Short Trade on CC

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30 Sep 2026 at 04:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1554.8 CC at 0.125$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1219 (2.56 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1302 (4.08 %)

CC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 04:15 → 10:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1251$

Qty 1554.7989 CC

Size 194.4431$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1219 (+2.56%)

TP $ 4.98$

SL 0.1302 (-4.08%)

SL $ 7.93$

RR 0.63

Status loss PnL -1.97% / -3.84$ MAE -3.81% MFE +1.81% 0.4R expires 30 Sep 10:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166865)

#81 / 82 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2607

Quality Score

0.386

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 04:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#81 / 82 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.08 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#81 / 82 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.08 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.77×ATR
4h	clear	3.17×ATR
1d	clear	2.01×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/09 02:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 02:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4441

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	compression	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 52.3%

Impulse : +0.02

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : alts

% Positive (universe)

15m	29.3%
1h	87.9%
4h	58.6%
24h	36.2%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	39.7%	-0.04%
4h	58.6%	+0.30%
24h	43.1%	-1.25%

Dispersion : 0.126

Universe : 58 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 04:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4846

Score SMA

0.6008

Rank

#70 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1585

Rank Norm SMA

0.4631

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6193	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.78% · r3d: -9.04% · ema21_slope: 1.1669% · dist_ema21: 5.976%
Force Relative	25%	0.4198	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.98% · rs_3d: -8.10% · beta_24h: 1.639
Volume	20%	0.4417	rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: 0.026 · trend: 85.23%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7035	ADX: 24.4 (weak) · Chop: 26.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.332% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.3861

Score SMA

0.5812

Rank

#81 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2607

Rank Norm SMA

0.5621

Calculé le

30/09/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3632	r1h: 0.691% · r4h: -0.658% · r1d: -5.80% · r3d: -8.25% · ema21_slope: -0.1857% · dist_ema21: -1.055%
Force Relative	25%	0.3865	rs_1h: 0.389% · rs_4h: -0.642% · rs_1d: -5.00% · rs_3d: -6.46% · beta_24h: 1.426
Volume	20%	0.1647	rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.529 · trend: -53.85%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4197	ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 64.8 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.694% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.4149

Score SMA

0.6288

Rank

#64 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3333

Rank Norm SMA

0.6266

Calculé le

30/09/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5083	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.658% · r1d: -5.80% · r3d: -8.25% · ema21_slope: -0.1673% · dist_ema21: -2.927%
Force Relative	25%	0.4612	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.642% · rs_1d: -5.00% · rs_3d: -6.46% · beta_24h: 0.237
Volume	20%	0.1602	rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.761 · trend: -41.79%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6309	ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.4701	ATR%: 4.590% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.077% (0.0051)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.807%	0.4R	-0.072%	0.0R	25.1×	12
2h	+1.807%	0.4R	-0.072%	0.0R	25.1×	24
4h	+1.807%	0.4R	-0.967%	0.2R	1.9×	48
6h ★	+1.807%	0.4R	-3.813%	0.9R	0.5×	72
8h	+1.807%	0.4R	-3.813%	0.9R	0.5×	96
12h	+1.807%	0.4R	-3.813%	0.9R	0.5×	144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 4.36

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 42%	early	—	—	0.29	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.75	28/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	normal	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.36	bull_high	+1.30%	-0.53	29/09 20:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 42%	early	near -0.8ATR	—	0.34	bear_medium	-0.86%	-0.38	30/09 02:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_medium	58%	noisy_chop 46%	mid	—	—	0.22	range_low	-0.20%	-0.10	30/09 03:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177672	↔ neutral	bull_high	52%	early 13b 0.6ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.554	— —	0.87	below_value	-5.66 ATR	—	#97303	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:30
4h 179302	↔ neutral	bull_high	52%	early 12b -0.5ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.549	— —	0.67	value	-4.46 ATR	—	#98048	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 00:20
1h anchor 180461	↓ down	bear_high	58%	early 3b -1.3ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.460	near -0.8ATR —	0.59	below_value	-5.78 ATR	—	#98622	30/09 02:00 upd 30/09 03:12
15m 180778	↔ neutral	bear_medium	58%	mid 19b 0.2ATR	noisy_chop 46%	0.666	— —	0.33	below_value	-5.78 ATR	—	#98622	30/09 03:45 upd 30/09 04:04
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	13b	—	3.438×ATR	p32	+0.62×ATR	p43
4h	↓ down	early	12b	—	3.199×ATR	p32	-0.489×ATR	p22
1h	↓ down	early	3b	—	1.714×ATR	p12	-1.254×ATR	p57
15m	↓ down	mid	19b	—	3.602×ATR	p63	+0.2×ATR	p15

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.13020536
tp_price: 0.1219335
atr: 0.00205814
expires_at: 2026-09-30T14:15:08+00:00

Details

rank: 80
total: 82
score: 0.3322
delta_2h: -0.0636
extension_atr: -0.64
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2561
confidence: 0.975

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1251	0.1302	0.1219	0.63	0.1191

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1251
Stop Loss: 0.1302
Take Profit: 0.1219

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1302 - 0.1251 = 0.0051
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1251 - 0.1219 = 0.0032
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0032 / 0.0051 = 0.6275

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
194.4431	100	1554.7989	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0051

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0051 = 1568.63

Taille de position USD = 1568.63 x 0.1251 = 196.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 1568.63 avec un stoploss a 0.1302

Avec un position size USD de 196.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1568.63 x 0.0051 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1568.63 x 0.0032 = 5.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.02$

Résumé

Taille de position 1568.63
Taille de position USD 196.24
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.02
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6275

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.56 %	4.98 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.08 %	7.93 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.84 $	-1.97

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.8129 %	93.53 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1251	0.1302	0.1219	0.63	0.1191

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1251
Stop Loss: 0.1302
Take Profit: 0.1219

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1302 - 0.1251 = 0.0051
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1251 - 0.1219 = 0.0032
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0032 / 0.0051 = 0.6275

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.077% (0.0051)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.807%	0.4R	-0.072%	0.0R	25.1×	12
2h	+1.807%	0.4R	-0.072%	0.0R	25.1×	24
4h	+1.807%	0.4R	-0.967%	0.2R	1.9×	48
6h ★	+1.807%	0.4R	-3.813%	0.9R	0.5×	72
8h	+1.807%	0.4R	-3.813%	0.9R	0.5×	96
12h	+1.807%	0.4R	-3.813%	0.9R	0.5×	144

computed 1 week ago

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