Short Trade on APT

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30 Sep 2026 at 03:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on APT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 237.62 APT at 0.783$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7637 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.817 (4.3 %)

APT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 03:15 → 08:35 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.7833$

Qty 237.6204 APT

Size 186.128$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.7637 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.66$

SL 0.817 (-4.3%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.58

Status loss PnL -4.30% / -8.01$ MAE -5.12% MFE +0.19% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 09:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166725)

#80 / 81 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1698

Quality Score

0.343

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 03:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#80 / 81 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.30 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#80 / 81 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.30 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.18×ATR
4h	clear	1.10×ATR
1d	clear	3.58×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/09 02:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 02:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4437

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	compression	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 28.7%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : btc_led_risk_on

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	15.5%
1h	3.5%
4h	25.9%
24h	43.1%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	29.3%	-0.13%
4h	34.5%	-0.69%
24h	53.5%	-0.59%

Dispersion : 0.136

Universe : 58 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 03:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5452

Score SMA

0.6676

Rank

#52 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3780

Rank Norm SMA

0.6747

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6595	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.82% · r3d: -7.29% · ema21_slope: 2.0560% · dist_ema21: 6.777%
Force Relative	25%	0.4978	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.02% · rs_3d: -6.35% · beta_24h: 1.819
Volume	20%	0.4715	rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: 0.792 · trend: 47.38%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8575	ADX: 42.9 (trend) · Chop: 29.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.608% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 03:00

Score brut

0.3430

Score SMA

0.5492

Rank

#80 / 81

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1698

Rank Norm SMA

0.5310

Calculé le

30/09/2026 03:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2816	r1h: -1.893% · r4h: -1.212% · r1d: -5.35% · r3d: -8.76% · ema21_slope: -0.1998% · dist_ema21: -2.338%
Force Relative	25%	0.3100	rs_1h: -1.496% · rs_4h: -0.808% · rs_1d: -4.21% · rs_3d: -6.99% · beta_24h: 2.672
Volume	20%	0.1481	rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.778 · trend: -78.07%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3425	ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 76.5 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.807% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.4178

Score SMA

0.5787

Rank

#69 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1525

Rank Norm SMA

0.5471

Calculé le

30/09/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4967	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.139% · r1d: -3.58% · r3d: -6.10% · ema21_slope: -0.1913% · dist_ema21: -3.870%
Force Relative	25%	0.4071	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.278% · rs_1d: -3.87% · rs_3d: -4.78% · beta_24h: 2.233
Volume	20%	0.1341	rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -1.110 · trend: -43.94%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5121	ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 58.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.6340	ATR%: 4.098% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.302% (0.0337)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.192%	0.0R	-0.753%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.192%	0.0R	-1.941%	0.5R	0.1×	24
4h	+0.192%	0.0R	-3.141%	0.7R	0.1×	48
6h ★	+0.192%	0.0R	-5.119%	1.2R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.192%	0.0R	-5.119%	1.2R	0.0×	96
12h	+1.775%	0.4R	-5.119%	1.2R	0.4×	144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.11

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	67%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.69	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.93	28/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	—	0.39	bull_high	+1.30%	-0.59	29/09 20:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 43%	mid	—	—	0.34	bear_medium	-0.86%	-0.48	30/09 02:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bear_medium	55%	noisy_chop 45%	late	near -0.1ATR	—	0.68	range_low	-0.52%	-0.09	30/09 02:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177477	↑ up	bull_high	67%	early 13b 0.6ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.545	— —	1.06	below_value	-2.76 ATR	—	#97244	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:19
4h 179148	↔ neutral	bull_high	52%	early 21b -1.0ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.649	— —	0.23	below_value	-3.22 ATR	—	#97990	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 00:13
1h anchor 180403	↓ down	bear_high	55%	mid 10b -1.5ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.616	— —	0.29	below_value	-2.94 ATR	—	#98564	30/09 02:00 upd 30/09 03:09
15m 180332	↔ neutral	bear_medium	55%	late 8b -1.9ATR	noisy_chop 45%	0.472	near -0.1ATR —	2.01	below_value	-1.91 ATR	—	#98400	30/09 02:45 upd 30/09 03:01
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	13b	—	3.905×ATR	p41	+0.609×ATR	p41
4h	↓ down	early	21b	—	3.199×ATR	p35	-0.952×ATR	p42
1h	↓ down	mid	10b	—	1.521×ATR	p3	-1.479×ATR	p76
15m	↓ down	late	8b	—	4.159×ATR	p82	-1.854×ATR	p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.81696715
tp_price: 0.7637175
atr: 0.01346686
expires_at: 2026-09-30T13:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 78
total: 81
score: 0.2816
delta_2h: -0.1511
extension_atr: -1.15
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1714
confidence: 0.963

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	03:15	0.78330000	0%
2	04:15	0.78460000	+0.166%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.7833	0.817	0.7637	0.58	0.7281

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.7833
Stop Loss: 0.817
Take Profit: 0.7637

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.817 - 0.7833 = 0.0337
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.7833 - 0.7637 = 0.0196
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0196 / 0.0337 = 0.5816

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
186.128	100	237.6204	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0337

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0337 = 237.39

Taille de position USD = 237.39 x 0.7833 = 185.95

Donc, tu peux acheter 237.39 avec un stoploss a 0.817

Avec un position size USD de 185.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 237.39 x 0.0337 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 237.39 x 0.0196 = 4.65

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.65$

Résumé

Taille de position 237.39
Taille de position USD 185.95
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.65
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5816

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.66 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.3 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-8.01 $	-4.30

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.4044 %	102.37 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.7833	0.817	0.7637	0.58	0.7281

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.7833
Stop Loss: 0.817
Take Profit: 0.7637

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.817 - 0.7833 = 0.0337
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.7833 - 0.7637 = 0.0196
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0196 / 0.0337 = 0.5816

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.7637
            [entry_price] => 0.7833
            [stop_loss] => 0.82037
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 12:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.302% (0.0337)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.192%	0.0R	-0.753%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.192%	0.0R	-1.941%	0.5R	0.1×	24
4h	+0.192%	0.0R	-3.141%	0.7R	0.1×	48
6h ★	+0.192%	0.0R	-5.119%	1.2R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.192%	0.0R	-5.119%	1.2R	0.0×	96
12h	+1.775%	0.4R	-5.119%	1.2R	0.4×	144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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