30 Sep 2026 at 00:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 6.42 VVV at 26.844$ per unit. Take profit: 26.1729 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 28.0908 (4.64 %)

VVV SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 00:15 → 06:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 26.844$

Qty 6.4167 VVV

Size 172.2487$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 26.1729 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.31$

SL 28.0908 (-4.64%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.54

Status win PnL +0.38% / +0.65$ MAE -1.74% MFE +1.21% 0.3R expires 30 Sep 06:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166439)
#77 / 79 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1956

Quality Score
0.389
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
12.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 00:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#77 / 79 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.64 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#77 / 79 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.64 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.37×ATR
4h near -0.84×ATR
1d clear 0.76×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 22:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4425
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 43.0%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 30.7%
1h 6.5%
4h 41.9%
24h 67.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 27.4% -0.08%
4h 58.1% -0.21%
24h 61.3% +1.20%
Dispersion : 0.114
Universe : 62 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 00:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4685
Score SMA
0.5685
Rank
#73 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1220
Rank Norm SMA
0.3379
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5447 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.01% · r3d: -8.89% · ema21_slope: 2.1774% · dist_ema21: 1.722%
Force Relative 25% 0.4410 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.21% · rs_3d: -7.95% · beta_24h: 1.059
Volume 20% 0.2560 rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.130 · trend: -14.20%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9574 ADX: 58.5 (trend) · Chop: 41.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.183% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3887
Score SMA
0.4832
Rank
#77 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1956
Rank Norm SMA
0.2806
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3305 r1h: -1.534% · r4h: -0.732% · r1d: -0.08% · r3d: -9.10% · ema21_slope: -0.0961% · dist_ema21: -1.468%
Force Relative 25% 0.3638 rs_1h: -1.446% · rs_4h: -0.315% · rs_1d: -0.37% · rs_3d: -7.78% · beta_24h: 2.054
Volume 20% 0.2284 rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.418 · trend: -48.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3873 ADX: 20.3 (weak) · Chop: 73.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.946% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3696
Score SMA
0.4270
Rank
#75 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0366
Rank Norm SMA
0.0954
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3077 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.732% · r1d: -0.08% · r3d: -9.10% · ema21_slope: -0.5158% · dist_ema21: -4.649%
Force Relative 25% 0.3322 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.315% · rs_1d: -0.37% · rs_3d: -7.78% · beta_24h: 3.283
Volume 20% 0.1534 rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.896 · trend: -40.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5669 ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 55.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5034 ATR%: 4.490% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.645% (1.2468)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.065% 0.2R -0.909% 0.2R 1.2× 12
2h +1.173% 0.3R -0.909% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +1.207% 0.3R -1.486% 0.3R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +1.207% 0.3R -1.736% 0.4R 0.7× 72
8h +1.207% 0.3R -2.373% 0.5R 0.5× 96
12h +1.207% 0.3R -5.629% 1.2R 0.2× 144

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.34
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.38 bull_high +12.90% +0.80 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 41% mid near -0.8ATR — 0.29 bull_high +1.75% -0.75 29/09 16:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 33% early — near 0.1ATR 0.30 range_medium -0.51% -0.16 29/09 22:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -0.1ATR — 0.56 range_low -0.29% -0.15 29/09 23:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177637
↑ up bull_high
67%
early 8b 0.1ATR noisy_chop 35% 0.626

—

—

0.61 below_value -5.69 ATR — #97287 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:28
4h
177525
↔ neutral bear_high
52%
mid 14b -1.0ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.531

near -0.8ATR

—

0.40 below_value -5.69 ATR — #97287 29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 20:22
1h anchor
178787
↔ neutral bear_high
56%
early 9b 0.0ATR noisy_chop 33% 0.624

—

near 0.1ATR

0.15 below_value -5.92 ATR — #97869 29/09 22:00
upd 29/09 23:11
15m
179097
↔ neutral bear_high
57%
mid 10b -1.5ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.379

near -0.1ATR

—

0.06 below_value -5.92 ATR — #97869 29/09 23:45
upd 30/09 00:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 8b — 2.545×ATR p4 +0.132×ATR p7
4h ↓ down mid 14b — 3.87×ATR p70 -1.008×ATR p62
1h ↑ up early 9b — 1.643×ATR p2 -0.045×ATR p2
15m ↓ down mid 10b — 2.54×ATR p46 -1.49×ATR p79

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 28.09075512
  2. tp_price: 26.1729
  3. atr: 0.49870205
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T10:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 78
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.3381
  4. delta_2h: -0.0396
  5. extension_atr: -0.68
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1896
  9. confidence: 0.951

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
26.844 28.0908 26.1729 0.54 25.328
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 26.844
  • Stop Loss: 28.0908
  • Take Profit: 26.1729

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 28.0908 - 26.844 = 1.2468

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 26.844 - 26.1729 = 0.6711

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6711 / 1.2468 = 0.5383

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
172.2487 100 6.4167 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.2468

Taille de position = 8 / 1.2468 = 6.42

Taille de position USD = 6.42 x 26.844 = 172.34

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.42 avec un stoploss a 28.0908

Avec un position size USD de 172.34$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.42 x 1.2468 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.42 x 0.6711 = 4.31

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.31$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.42
  • Taille de position USD 172.34
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.31
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5383

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.31 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.64 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.65 $ 0.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.736 % 37.38 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
26.844 28.0908 26.1729 0.54 25.328
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 26.844
  • Stop Loss: 28.0908
  • Take Profit: 26.1729

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 28.0908 - 26.844 = 1.2468

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 26.844 - 26.1729 = 0.6711

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6711 / 1.2468 = 0.5383

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.645% (1.2468)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.065% 0.2R -0.909% 0.2R 1.2× 12
2h +1.173% 0.3R -0.909% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +1.207% 0.3R -1.486% 0.3R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +1.207% 0.3R -1.736% 0.4R 0.7× 72
8h +1.207% 0.3R -2.373% 0.5R 0.5× 96
12h +1.207% 0.3R -5.629% 1.2R 0.2× 144

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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