30 Sep 2026 at 06:15:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 355.67 CRV at 0.405$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4147 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3821 (5.56 %)

CRV LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 06:15 → 12:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.4046$

Qty 355.6675 CRV

Size 143.8924$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4147 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.59$

SL 0.3821 (-5.56%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.45

Status loss PnL -3.04% / -4.38$ MAE -5.29% MFE +1.59% 0.3R expires 30 Sep 12:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167047)
#2 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8791

Quality Score
0.694
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
24.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 06:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#2 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.56 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.56 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.15×ATR
4h near -0.34×ATR
1d clear 0.88×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 05:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4449
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 79.6%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 68.5%
1h 92.6%
4h 87.0%
24h 46.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 29.6% +0.03%
4h 70.4% +0.69%
24h 51.9% -0.38%
Dispersion : 0.114
Universe : 54 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 06:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7185
Score SMA
0.5337
Rank
#11 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8780
Rank Norm SMA
0.2771
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8463 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.52% · r3d: 9.63% · ema21_slope: 0.4400% · dist_ema21: 8.960%
Force Relative 25% 0.7339 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.32% · rs_3d: 10.57% · beta_24h: 1.084
Volume 20% 0.9030 rvol_20: 2.69× · zscore_50: 2.799 · trend: 74.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6701 ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.163% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.6944
Score SMA
0.5537
Rank
#2 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8791
Rank Norm SMA
0.4613
Calculé le
30/09/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7911 r1h: 2.128% · r4h: 3.156% · r1d: 2.69% · r3d: 14.70% · ema21_slope: 0.0844% · dist_ema21: 4.359%
Force Relative 25% 0.7876 rs_1h: 1.447% · rs_4h: 2.855% · rs_1d: 3.43% · rs_3d: 16.27% · beta_24h: 1.239
Volume 20% 0.3425 rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.099 · trend: -24.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6667 ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 48.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.301% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6391
Score SMA
0.5134
Rank
#8 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8827
Rank Norm SMA
0.3041
Calculé le
30/09/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8022 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.082% · r1d: -1.34% · r3d: 11.05% · ema21_slope: 0.5869% · dist_ema21: 5.949%
Force Relative 25% 0.7197 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.097% · rs_1d: -0.53% · rs_3d: 12.84% · beta_24h: 1.159
Volume 20% 0.2788 rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.424 · trend: 21.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7133 ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 30.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5578 ATR%: 4.327% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.561% (0.0225)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.195% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +1.592% 0.3R -2.195% 0.4R 0.7× 24
4h +1.592% 0.3R -4.454% 0.8R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +1.592% 0.3R -5.289% 1.0R 0.3× 72
8h +1.592% 0.3R -5.289% 1.0R 0.3× 96
12h +1.592% 0.3R -5.289% 1.0R 0.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.82
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.65 bull_high +12.90% +0.03 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 41% mid — near -0.3ATR 0.40 bull_high +1.26% +0.87 30/09 00:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate fading normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% late — near -1.2ATR 0.43 range_medium -0.13% +0.23 30/09 05:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.46 range_low +0.23% +0.41 30/09 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177457
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
61%
mid 13b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.720

—

—

2.69 above_value +3.38 ATR — #97239 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:18
4h
180810
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
60%
mid 4b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.744

—

near -0.3ATR

0.57 above_value +4.79 ATR — #98723 30/09 00:00
upd 30/09 04:13
1h anchor
181689
↑ up bull_high
61%
late 9b 2.0ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.362

—

near -1.2ATR

1.13 above_value +6.19 ATR inside #99133 30/09 05:00
upd 30/09 06:11
15m
181614
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
64%
late 12b 2.6ATR noisy_chop 48% 0.520

—

—

2.00 above_value +5.52 ATR — #98969 30/09 05:45
upd 30/09 06:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 13b — 2.6×ATR p5 +1.006×ATR p62
4h ↓ down mid 4b — 1.425×ATR p0 +1.069×ATR p66
1h ↑ up late 9b — 3.404×ATR p80 +2.047×ATR p92
15m ↑ up late 12b — 5.05×ATR p90 +2.558×ATR p94

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.38207708
  2. tp_price: 0.41468425
  3. atr: 0.00899717
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T16:15:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.812
  4. delta_2h: 0.1409
  5. extension_atr: 1.45
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8776
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4046 0.3821 0.4147 0.45 0.3613
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4046
  • Stop Loss: 0.3821
  • Take Profit: 0.4147

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3821 - 0.4046 = -0.0225

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4046 - 0.4147 = -0.0101

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0101 / -0.0225 = 0.4489

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
143.8924 100 355.6675 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0225

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0225 = -355.56

Taille de position USD = -355.56 x 0.4046 = -143.86

Donc, tu peux acheter -355.56 avec un stoploss a 0.3821

Avec un position size USD de -143.86$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -355.56 x -0.0225 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -355.56 x -0.0101 = 3.59

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.59$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -355.56
  • Taille de position USD -143.86
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.59
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4489

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.59 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.56 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-4.38 $ -3.04
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.2892 % 95.11 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4046 0.3821 0.4147 0.45 0.3613
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4046
  • Stop Loss: 0.3821
  • Take Profit: 0.4147

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3821 - 0.4046 = -0.0225

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4046 - 0.4147 = -0.0101

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0101 / -0.0225 = 0.4489

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.561% (0.0225)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.195% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +1.592% 0.3R -2.195% 0.4R 0.7× 24
4h +1.592% 0.3R -4.454% 0.8R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +1.592% 0.3R -5.289% 1.0R 0.3× 72
8h +1.592% 0.3R -5.289% 1.0R 0.3× 96
12h +1.592% 0.3R -5.289% 1.0R 0.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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