30 Sep 2026 at 02:15:11 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 17292.44 PUMP at 0.00571$ per unit. Take profit: 0.005851 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005245 (8.11 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 02:15 → 06:30 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.005708$

Qty 17292.4367 PUMP

Size 98.7052$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.005851 (+2.51%)

TP $ 2.47$

SL 0.005245 (-8.11%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.31

Status win PnL +2.51% / +2.47$ MAE -1.19% MFE +2.80% 0.4R expires 30 Sep 08:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166690)
#9 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9028

Quality Score
0.600
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
277.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 02:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#9 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.11 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#9 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.11 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 01:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4433
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 49.7%
Impulse : +0.02
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 41.0%
1h 91.8%
4h 47.5%
24h 70.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.9% -0.03%
4h 47.5% -0.02%
24h 70.5% +0.99%
Dispersion : 0.125
Universe : 61 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 02:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8549
Score SMA
0.5683
Rank
#3 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9756
Rank Norm SMA
0.3897
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9854 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 19.54% · r3d: 33.89% · ema21_slope: 1.1367% · dist_ema21: 34.114%
Force Relative 25% 0.9756 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 19.34% · rs_3d: 34.83% · beta_24h: 1.139
Volume 20% 0.9891 rvol_20: 3.56× · zscore_50: 2.836 · trend: 114.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7837 ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 34.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.640% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.5997
Score SMA
0.5933
Rank
#9 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9028
Rank Norm SMA
0.5544
Calculé le
30/09/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7401 r1h: 0.280% · r4h: -2.398% · r1d: 16.45% · r3d: 29.31% · ema21_slope: 0.5211% · dist_ema21: 1.377%
Force Relative 25% 0.7048 rs_1h: 0.073% · rs_4h: -2.317% · rs_1d: 16.52% · rs_3d: 30.63% · beta_24h: 2.160
Volume 20% 0.1345 rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -1.030 · trend: -47.65%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5392 ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 70.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.8778 ATR%: 3.367% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6487
Score SMA
0.5891
Rank
#8 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9387
Rank Norm SMA
0.4811
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7776 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.798% · r1d: 19.31% · r3d: 31.19% · ema21_slope: 1.1253% · dist_ema21: 11.553%
Force Relative 25% 0.8254 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.380% · rs_1d: 19.03% · rs_3d: 32.51% · beta_24h: 1.719
Volume 20% 0.4313 rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: 0.395 · trend: 65.50%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7874 ADX: 36.3 (trend) · Chop: 40.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0473 ATR%: 5.858% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.111% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.631% 0.1R -1.191% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +1.734% 0.2R -1.191% 0.2R 1.5× 24
4h +2.348% 0.3R -1.191% 0.2R 2.0× 48
6h ★ +2.803% 0.4R -1.191% 0.2R 2.4× 72
8h +2.803% 0.4R -1.717% 0.2R 1.6× 96
12h +5.641% 0.7R -3.977% 0.5R 1.4× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.96
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.50 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — 0.27 bull_high +1.30% +0.99 29/09 20:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 37% early near 0.5ATR — 0.36 range_medium -0.48% +0.89 30/09 01:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% mid near -0.4ATR — 0.47 range_low -0.17% -0.16 30/09 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177651
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
69%
late 13b 2.7ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.682

—

—

3.56 value +4.00 ATR inside #97293 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
179268
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
58%
mid 6b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.670

—

—

0.82 value +3.04 ATR — #98037 29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 00:18
1h anchor
180052
↑ up bull_high
67%
early 6b 0.4ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.483

near 0.5ATR

—

0.18 above_value +3.64 ATR — #98447 30/09 01:00
upd 30/09 02:13
15m
179970
↔ neutral bull_high
57%
mid 18b -0.6ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.671

near -0.4ATR

—

0.09 above_value +3.33 ATR — #98283 30/09 01:45
upd 30/09 02:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 13b — 4.413×ATR p70 +2.701×ATR p97
4h ↑ up mid 6b — 3.135×ATR p58 +1.441×ATR p75
1h ↓ down early 6b — 1.63×ATR p14 +0.416×ATR p25
15m ↓ down mid 18b — 3.487×ATR p66 -0.63×ATR p37

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00524537
  2. tp_price: 0.0058507
  3. atr: 0.00018505
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T12:15:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.7522
  4. delta_2h: 0.0896
  5. extension_atr: 0.16
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9059
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 02:15 0.00570800 0%
2 04:15 0.00571800 +0.175%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005708 0.005245 0.005851 0.31 0.006007
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005708
  • Stop Loss: 0.005245
  • Take Profit: 0.005851

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005245 - 0.005708 = -0.000463

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005708 - 0.005851 = -0.000143

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000143 / -0.000463 = 0.3089

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
98.7052 98.7052 17292.4367 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000463

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000463 = -17278.62

Taille de position USD = -17278.62 x 0.005708 = -98.63

Donc, tu peux acheter -17278.62 avec un stoploss a 0.005245

Avec un position size USD de -98.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -17278.62 x -0.000463 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -17278.62 x -0.000143 = 2.47

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.47$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -17278.62
  • Taille de position USD -98.63
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.47
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3089

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 2.47 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.11 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
2.47 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1913 % 14.69 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005708 0.005245 0.005851 0.31 0.006007
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005708
  • Stop Loss: 0.005245
  • Take Profit: 0.005851

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005245 - 0.005708 = -0.000463

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005708 - 0.005851 = -0.000143

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000143 / -0.000463 = 0.3089

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.111% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.631% 0.1R -1.191% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +1.734% 0.2R -1.191% 0.2R 1.5× 24
4h +2.348% 0.3R -1.191% 0.2R 2.0× 48
6h ★ +2.803% 0.4R -1.191% 0.2R 2.4× 72
8h +2.803% 0.4R -1.717% 0.2R 1.6× 96
12h +5.641% 0.7R -3.977% 0.5R 1.4× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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