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Long Trade on kBONK

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29 Sep 2026 at 22:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 38089.8 kBONK at 0.00379$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003889 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.003584 (5.54 %)

kBONK LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 22:15 → 04:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.003794$

Qty 38089.7967 kBONK

Size 144.5127$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.003889 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.62$

SL 0.003584 (-5.54%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.45

Status loss PnL -0.13% / -0.19$ MAE -1.53% MFE +1.45% 0.3R expires 30 Sep 04:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166251)
#11 / 82 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8175

Quality Score
0.634
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 22:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#11 / 82 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.54 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#11 / 82 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.54 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.00×ATR
4h clear 1.00×ATR
1d near 0.47×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

29/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/09 21:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4417
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 58.2%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 52.4%
1h 76.2%
4h 61.9%
24h 77.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 54.0% +0.01%
4h 66.7% +0.37%
24h 73.0% +1.76%
Dispersion : 0.135
Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 22:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6550
Score SMA
0.6205
Rank
#25 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7073
Rank Norm SMA
0.5035
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8258 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.03% · r3d: -0.30% · ema21_slope: 1.5346% · dist_ema21: 9.856%
Force Relative 25% 0.6701 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.83% · rs_3d: 0.64% · beta_24h: 2.055
Volume 20% 0.6193 rvol_20: 1.73× · zscore_50: 1.064 · trend: 64.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7726 ADX: 32.7 (trend) · Chop: 29.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.831% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.6335
Score SMA
0.5453
Rank
#11 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8175
Rank Norm SMA
0.4966
Calculé le
29/09/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7280 r1h: 2.694% · r4h: 4.110% · r1d: 10.87% · r3d: 3.60% · ema21_slope: 0.1420% · dist_ema21: 3.392%
Force Relative 25% 0.8651 rs_1h: 2.701% · rs_4h: 4.181% · rs_1d: 10.42% · rs_3d: 4.86% · beta_24h: 3.078
Volume 20% 0.1749 rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.388 · trend: -49.42%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6638 ADX: 27.9 (trend) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.283% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4982
Score SMA
0.5887
Rank
#30 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7204
Rank Norm SMA
0.5822
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5287 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.248% · r1d: 4.03% · r3d: -0.30% · ema21_slope: -0.1435% · dist_ema21: 0.872%
Force Relative 25% 0.5476 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.313% · rs_1d: 3.83% · rs_3d: 0.64% · beta_24h: 2.223
Volume 20% 0.2260 rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.850 · trend: 11.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6362 ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6203 ATR%: 4.139% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.535% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.529% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.053% 0.0R -1.529% 0.3R 0.0× 24
4h +1.450% 0.3R -1.529% 0.3R 1.0× 48
6h ★ +1.450% 0.3R -1.529% 0.3R 1.0× 72
8h +4.665% 0.8R -1.529% 0.3R 3.1× 96
12h +6.326% 1.1R -1.529% 0.3R 4.1× 144

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.35
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 40% early — near 0.5ATR 0.67 bull_high +12.90% +0.94 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range strong grind expansion bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 34% early near 0.4ATR — 0.57 bull_high +1.75% -0.22 29/09 16:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate explosive expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.51 range_medium -0.45% +0.66 29/09 21:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.61 range_low -0.19% +0.27 29/09 21:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177543 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
67%
early 6b 0.9ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.792

—

near 0.5ATR

1.73 value -0.87 ATR — #97260 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:23
4h
177415 		↑ up bull_high
58%
early 2b 0.2ATR noisy_chop 34% 0.750

near 0.4ATR

—

0.20 value -0.87 ATR — #97260 29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 20:16
1h anchor
178360 		↑ up bull_high
66%
mid 3b 1.2ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.680

—

—

0.43 value +0.68 ATR — #97679 29/09 21:00
upd 29/09 22:12
15m
178289 		↔ neutral bull_high
61%
late 6b 2.4ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.441

—

—

2.97 above_value -0.48 ATR — #97511 29/09 21:45
upd 29/09 22:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 6b — 1.779×ATR p0 +0.945×ATR p47
4h ↓ down early 2b — 1.997×ATR p0 +0.202×ATR p11
1h ↑ up mid 3b — 1.904×ATR p20 +1.192×ATR p66
15m ↑ up late 6b — 4.382×ATR p88 +2.449×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00358397
  2. tp_price: 0.00388885
  3. atr: 8.401E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T08:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 8
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.6923
  4. delta_2h: 0.1374
  5. extension_atr: 1.53
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8128
  9. confidence: 0.966

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.003794 0.003584 0.003889 0.45 0.003693
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.003794
  • Stop Loss: 0.003584
  • Take Profit: 0.003889

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.003584 - 0.003794 = -0.00021

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.003794 - 0.003889 = -9.5E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.5E-5 / -0.00021 = 0.4524

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
144.5127 100 38089.7967 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00021

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00021 = -38095.24

Taille de position USD = -38095.24 x 0.003794 = -144.53

Donc, tu peux acheter -38095.24 avec un stoploss a 0.003584

Avec un position size USD de -144.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -38095.24 x -0.00021 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -38095.24 x -9.5E-5 = 3.62

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.62$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -38095.24
  • Taille de position USD -144.53
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.62
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4524

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.62 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.54 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.19 $ -0.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5287 % 27.62 % 13
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.003794 0.003584 0.003889 0.45 0.003693
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.003794
  • Stop Loss: 0.003584
  • Take Profit: 0.003889

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.003584 - 0.003794 = -0.00021

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.003794 - 0.003889 = -9.5E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.5E-5 / -0.00021 = 0.4524

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.535% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.529% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.053% 0.0R -1.529% 0.3R 0.0× 24
4h +1.450% 0.3R -1.529% 0.3R 1.0× 48
6h ★ +1.450% 0.3R -1.529% 0.3R 1.0× 72
8h +4.665% 0.8R -1.529% 0.3R 3.1× 96
12h +6.326% 1.1R -1.529% 0.3R 4.1× 144

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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