888% · r1d: -10.54% · r3d: -1.26% · ema21_slope: -0.4286% · dist_ema21: -4.307%
Force Relative	25%	0.4402	rs_1h: 1.949% · rs_4h: -0.678% · rs_1d: -10.87% · rs_3d: -0.22% · beta_24h: 1.472
Volume	20%	0.2786	rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.237 · trend: -11.52%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7021	ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 40.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.737% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4410

Score SMA

0.5693

Rank

#61 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4312

Rank Norm SMA

0.6170

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4604	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.924% · r1d: -12.34% · r3d: -4.70% · ema21_slope: 0.3311% · dist_ema21: -5.746%
Force Relative	25%	0.2705	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.990% · rs_1d: -12.53% · rs_3d: -3.76% · beta_24h: 3.115
Volume	20%	0.5246	rvol_20: 1.17× · zscore_50: 0.649 · trend: 80.81%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7596	ADX: 31.1 (trend) · Chop: 33.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.1636	ATR%: 5.509% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.471% (0.0170)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.466%	0.2R	-0.255%	0.0R	5.8×	12
2h	+1.466%	0.2R	-3.091%	0.5R	0.5×	24
4h	+1.466%	0.2R	-3.780%	0.6R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+1.466%	0.2R	-4.164%	0.6R	0.4×	71
8h	+1.466%	0.2R	-6.228%	1.0R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.466%	0.2R	-11.667%	1.8R	0.1×	144

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.56

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	67%	noisy_chop 42%	late	—	—	0.44	bull_high	+12.96%	+1.00	27/09 20:00
4h	—
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 48%	late	near 0.4ATR	—	0.34	range_medium	-0.45%	-0.81	29/09 20:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 47%	mid	—	—	—	range_low	-0.19%	-0.30	29/09 20:30
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167096	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	67%	late 20b 1.7ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.633	— —	5.35	value	+3.02 ATR	—	#92669	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:30
4h	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
1h anchor 177997	↓ down	bear_high	54%	late 18b -1.9ATR	noisy_chop 48%	0.493	near 0.4ATR —	0.77	above_value	-0.74 ATR	—	#97550	29/09 20:00 upd 29/09 21:13
15m 177913	↓ down	bear_high	57%	mid 20b -1.0ATR	noisy_chop 47%	0.653	— —	0.04	—	—	—	—	29/09 20:30 upd 29/09 21:04
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	20b	—	4.389×ATR	p47	+1.704×ATR	p83
1h	↓ down	late	18b	—	5.523×ATR	p96	-1.877×ATR	p81
15m	↓ down	mid	20b	—	4.345×ATR	p73	-1.016×ATR	p36

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.27969639
tp_price: 0.2561325
atr: 0.00679856
expires_at: 2026-09-30T07:15:09+00:00

Details

rank: 81
total: 84
score: 0.2642
delta_2h: -0.096
extension_atr: -1.45
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1963
confidence: 0.964

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2627	0.2797	0.2561	0.39	0.2375

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2627
Stop Loss: 0.2797
Take Profit: 0.2561

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2797 - 0.2627 = 0.017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2627 - 0.2561 = 0.0066
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0066 / 0.017 = 0.3882

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
123.6498	100	470.6882	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.017

Taille de position = 8 / 0.017 = 470.59

Taille de position USD = 470.59 x 0.2627 = 123.62

Donc, tu peux acheter 470.59 avec un stoploss a 0.2797

Avec un position size USD de 123.62$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 470.59 x 0.017 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 470.59 x 0.0066 = 3.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.11$

Résumé

Taille de position 470.59
Taille de position USD 123.62
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.11
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3882

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	3.11 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.47 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-2.63 $	-2.12

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.1644 %	64.35 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2627	0.2797	0.2561	0.39	0.2375

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2627
Stop Loss: 0.2797
Take Profit: 0.2561

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2797 - 0.2627 = 0.017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2627 - 0.2561 = 0.0066
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0066 / 0.017 = 0.3882

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.471% (0.0170)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.466%	0.2R	-0.255%	0.0R	5.8×	12
2h	+1.466%	0.2R	-3.091%	0.5R	0.5×	24
4h	+1.466%	0.2R	-3.780%	0.6R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+1.466%	0.2R	-4.164%	0.6R	0.4×	71
8h	+1.466%	0.2R	-6.228%	1.0R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.466%	0.2R	-11.667%	1.8R	0.1×	144

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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