Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 7.63 AAVE at 159.63$ per unit. Take profit: 161.7272 (1.31 %) & Stop Loss: 158.5814 (0.66 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 7.63 AAVE at 159.63$ per unit. Take profit: 161.7272 (1.31 %) & Stop Loss: 158.5814 (0.66 %)
Position
Entry 159.63$
Qty 7.6293 AAVE
Size 1217.8599$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 161.7272 (+1.31%)
TP $ 16$
SL 158.5814 (-0.66%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9045
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.23×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.515884 15m : 0.446577 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 29/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
| 15m | 29.0% |
| 1h | 72.6% |
| 4h | 64.5% |
| 24h | 79.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 37.1% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 69.4% | +0.38% |
| 24h | 75.8% | +3.07% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9172 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 10.53% · r3d: 6.05% · ema21_slope: 1.1874% · dist_ema21: 16.405% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8882 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 10.34% · rs_3d: 6.99% · beta_24h: 1.366 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9515 | rvol_20: 3.64× · zscore_50: 2.513 · trend: 87.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8005 | ADX: 36.1 (trend) · Chop: 26.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.679% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6003 | r1h: -0.864% · r4h: -3.594% · r1d: 8.69% · r3d: 3.30% · ema21_slope: 0.2123% · dist_ema21: -1.734% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5319 | rs_1h: -0.857% · rs_4h: -3.523% · rs_1d: 8.24% · rs_3d: 4.56% · beta_24h: 1.198 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2263 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.408 · trend: -9.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7156 | ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 42.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.021% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7164 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.187% · r1d: 10.53% · r3d: 6.05% · ema21_slope: 0.2417% · dist_ema21: 5.573% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7690 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.253% · rs_1d: 10.34% · rs_3d: 6.99% · beta_24h: 2.727 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4777 | rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.071 · trend: 127.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7404 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 26.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8870 | ATR%: 3.339% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.614% | 0.9R | -0.338% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.614% | 0.9R | -0.395% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.287% | 3.5R | -0.395% | 0.6R | 5.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.287% | 3.5R | -0.683% | 1.0R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.373% | 6.7R | -0.683% | 1.0R | 6.4× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.68 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.97 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +1.75% | +0.60 | 29/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.45% | +0.40 | 29/09 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.61 | range_low | -0.20% | -0.38 | 29/09 22:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177481 |
↔ neutral | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
late 13b 1.9ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.562 |
— near 0.0ATR |
3.64 | above_value | +3.33 ATR | — | #97245 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:20
|
|
4h
177381 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
mid 2b 1.5ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.592 |
— — |
0.96 | above_value | +3.33 ATR | — | #97245 |
29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 20:14
|
|
1h
anchor
178345 |
↑ up | bull_high |
68%
|
late 11b -0.9ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.713 |
— — |
0.29 | above_value | +1.85 ATR | inside | #97664 |
29/09 21:00
upd 29/09 22:11
|
|
15m
178517 |
↓ down | bear_high |
52%
|
late 17b -2.8ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.511 |
— — |
0.75 | above_value | +1.85 ATR | — | #97664 |
29/09 22:15
upd 29/09 22:31
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.72×ATR | p71 | +1.897×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2×ATR | p0 | +1.458×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 4.782×ATR | p87 | -0.911×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 5.763×ATR | p92 | -2.755×ATR | p88 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83481
-0.00146257
83359
0.515884
83486.6
-0.00152846
83359
0.446577
83770.8
-0.00318488
83504
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.25577043044292
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4454148471616
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[1] => 161.19
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[1] => 163.04
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[1] => 160.3
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176.23
187
0.6418
0.6309
0.2952
0.2374
0.3425
1
0.1235
0.5946
0.6983
0.4572
0.5824
0.5352
-0.0371
0.0562
0.6667
-0.9753
0.5159
0.55
0.45
1
12
1
0.5251
0.5297
8.2023
0.55
7.6599
12.2788
0.5159
0
0.3136
0.54
-0.1002
0.5011
0.4312
0.5363
0.5352
-5.5593
6.4011
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 21:00:00 | 165.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 22:00:00 | 167.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 22:45:00 | 166.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 23:00:00 | 165.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 23:40:00 | 164.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 00:00:00 | 166.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 00:45:00 | 161.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 01:05:00 | 163.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 01:40:00 | 160.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:30:00 | 159.35 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 01:45:00 | 148.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:30:00 | 146.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:30:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 18:45:00 | 164.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 22:00:00 | 167.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 02:30:00 | 159.35 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 07:00:00 | 157.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 151.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 18:00:00 | 156.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 156.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 13:00:00 | 151.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 14:00:00 | 144.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 22:00:00 | 145.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:00:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 18:00:00 | 164.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 01:00:00 | 160.3 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159.63 | 158.5814 | 161.7272 | 2 | 180.22 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 158.5814 - 159.63 = -1.0486
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 159.63 - 161.7272 = -2.0972
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.0972 / -1.0486 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1217.8599 | 100 | 7.6293 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.0486 = -7.63
Taille de position USD = -7.63 x 159.63 = -1217.98
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.63 avec un stoploss a 158.5814
Avec un position size USD de -1217.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.63 x -1.0486 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.63 x -2.0972 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.31 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3947 % | 60.09 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159.63 | 158.5814 | 161.7272 | 2 | 180.22 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 158.5814 - 159.63 = -1.0486
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 159.63 - 161.7272 = -2.0972
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.0972 / -1.0486 = 2
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)
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.614% | 0.9R | -0.338% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.614% | 0.9R | -0.395% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.287% | 3.5R | -0.395% | 0.6R | 5.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.287% | 3.5R | -0.683% | 1.0R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.373% | 6.7R | -0.683% | 1.0R | 6.4× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
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