Short Trade on ZEC

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30 Sep 2026 at 03:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 0.15 ZEC at 1393.9$ per unit. Take profit: 1359.0525 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1448.8857 (3.94 %)

ZEC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 03:15 → 08:30 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 1393.9$

Qty 0.1455 ZEC

Size 202.8018$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1359.0525 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.07$

SL 1448.8857 (-3.94%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.63

Status loss PnL -3.94% / -8$ MAE -6.29% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 09:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166779)

#73 / 81 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0856

Quality Score

0.366

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

473.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 03:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#73 / 81 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#73 / 81 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.36×ATR
4h	clear	4.07×ATR
1d	clear	6.76×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/09 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 02:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4437

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	compression	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 28.7%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : btc_led_risk_on

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	15.5%
1h	3.5%
4h	25.9%
24h	43.1%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	29.3%	-0.13%
4h	34.5%	-0.69%
24h	53.5%	-0.59%

Dispersion : 0.136

Universe : 58 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 03:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5227

Score SMA

0.6147

Rank

#58 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3049

Rank Norm SMA

0.4952

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5903	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.51% · r3d: -14.31% · ema21_slope: 2.0163% · dist_ema21: 2.221%
Force Relative	25%	0.3920	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.70% · rs_3d: -13.37% · beta_24h: 1.343
Volume	20%	0.5293	rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 1.313 · trend: 35.08%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9448	ADX: 56.9 (trend) · Chop: 41.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.470% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 03:00

Score brut

0.3655

Score SMA

0.5235

Rank

#73 / 81

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0856

Rank Norm SMA

0.4395

Calculé le

30/09/2026 03:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3046	r1h: -0.690% · r4h: -1.357% · r1d: -1.04% · r3d: -15.63% · ema21_slope: -0.0966% · dist_ema21: -1.487%
Force Relative	25%	0.3537	rs_1h: -0.293% · rs_4h: -0.953% · rs_1d: 0.11% · rs_3d: -13.87% · beta_24h: 2.993
Volume	20%	0.1585	rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.623 · trend: -64.95%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4271	ADX: 21.7 (weak) · Chop: 69.6 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.652% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.3873

Score SMA

0.5368

Rank

#76 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1033

Rank Norm SMA

0.4020

Calculé le

30/09/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3506	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.002% · r1d: 1.80% · r3d: -14.41% · ema21_slope: -0.5154% · dist_ema21: -5.433%
Force Relative	25%	0.3441	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.585% · rs_1d: 1.51% · rs_3d: -13.10% · beta_24h: 3.152
Volume	20%	0.1618	rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -1.197 · trend: -18.78%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6676	ADX: 22.9 (weak) · Chop: 41.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.6361	ATR%: 4.092% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.945% (54.9857)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.528%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.528%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.834%	0.7R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-6.292%	1.6R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.196%	1.8R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.196%	1.8R	0.0×	144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	69%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.56	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.56	28/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bear_high	42%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.54	bull_high	+1.30%	-0.78	29/09 20:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 39%	early	near -0.4ATR	near 0.4ATR	0.36	bear_medium	-0.86%	-0.05	30/09 02:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	normal	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	—	0.65	range_low	-0.52%	-0.13	30/09 02:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177666	↑ up	bull_high	69%	early 3b 0.2ATR	noisy_chop 40%	0.700	— —	1.30	below_value	-4.84 ATR	—	#97300	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:29
4h 179292	↔ neutral	bear_high	42%	late 19b -1.3ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.636	— —	0.22	below_value	-5.81 ATR	—	#98045	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 00:19
1h anchor 180458	↓ down	bear_high	58%	early 6b -1.0ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.512	near -0.4ATR near 0.4ATR	0.47	below_value	-6.81 ATR	—	#98619	30/09 02:00 upd 30/09 03:12
15m 180375	↓ down	bear_medium	62%	mid 10b -1.2ATR	noisy_chop 41%	0.517	— —	0.56	below_value	-6.19 ATR	—	#98455	30/09 02:45 upd 30/09 03:04
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	3b	—	2.074×ATR	p0	+0.195×ATR	p10
4h	↓ down	late	19b	—	5.097×ATR	p87	-1.342×ATR	p63
1h	↓ down	early	6b	—	1.644×ATR	p4	-0.999×ATR	p47
15m	↓ down	mid	10b	—	2.267×ATR	p47	-1.241×ATR	p61

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1448.88570881
tp_price: 1359.0525
atr: 21.99428353
expires_at: 2026-09-30T13:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 77
total: 81
score: 0.2902
delta_2h: -0.0759
extension_atr: -0.89
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0873
confidence: 0.95

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1393.9	1448.8857	1359.0525	0.63	1148.7

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1393.9
Stop Loss: 1448.8857
Take Profit: 1359.0525

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1448.8857 - 1393.9 = 54.9857
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1393.9 - 1359.0525 = 34.8475
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 34.8475 / 54.9857 = 0.6338

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
202.8018	100	0.1455	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 54.9857

Taille de position = 8 / 54.9857 = 0.15

Taille de position USD = 0.15 x 1393.9 = 209.09

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.15 avec un stoploss a 1448.8857

Avec un position size USD de 209.09$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.15 x 54.9857 = 8.25

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.25$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.15 x 34.8475 = 5.23

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.23$

Résumé

Taille de position 0.15
Taille de position USD 209.09
Perte potentielle 8.25
Gain potentiel 5.23
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6338

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5.07 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.94 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-3.94

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.613 %	116.94 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1393.9	1448.8857	1359.0525	0.63	1148.7

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1393.9
Stop Loss: 1448.8857
Take Profit: 1359.0525

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1448.8857 - 1393.9 = 54.9857
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1393.9 - 1359.0525 = 34.8475
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 34.8475 / 54.9857 = 0.6338

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1359.0525
            [entry_price] => 1393.9
            [stop_loss] => 1454.38427
            [rr_ratio] => 0.58
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 12:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1359.0525
            [entry_price] => 1393.9
            [stop_loss] => 1459.88284
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 12:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1359.0525
            [entry_price] => 1393.9
            [stop_loss] => 1465.38141
            [rr_ratio] => 0.49
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 13:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1359.0525
            [entry_price] => 1393.9
            [stop_loss] => 1476.37855
            [rr_ratio] => 0.42
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 13:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.945% (54.9857)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.528%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.528%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.834%	0.7R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-6.292%	1.6R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.196%	1.8R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.196%	1.8R	0.0×	144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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