Short Trade on FET

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30 Sep 2026 at 04:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on FET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 816.81 FET at 0.215$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2097 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2249 (4.56 %)

FET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 04:15 → 08:30 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.2151$

Qty 816.8091 FET

Size 175.6875$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2097 (+2.51%)

TP $ 4.41$

SL 0.2249 (-4.56%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.55

Status loss PnL -4.56% / -8$ MAE -7.39% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 10:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166818)

#79 / 82 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2718

Quality Score

0.387

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

3.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 04:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#79 / 82 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.56 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#79 / 82 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.56 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.54×ATR
4h	near	-0.12×ATR
1d	clear	2.81×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 03:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 03:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4441

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	compression	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 52.3%

Impulse : +0.02

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : alts

% Positive (universe)

15m	29.3%
1h	87.9%
4h	58.6%
24h	36.2%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	39.7%	-0.04%
4h	58.6%	+0.30%
24h	43.1%	-1.25%

Dispersion : 0.126

Universe : 58 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 04:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5939

Score SMA

0.6808

Rank

#42 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5000

Rank Norm SMA

0.6537

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7394	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.91% · r3d: -8.53% · ema21_slope: 2.1741% · dist_ema21: 10.653%
Force Relative	25%	0.6051	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.11% · rs_3d: -7.59% · beta_24h: 1.809
Volume	20%	0.4885	rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.723 · trend: 47.64%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8204	ADX: 38.4 (trend) · Chop: 24.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.296% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.3871

Score SMA

0.5718

Rank

#79 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2718

Rank Norm SMA

0.5823

Calculé le

30/09/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2956	r1h: -0.860% · r4h: -1.562% · r1d: -4.87% · r3d: -12.37% · ema21_slope: -0.1317% · dist_ema21: -2.792%
Force Relative	25%	0.2804	rs_1h: -1.162% · rs_4h: -1.546% · rs_1d: -4.06% · rs_3d: -10.58% · beta_24h: 2.218
Volume	20%	0.7980	rvol_20: 2.70× · zscore_50: 1.675 · trend: 50.29%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5451	ADX: 13.3 (weak) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.872% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.4344

Score SMA

0.6215

Rank

#56 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2284

Rank Norm SMA

0.6651

Calculé le

30/09/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4082	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.562% · r1d: -4.87% · r3d: -12.37% · ema21_slope: -0.2928% · dist_ema21: -4.885%
Force Relative	25%	0.3730	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.546% · rs_1d: -4.06% · rs_3d: -10.58% · beta_24h: 3.166
Volume	20%	0.4604	rvol_20: 1.62× · zscore_50: 0.355 · trend: -7.29%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6058	ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.4972	ATR%: 4.508% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.556% (0.0098)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.552%	0.6R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.133%	0.7R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.831%	0.8R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.392%	1.6R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.392%	1.6R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.392%	1.6R	0.0×	144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	70%	noisy_chop 43%	early	—	—	0.66	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.97	28/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	normal	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 42%	early	near -0.1ATR	—	0.60	bull_high	+1.26%	-0.77	30/09 00:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	compression	bear_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	near -1.5ATR	—	0.47	range_medium	-0.55%	-0.59	30/09 03:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.65	range_low	-0.20%	-0.29	30/09 03:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177531	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	70%	early 13b 1.0ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.596	— —	1.19	above_value	-1.56 ATR	—	#97257	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:22
4h 180842	↔ neutral	bull_high	52%	early 5b -1.1ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.541	near -0.1ATR —	1.62	below_value	-3.30 ATR	—	#98739	30/09 00:00 upd 30/09 04:14
1h anchor 180841	↔ neutral	bear_high_confirmed	55%	mid 11b -1.6ATR	noisy_chop 45%	0.448	near -1.5ATR —	2.70	below_value	-3.30 ATR	inside	#98739	30/09 03:00 upd 30/09 04:14
15m 180741	↓ down	bear_high_confirmed	59%	late 27b -2.8ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.393	— —	4.86	value	-2.95 ATR	—	#98575	30/09 03:45 upd 30/09 04:02
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	13b	—	4.031×ATR	p48	+1.006×ATR	p43
4h	↓ down	early	5b	—	1.986×ATR	p0	-1.077×ATR	p51
1h	↓ down	mid	11b	—	3.624×ATR	p76	-1.629×ATR	p76
15m	↓ down	late	27b	—	6.13×ATR	p92	-2.807×ATR	p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.22488421
tp_price: 0.20971275
atr: 0.00391768
expires_at: 2026-09-30T14:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 81
total: 82
score: 0.3309
delta_2h: -0.066
extension_atr: -1.78
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1978
confidence: 0.988

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2151	0.2249	0.2097	0.55	0.2183

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2151
Stop Loss: 0.2249
Take Profit: 0.2097

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2249 - 0.2151 = 0.0098
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2151 - 0.2097 = 0.0054
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0054 / 0.0098 = 0.551

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
175.6875	100	816.8091	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0098

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0098 = 816.33

Taille de position USD = 816.33 x 0.2151 = 175.59

Donc, tu peux acheter 816.33 avec un stoploss a 0.2249

Avec un position size USD de 175.59$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 816.33 x 0.0098 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 816.33 x 0.0054 = 4.41

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.41$

Résumé

Taille de position 816.33
Taille de position USD 175.59
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.41
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.551

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	4.41 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.56 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-4.56

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-5.9321 %	130.2 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2151	0.2249	0.2097	0.55	0.2183

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2151
Stop Loss: 0.2249
Take Profit: 0.2097

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2249 - 0.2151 = 0.0098
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2151 - 0.2097 = 0.0054
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0054 / 0.0098 = 0.551

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2097
            [entry_price] => 0.2151
            [stop_loss] => 0.22588
            [rr_ratio] => 0.5
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 12:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2097
            [entry_price] => 0.2151
            [stop_loss] => 0.22686
            [rr_ratio] => 0.46
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 12:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2097
            [entry_price] => 0.2151
            [stop_loss] => 0.22784
            [rr_ratio] => 0.42
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 12:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2097
            [entry_price] => 0.2151
            [stop_loss] => 0.2298
            [rr_ratio] => 0.37
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 12:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.556% (0.0098)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.552%	0.6R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.133%	0.7R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.831%	0.8R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.392%	1.6R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.392%	1.6R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.392%	1.6R	0.0×	144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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