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Long Trade on INIT

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30 Sep 2026 at 02:15:11 hyperliquid

Long Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1103.84 INIT at 0.104$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1072 (2.58 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0973 (6.89 %)

INIT LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 02:15 → 03:45 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.1045$

Qty 1103.838 INIT

Size 115.4063$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1072 (+2.58%)

TP $ 2.98$

SL 0.0973 (-6.89%)

SL $ 7.95$

RR 0.38

Status loss PnL -6.89% / -7.95$ MAE -11.77% MFE +2.46% 0.4R expires 30 Sep 08:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166688)
#5 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9568

Quality Score
0.722
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 02:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#5 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 1.52×ATR
1d near -0.62×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

29/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 01:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4433
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 49.7%
Impulse : +0.02
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 41.0%
1h 91.8%
4h 47.5%
24h 70.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.9% -0.03%
4h 47.5% -0.02%
24h 70.5% +0.99%
Dispersion : 0.125
Universe : 61 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 02:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8545
Score SMA
—
Rank
#4 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9634
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9552 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 15.15% · r3d: 9.53% · ema21_slope: 2.3263% · dist_ema21: 24.587%
Force Relative 25% 0.9467 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 14.95% · rs_3d: 10.47% · beta_24h: 0.839
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.75× · zscore_50: 6.020 · trend: 117.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8748 ADX: 45.0 (trend) · Chop: 15.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.903% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.7222
Score SMA
—
Rank
#5 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9568
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
30/09/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7795 r1h: 0.812% · r4h: 2.567% · r1d: 15.47% · r3d: 11.50% · ema21_slope: 0.1811% · dist_ema21: 2.527%
Force Relative 25% 0.8121 rs_1h: 0.605% · rs_4h: 2.647% · rs_1d: 15.54% · rs_3d: 12.81% · beta_24h: -0.795
Volume 20% 0.2308 rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.198 · trend: -16.98%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7958 ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 38.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.916% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.7162
Score SMA
—
Rank
#4 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9755
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8012 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.571% · r1d: 18.07% · r3d: 9.66% · ema21_slope: 0.2795% · dist_ema21: 7.020%
Force Relative 25% 0.8244 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.154% · rs_1d: 17.78% · rs_3d: 10.97% · beta_24h: 0.167
Volume 20% 0.6099 rvol_20: 1.44× · zscore_50: 0.891 · trend: 175.20%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8124 ADX: 37.5 (trend) · Chop: 18.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2586 ATR%: 5.224% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.890% (0.0072)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.459% 0.4R -0.048% 0.0R 51.5× 12
2h +2.459% 0.4R -11.773% 1.7R 0.2× 24
4h +2.459% 0.4R -11.773% 1.7R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +2.459% 0.4R -11.773% 1.7R 0.2× 72
8h +2.459% 0.4R -11.773% 1.7R 0.2× 96
12h +2.775% 0.4R -11.773% 1.7R 0.2× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.4
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 45% late — near -0.6ATR 0.38 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.21 bull_high +1.30% +0.69 29/09 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 40% early near 0.5ATR — 0.16 range_medium -0.48% +0.42 30/09 01:00
15m ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.14 range_low -0.05% +0.32 30/09 01:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177646 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
62%
late 1b 2.3ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.678

—

near -0.6ATR

4.75 value +1.35 ATR — #97291 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:28
4h
179263 		↑ up bull_high
61%
early 2b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.701

—

—

1.44 above_value +0.55 ATR — #98035 29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 00:18
1h anchor
180050 		↔ neutral bull_high
62%
early 9b 0.8ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.658

near 0.5ATR

—

0.40 value +0.93 ATR — #98445 30/09 01:00
upd 30/09 02:13
15m
179891 		↑ up bull_high
59%
early 6b 1.7ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.462

—

—

0.11 above_value +0.41 ATR — #98281 30/09 01:30
upd 30/09 01:48
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 1b — 2.257×ATR p0 +2.311×ATR p95
4h ↓ down early 2b — 2.507×ATR p20 +1.051×ATR p56
1h ↑ up early 9b — 1.764×ATR p16 +0.766×ATR p34
15m ↑ up early 6b — 2.588×ATR p43 +1.685×ATR p57

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.09730256
  2. tp_price: 0.10716375
  3. atr: 0.00289898
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T12:15:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.818
  4. delta_2h: 0.0942
  5. extension_atr: 0.84
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9584
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1045 0.0973 0.1072 0.38 0.1168
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1045
  • Stop Loss: 0.0973
  • Take Profit: 0.1072

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0973 - 0.1045 = -0.0072

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1045 - 0.1072 = -0.0027

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0027 / -0.0072 = 0.375

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
115.4063 100 1103.838 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0072

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0072 = -1111.11

Taille de position USD = -1111.11 x 0.1045 = -116.11

Donc, tu peux acheter -1111.11 avec un stoploss a 0.0973

Avec un position size USD de -116.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1111.11 x -0.0072 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1111.11 x -0.0027 = 3

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1111.11
  • Taille de position USD -116.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.375

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.58 % 2.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.89 % 7.95 $
PNL PNL %
-7.95 $ -6.89
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-11.7732 % 170.87 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1045 0.0973 0.1072 0.38 0.1168
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1045
  • Stop Loss: 0.0973
  • Take Profit: 0.1072

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0973 - 0.1045 = -0.0072

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1045 - 0.1072 = -0.0027

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0027 / -0.0072 = 0.375

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1072
            [entry_price] => 0.1045
            [stop_loss] => 0.09658
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 07:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1072
            [entry_price] => 0.1045
            [stop_loss] => 0.09586
            [rr_ratio] => 0.31
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 07:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1072
            [entry_price] => 0.1045
            [stop_loss] => 0.09514
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 07:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1072
            [entry_price] => 0.1045
            [stop_loss] => 0.0937
            [rr_ratio] => 0.25
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 07:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.890% (0.0072)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.459% 0.4R -0.048% 0.0R 51.5× 12
2h +2.459% 0.4R -11.773% 1.7R 0.2× 24
4h +2.459% 0.4R -11.773% 1.7R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +2.459% 0.4R -11.773% 1.7R 0.2× 72
8h +2.459% 0.4R -11.773% 1.7R 0.2× 96
12h +2.775% 0.4R -11.773% 1.7R 0.2× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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