Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 119886.11 PENGU at 0.00981$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009946 (1.36 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009746 (0.68 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 119886.11 PENGU at 0.00981$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009946 (1.36 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009746 (0.68 %)
Position
Entry 0.009813$
Qty 119886.1082 PENGU
Size 1176.4424$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.009946 (+1.36%)
TP $ 15.94$
SL 0.009746 (-0.68%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7902
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.08×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.73×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.77×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.691589 15m : 0.605891 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
| 15m | 54.1% |
| 1h | 95.1% |
| 4h | 47.5% |
| 24h | 72.1% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 45.9% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 62.3% | -0.01% |
| 24h | 68.9% | +1.26% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8147 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.30% · r3d: 0.47% · ema21_slope: 1.6119% · dist_ema21: 11.501% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6241 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.11% · rs_3d: 1.41% · beta_24h: 1.603 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3863 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: -0.032 · trend: 45.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8069 | ADX: 36.8 (trend) · Chop: 30.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.866% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5674 | r1h: 0.366% · r4h: -1.388% · r1d: 7.55% · r3d: 1.33% · ema21_slope: 0.1675% · dist_ema21: 0.346% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6145 | rs_1h: 0.492% · rs_4h: -1.095% · rs_1d: 7.55% · rs_3d: 2.69% · beta_24h: 2.840 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1601 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.722 · trend: -43.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5794 | ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.196% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5653 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.304% · r1d: 7.33% · r3d: 0.52% · ema21_slope: -0.1772% · dist_ema21: 0.743% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5747 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.887% · rs_1d: 7.04% · rs_3d: 1.84% · beta_24h: 2.780 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1770 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.755 · trend: -37.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6545 | ADX: 34.1 (trend) · Chop: 54.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4756 | ATR%: 4.573% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.825% | 1.2R | -0.438% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.825% | 1.2R | -1.569% | 2.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.559% | 2.3R | -1.569% | 2.3R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.113% | 10.4R | -1.569% | 2.3R | 4.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.489% | 12.4R | -1.569% | 2.3R | 5.4× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.96 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +1.30% | -0.05 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.70% | +0.31 | 30/09 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.75 | range_low | -0.39% | -0.00 | 30/09 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177627 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
mid 14b 1.0ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.682 |
— near -0.8ATR |
0.89 | above_value | +0.34 ATR | — | #97282 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:27
|
|
4h
179236 |
↑ up | bull_high |
55%
|
early 6b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 32% | 0.677 |
— — |
0.56 | above_value | -0.06 ATR | — | #98026 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 00:17
|
|
1h
anchor
179638 |
↑ up | bull_high |
64%
|
early 2b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.701 |
near 0.1ATR — |
0.39 | above_value | +0.10 ATR | — | #98272 |
30/09 00:00
upd 30/09 01:11
|
|
15m
179563 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
58%
|
early 5b -0.5ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.472 |
near 0.0ATR — |
1.39 | above_value | -0.06 ATR | — | #98026 |
30/09 00:45
upd 30/09 01:03
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 3.736×ATR | p53 | +1.044×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.896×ATR | p0 | +0.154×ATR | p8 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.011×ATR | p25 | +0.152×ATR | p8 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.191×ATR | p0 | -0.547×ATR | p29 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83404.8
-0.00232385
83211
0.691589
83470.6
-0.00311068
83211
0.605891
83725.2
-0.00574756
83244
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0.010309
196
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0.2949
0.2277
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1
0.375
0.5402
0.6393
0.2097
0.5831
0.4552
0.0469
0.0317
1
0.1577
0.4815
0.5
0.5
1
3
1
0.5447
0.3485
4.9552
0.55
1.4698
3.603
0.4815
0.638
0.3105
0.02
-0.0035
0.5117
0.4642
0.8794
0.4552
-5.4724
4.5731
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 23:15:00 | 0.010062 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 23:40:00 | 0.009877 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 00:25:00 | 0.009923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 00:30:00 | 0.010058 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 01:20:00 | 0.010222 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 01:35:00 | 0.010047 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:10:00 | 0.010309 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 03:30:00 | 0.009802 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 04:25:00 | 0.010015 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 05:10:00 | 0.009812 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 17:45:00 | 0.00953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 19:00:00 | 0.010091 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 20:00:00 | 0.009816 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 21:45:00 | 0.009884 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 23:15:00 | 0.010062 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 23:30:00 | 0.009877 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 0.010309 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 03:30:00 | 0.009802 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 04:15:00 | 0.010015 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 05:00:00 | 0.009812 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 16:00:00 | 0.009921 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 0.0105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 09:00:00 | 0.00939 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 13:00:00 | 0.01005 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.008984 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:00:00 | 0.01006 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.00953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 19:00:00 | 0.010091 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 0.010309 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 03:00:00 | 0.009802 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009813 | 0.009746 | 0.009946 | 1.99 | 0.008595 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009746 - 0.009813 = -6.7000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009813 - 0.009946 = -0.000133
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000133 / -6.7000000000001E-5 = 1.9851
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1176.4424 | 100 | 119886.1082 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -6.7000000000001E-5 = -119402.99
Taille de position USD = -119402.99 x 0.009813 = -1171.7
Donc, tu peux acheter -119402.99 avec un stoploss a 0.009746
Avec un position size USD de -1171.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -119402.99 x -6.7000000000001E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -119402.99 x -0.000133 = 15.88
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.88$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.36 % | 15.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -0.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.693 % | 101.49 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009813 | 0.009746 | 0.009946 | 1.99 | 0.008595 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009746 - 0.009813 = -6.7000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009813 - 0.009946 = -0.000133
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000133 / -6.7000000000001E-5 = 1.9851
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[entry_price] => 0.009813
[stop_loss] => 0.0097125
[rr_ratio] => 1.32
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.825% | 1.2R | -0.438% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.825% | 1.2R | -1.569% | 2.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.559% | 2.3R | -1.569% | 2.3R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.113% | 10.4R | -1.569% | 2.3R | 4.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.489% | 12.4R | -1.569% | 2.3R | 5.4× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
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