Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 6.42 VVV at 26.844$ per unit. Take profit: 26.1729 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 28.0908 (4.64 %)
Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 6.42 VVV at 26.844$ per unit. Take profit: 26.1729 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 28.0908 (4.64 %)
Position
Entry 26.844$
Qty 6.4167 VVV
Size 172.2487$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 26.1729 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.31$
SL 28.0908 (-4.64%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.54
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1956
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.37×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.84×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.76×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
| 15m | 30.7% |
| 1h | 6.5% |
| 4h | 41.9% |
| 24h | 67.7% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 27.4% | -0.08% |
| 4h | 58.1% | -0.21% |
| 24h | 61.3% | +1.20% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5447 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.01% · r3d: -8.89% · ema21_slope: 2.1774% · dist_ema21: 1.722% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4410 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.21% · rs_3d: -7.95% · beta_24h: 1.059 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2560 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.130 · trend: -14.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9574 | ADX: 58.5 (trend) · Chop: 41.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.183% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3305 | r1h: -1.534% · r4h: -0.732% · r1d: -0.08% · r3d: -9.10% · ema21_slope: -0.0961% · dist_ema21: -1.468% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3638 | rs_1h: -1.446% · rs_4h: -0.315% · rs_1d: -0.37% · rs_3d: -7.78% · beta_24h: 2.054 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2284 | rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.418 · trend: -48.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3873 | ADX: 20.3 (weak) · Chop: 73.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.946% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3077 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.732% · r1d: -0.08% · r3d: -9.10% · ema21_slope: -0.5158% · dist_ema21: -4.649% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3322 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.315% · rs_1d: -0.37% · rs_3d: -7.78% · beta_24h: 3.283 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1534 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.896 · trend: -40.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5669 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 55.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5034 | ATR%: 4.490% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.065% | 0.2R | -0.909% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.173% | 0.3R | -0.909% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.207% | 0.3R | -1.486% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.207% | 0.3R | -1.736% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.207% | 0.3R | -2.373% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.207% | 0.3R | -5.629% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.80 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.29 | bull_high | +1.75% | -0.75 | 29/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.30 | range_medium | -0.51% | -0.16 | 29/09 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.15 | 29/09 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177637 |
↑ up | bull_high |
67%
|
early 8b 0.1ATR | noisy_chop 35% | 0.626 |
— — |
0.61 | below_value | -5.69 ATR | — | #97287 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:28
|
|
4h
177525 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
52%
|
mid 14b -1.0ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.531 |
near -0.8ATR — |
0.40 | below_value | -5.69 ATR | — | #97287 |
29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 20:22
|
|
1h
anchor
178787 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
56%
|
early 9b 0.0ATR | noisy_chop 33% | 0.624 |
— near 0.1ATR |
0.15 | below_value | -5.92 ATR | — | #97869 |
29/09 22:00
upd 29/09 23:11
|
|
15m
179097 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
57%
|
mid 10b -1.5ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.379 |
near -0.1ATR — |
0.06 | below_value | -5.92 ATR | — | #97869 |
29/09 23:45
upd 30/09 00:03
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.545×ATR | p4 | +0.132×ATR | p7 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 3.87×ATR | p70 | -1.008×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.643×ATR | p2 | -0.045×ATR | p2 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.54×ATR | p46 | -1.49×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.844 | 28.0908 | 26.1729 | 0.54 | 25.328 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 28.0908 - 26.844 = 1.2468
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 26.844 - 26.1729 = 0.6711
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6711 / 1.2468 = 0.5383
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 172.2487 | 100 | 6.4167 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.2468 = 6.42
Taille de position USD = 6.42 x 26.844 = 172.34
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.42 avec un stoploss a 28.0908
Avec un position size USD de 172.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.42 x 1.2468 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.42 x 0.6711 = 4.31
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.31$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.31 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.64 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.65 $ | 0.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.736 % | 37.38 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.844 | 28.0908 | 26.1729 | 0.54 | 25.328 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 28.0908 - 26.844 = 1.2468
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 26.844 - 26.1729 = 0.6711
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6711 / 1.2468 = 0.5383
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.065% | 0.2R | -0.909% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.173% | 0.3R | -0.909% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.207% | 0.3R | -1.486% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.207% | 0.3R | -1.736% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.207% | 0.3R | -2.373% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.207% | 0.3R | -5.629% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
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