30 Sep 2026 at 07:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 23.05 NEAR at 5.293$ per unit. Take profit: 5.4254 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.946 (6.56 %)

NEAR LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 07:15 → 08:30 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 5.2931$

Qty 23.0455 NEAR

Size 121.9819$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 5.4254 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.05$

SL 4.946 (-6.56%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.38

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.05$ MAE -2.76% MFE +4.12% 0.6R expires 30 Sep 13:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167145)
#1 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6832

Quality Score
0.807
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
335.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 07:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#1 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.56 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.56 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.79×ATR
4h near 0.20×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4453
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 87.3%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 21.8%
1h 80.0%
4h 96.4%
24h 49.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 29.1% -0.08%
4h 85.5% +1.86%
24h 54.6% -0.01%
Dispersion : 0.147
Universe : 55 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 07:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7113
Score SMA
0.7684
Rank
#13 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8537
Rank Norm SMA
0.8906
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8149 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.30% · r3d: -3.17% · ema21_slope: 5.3289% · dist_ema21: 24.772%
Force Relative 25% 0.7037 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.10% · rs_3d: -2.23% · beta_24h: 1.664
Volume 20% 0.7045 rvol_20: 1.63× · zscore_50: 1.864 · trend: 135.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 1.0000 ADX: 61.6 (trend) · Chop: 16.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.789% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.8071
Score SMA
0.5769
Rank
#1 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6832
Rank Norm SMA
0.6187
Calculé le
30/09/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7838 r1h: 4.003% · r4h: 8.495% · r1d: 10.78% · r3d: 1.44% · ema21_slope: 0.1326% · dist_ema21: 5.866%
Force Relative 25% 0.8966 rs_1h: 3.663% · rs_4h: 7.452% · rs_1d: 10.91% · rs_3d: 2.59% · beta_24h: 2.972
Volume 20% 0.8476 rvol_20: 2.79× · zscore_50: 2.256 · trend: 47.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5220 ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 51.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.743% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5618
Score SMA
0.5861
Rank
#19 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7099
Rank Norm SMA
0.5794
Calculé le
30/09/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7396 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.592% · r1d: 6.40% · r3d: -6.59% · ema21_slope: -0.1187% · dist_ema21: 2.487%
Force Relative 25% 0.7381 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.608% · rs_1d: 7.21% · rs_3d: -4.81% · beta_24h: 1.930
Volume 20% 0.2189 rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.695 · trend: -13.98%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5865 ADX: 27.2 (trend) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.2369 ATR%: 5.289% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.558% (0.3471)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.137% 0.2R -0.472% 0.1R 2.4× 12
2h +3.524% 0.5R -0.625% 0.1R 5.6× 24
4h +3.524% 0.5R -2.023% 0.3R 1.7× 48
6h ★ +4.119% 0.6R -2.760% 0.4R 1.5× 72
8h +4.119% 0.6R -2.760% 0.4R 1.5× 96
12h +4.119% 0.6R -2.760% 0.4R 1.5× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.85
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.54 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 36% early — near 0.2ATR 0.40 bull_high +1.26% +0.16 30/09 00:00
1h ↑ up range range weak grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 38% late — — 0.28 range_medium +0.20% +0.48 30/09 06:00
15m ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.60 range_low +0.54% +0.49 30/09 06:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177535
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
60%
late 16b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.728

—

—

1.63 above_value -0.26 ATR — #97258 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:22
4h
180844
↑ up bull_high
65%
early 7b 0.5ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.741

—

near 0.2ATR

0.61 above_value +0.94 ATR — #98740 30/09 00:00
upd 30/09 04:14
1h anchor
182110
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
64%
late 3b 2.2ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.559

—

—

2.79 above_value +2.51 ATR — #99314 30/09 06:00
upd 30/09 07:10
15m
182035
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
61%
late 15b 2.8ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.524

—

—

3.12 above_value +1.18 ATR — #99150 30/09 06:45
upd 30/09 07:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 16b — 5.475×ATR p83 +1.544×ATR p73
4h ↑ up early 7b — 1.92×ATR p0 +0.456×ATR p31
1h ↑ up late 3b — 3.157×ATR p73 +2.154×ATR p94
15m ↑ up late 15b — 6.613×ATR p100 +2.827×ATR p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 4.94596011
  2. tp_price: 5.4254275
  3. atr: 0.13885596
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T17:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 81
  3. score: 0.7838
  4. delta_2h: 0.1345
  5. extension_atr: 1.95
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6832
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 07:15 5.29310000 0%
2 08:15 5.28190000 -0.212%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.2931 4.946 5.4254 0.38 5.0042
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.2931
  • Stop Loss: 4.946
  • Take Profit: 5.4254

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.946 - 5.2931 = -0.3471

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.2931 - 5.4254 = -0.1323

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1323 / -0.3471 = 0.3812

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
121.9819 100 23.0455 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.3471

Taille de position = 8 / -0.3471 = -23.05

Taille de position USD = -23.05 x 5.2931 = -122.01

Donc, tu peux acheter -23.05 avec un stoploss a 4.946

Avec un position size USD de -122.01$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -23.05 x -0.3471 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -23.05 x -0.1323 = 3.05

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.05$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -23.05
  • Taille de position USD -122.01
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.05
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3812

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.56 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.05 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6253 % 9.54 % 11
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.2931 4.946 5.4254 0.38 5.0042
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.2931
  • Stop Loss: 4.946
  • Take Profit: 5.4254

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.946 - 5.2931 = -0.3471

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.2931 - 5.4254 = -0.1323

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1323 / -0.3471 = 0.3812

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.558% (0.3471)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.137% 0.2R -0.472% 0.1R 2.4× 12
2h +3.524% 0.5R -0.625% 0.1R 5.6× 24
4h +3.524% 0.5R -2.023% 0.3R 1.7× 48
6h ★ +4.119% 0.6R -2.760% 0.4R 1.5× 72
8h +4.119% 0.6R -2.760% 0.4R 1.5× 96
12h +4.119% 0.6R -2.760% 0.4R 1.5× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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