Long Trade on SKY (CatchTheWave)
With 20881.19 SKY at 0.082$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08274 (0.94 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08159 (0.46 %)
Long Trade on SKY (CatchTheWave)
With 20881.19 SKY at 0.082$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08274 (0.94 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08159 (0.46 %)
Position
Entry 0.08197$
Qty 20881.1861 SKY
Size 1711.6308$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08274 (+0.94%)
TP $ 16.08$
SL 0.08159 (-0.46%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8019
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.32×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.95×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.10×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.59817 15m : 0.410469 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
| 15m | 27.1% |
| 1h | 32.2% |
| 4h | 59.3% |
| 24h | 49.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 33.9% | -0.17% |
| 4h | 57.6% | +0.26% |
| 24h | 55.9% | -0.03% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8775 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.74% · r3d: 4.42% · ema21_slope: 1.1502% · dist_ema21: 13.893% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7580 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.55% · rs_3d: 5.36% · beta_24h: 1.107 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6723 | rvol_20: 1.68× · zscore_50: 1.252 · trend: 218.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7171 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 29.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.552% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6621 | r1h: 1.009% · r4h: 1.030% · r1d: 5.91% · r3d: 7.77% · ema21_slope: 0.0248% · dist_ema21: 0.570% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7071 | rs_1h: 0.802% · rs_4h: 1.111% · rs_1d: 5.98% · rs_3d: 9.09% · beta_24h: 0.888 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1825 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.549 · trend: -71.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5518 | ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 49.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.938% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7202 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.190% · r1d: 5.46% · r3d: 6.18% · ema21_slope: 0.2906% · dist_ema21: 2.462% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7535 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.607% · rs_1d: 5.17% · rs_3d: 7.50% · beta_24h: 0.564 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1808 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.625 · trend: -33.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5995 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 55.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6488 | ATR%: 4.054% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.175% | 0.4R | -1.340% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.175% | 0.4R | -1.607% | 3.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.355% | 0.8R | -1.607% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.385% | 3.0R | -2.923% | 6.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.385% | 3.0R | -5.271% | 11.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.96 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.39 | bull_high | +1.30% | +0.57 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.35 | range_medium | -0.48% | +0.17 | 30/09 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | range_medium |
35%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.50 | range_low | -0.45% | +0.04 | 30/09 02:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177655 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
mid 13b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.665 |
— near 0.1ATR |
1.68 | above_value | +2.29 ATR | — | #97295 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
|
|
4h
179274 |
↑ up | bull_high |
55%
|
early 2b 0.5ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.572 |
near 0.1ATR — |
0.08 | above_value | +2.42 ATR | — | #98039 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 00:19
|
|
1h
anchor
180054 |
↑ up | bull_high |
65%
|
early 7b 0.3ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.673 |
— near 0.3ATR |
0.62 | above_value | +3.20 ATR | — | #98449 |
30/09 01:00
upd 30/09 02:13
|
|
15m
180138 |
↔ neutral | range_medium |
35%
|
early 1b -0.3ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.495 |
— near -0.6ATR |
0.84 | above_value | +3.20 ATR | — | #98449 |
30/09 02:00
upd 30/09 02:21
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 4.232×ATR | p68 | +1.426×ATR | p76 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.663×ATR | p0 | +0.488×ATR | p32 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.734×ATR | p16 | +0.291×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.638×ATR | p2 | -0.324×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83379.8
-0.00400448
83046
0.59817
83459.2
-0.00401741
83124
0.410469
83710
-0.00385925
83387
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0.08018
191
0.6204
0.663
0.3675
0.2189
0.4892
0.6767
0.1953
0.5646
0.6788
0
0.49
0.6777
-0.0206
0.0308
0.6667
-0.1115
0.7598
0.6
0.4
1
12
0.9474
0.6148
0.6012
5.5066
0.55
0.6767
3.7263
0.7598
0.1594
0.2603
0
-0.3018
0.3473
0.5394
0
0.6777
-3.97
8.348
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 01:25:00 | 0.082597 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 01:35:00 | 0.081874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:20:00 | 0.081575 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:50:00 | 0.082236 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 03:30:00 | 0.081515 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 04:25:00 | 0.082836 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 04:55:00 | 0.08203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 05:05:00 | 0.082684 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 05:50:00 | 0.08311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 06:25:00 | 0.08197 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 15:30:00 | 0.083624 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 16:15:00 | 0.086617 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.083925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 18:30:00 | 0.087461 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 20:00:00 | 0.081601 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 22:30:00 | 0.08018 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 00:15:00 | 0.081206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 01:15:00 | 0.082597 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 03:30:00 | 0.081515 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 05:45:00 | 0.08311 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 01:00:00 | 0.078515 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 08:00:00 | 0.078155 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 13:00:00 | 0.072619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 03:00:00 | 0.086917 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 08:00:00 | 0.07825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 20:00:00 | 0.076701 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.077038 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 18:00:00 | 0.087461 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 22:00:00 | 0.08018 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 05:00:00 | 0.08311 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08197 | 0.08159 | 0.08274 | 2.03 | 0.0782 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08159 - 0.08197 = -0.00038000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08197 - 0.08274 = -0.00076999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00076999999999999 / -0.00038000000000001 = 2.0263
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1711.6308 | 100 | 20881.1861 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00038000000000001 = -21052.63
Taille de position USD = -21052.63 x 0.08197 = -1725.68
Donc, tu peux acheter -21052.63 avec un stoploss a 0.08159
Avec un position size USD de -1725.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -21052.63 x -0.00038000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -21052.63 x -0.00076999999999999 = 16.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 16.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.93 $ | -0.46 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7356 % | 158.67 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08197 | 0.08159 | 0.08274 | 2.03 | 0.0782 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08159 - 0.08197 = -0.00038000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08197 - 0.08274 = -0.00076999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00076999999999999 / -0.00038000000000001 = 2.0263
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[rr_ratio] => 1.35
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 06:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.175% | 0.4R | -1.340% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.175% | 0.4R | -1.607% | 3.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.355% | 0.8R | -1.607% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.385% | 3.0R | -2.923% | 6.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.385% | 3.0R | -5.271% | 11.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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