Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.14 ZEC at 1405.3$ per unit. Take profit: 1370.1675 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1464.5493 (4.22 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 00:15:08
hyperliquid
ZEC
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 00:15
→ 06:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1405.3$
Qty 0.135 ZEC
Size 189.7472$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1370.1675 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.74$
SL 1464.5493 (-4.22%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.59
Status
loss
PnL
-0.06%
/ -0.12$
MAE -0.95%
MFE +1.07%
0.3R
expires
30 Sep 06:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 166452)
#71 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 00:00
score du 30/09/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1171
Quality Score
0.409
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
538.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 00:02
30/09 00:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#71 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#71 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.43×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 4.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.76×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4425
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
43.0%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
mixed_dispersion
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 30.7% |
| 1h | 6.5% |
| 4h | 41.9% |
| 24h | 67.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 27.4% | -0.08% |
| 4h | 58.1% | -0.21% |
| 24h | 61.3% | +1.20% |
Dispersion :
0.114
Universe :
62
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 00:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5227
Score SMA
0.6147
Rank
#58
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3049
Rank Norm SMA
0.4952
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5903 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.51% · r3d: -14.31% · ema21_slope: 2.0163% · dist_ema21: 2.221% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3920 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.70% · rs_3d: -13.37% · beta_24h: 1.343 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5293 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 1.313 · trend: 35.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9448 | ADX: 56.9 (trend) · Chop: 41.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.470% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4093
Score SMA
0.5278
Rank
#71
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1171
Rank Norm SMA
0.4501
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3184 | r1h: -0.883% · r4h: -1.002% · r1d: 1.80% · r3d: -14.41% · ema21_slope: -0.1166% · dist_ema21: -1.350% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3644 | rs_1h: -0.796% · rs_4h: -0.585% · rs_1d: 1.51% · rs_3d: -13.10% · beta_24h: 3.007 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1436 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.846 · trend: -69.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5213 | ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.794% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4028
Score SMA
0.5371
Rank
#73
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1033
Rank Norm SMA
0.4021
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3506 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.002% · r1d: 1.80% · r3d: -14.41% · ema21_slope: -0.5154% · dist_ema21: -5.433% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3441 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.585% · rs_1d: 1.51% · rs_3d: -13.10% · beta_24h: 3.152 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1618 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -1.197 · trend: -18.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6676 | ADX: 22.9 (weak) · Chop: 41.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6361 | ATR%: 4.092% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.216%
(59.2493)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.313% | 0.1R | -0.683% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.890% | 0.2R | -0.683% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.075% | 0.3R | -0.705% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.075% | 0.3R | -0.954% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.075% | 0.3R | -2.113% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.075% | 0.3R | -6.326% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.34
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.56 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bull_high | +1.75% | -0.69 | 29/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.4ATR | near -0.4ATR | 0.36 | range_medium | -0.51% | +0.11 | 29/09 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.64 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.11 | 29/09 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177666 |
↑ up | bull_high |
69%
|
early 3b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.700 |
— — |
1.30 | below_value | -4.84 ATR | — | #97300 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
|
|
4h
177577 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
42%
|
late 18b -1.2ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.748 |
— — |
0.53 | below_value | -4.84 ATR | — | #97300 |
29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 20:25
|
|
1h
anchor
178801 |
↓ down | bear_high |
58%
|
early 6b -0.3ATR | noisy_chop 34% | 0.496 |
near 0.4ATR near -0.4ATR |
0.17 | below_value | -5.35 ATR | — | #97883 |
29/09 22:00
upd 29/09 23:11
|
|
15m
179104 |
↓ down | bear_medium |
58%
|
mid 13b -1.5ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.597 |
near -0.3ATR — |
1.23 | below_value | -5.35 ATR | — | #97883 |
29/09 23:45
upd 30/09 00:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.074×ATR | p0 | +0.195×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 4.704×ATR | p85 | -1.235×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.436×ATR | p0 | -0.33×ATR | p17 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.574×ATR | p60 | -1.534×ATR | p70 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1464.54934455
- tp_price: 1370.1675
- atr: 23.69973782
- expires_at: 2026-09-30T10:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 77
- total: 82
- score: 0.35
- delta_2h: -0.0549
- extension_atr: -0.57
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1222
- confidence: 0.938
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1405.3 | 1464.5493 | 1370.1675 | 0.59 | 1306.9 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1405.3
- Stop Loss: 1464.5493
- Take Profit: 1370.1675
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1464.5493 - 1405.3 = 59.2493
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1405.3 - 1370.1675 = 35.1325
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 35.1325 / 59.2493 = 0.593
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 189.7472 | 100 | 0.135 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 59.2493
Taille de position = 8 / 59.2493 = 0.14
Taille de position USD = 0.14 x 1405.3 = 196.74
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.14 avec un stoploss a 1464.5493
Avec un position size USD de 196.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.14 x 59.2493 = 8.29
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.29$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.14 x 35.1325 = 4.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.92$
Résumé
- Taille de position 0.14
- Taille de position USD 196.74
- Perte potentielle 8.29
- Gain potentiel 4.92
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.593
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.74 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.12 $ | -0.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9535 % | 22.62 % | 21 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1405.3 | 1464.5493 | 1370.1675 | 0.59 | 1306.9 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1405.3
- Stop Loss: 1464.5493
- Take Profit: 1370.1675
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1464.5493 - 1405.3 = 59.2493
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1405.3 - 1370.1675 = 35.1325
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 35.1325 / 59.2493 = 0.593
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.216%
(59.2493)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.313% | 0.1R | -0.683% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.890% | 0.2R | -0.683% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.075% | 0.3R | -0.705% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.075% | 0.3R | -0.954% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.075% | 0.3R | -2.113% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.075% | 0.3R | -6.326% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.