Long Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 4835.33 DOGE at 0.0952$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09937 (4.34 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09358 (1.74 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 07:16:21
hyperliquid
DOGE
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 07:16
→ 19:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.09524$
Qty 4835.3269 DOGE
Size 460.502$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.09937 (+4.34%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.09358 (-1.74%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-0.69%
/ -3.18$
MAE -1.74%
MFE +3.10%
1.8R
expires
30 Sep 19:16
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 167124)
#6 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 07:00
score du 30/09/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3692
Quality Score
0.670
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
20.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 07:15
30/09 07:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.47×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.73×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.75×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 30/09 06:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4454
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
66.1%
Impulse :
-0.21
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 20.0% |
| 1h | 12.7% |
| 4h | 74.6% |
| 24h | 36.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 20.0% | -0.35% |
| 4h | 58.2% | +0.61% |
| 24h | 47.3% | -0.72% |
Dispersion :
0.123
Universe :
55
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 07:16
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5066
Score SMA
0.5478
Rank
#64
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2317
Rank Norm SMA
0.2477
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7020 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.07% · r3d: -3.00% · ema21_slope: 0.8341% · dist_ema21: 2.843% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4859 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.27% · rs_3d: -2.06% · beta_24h: 1.688 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2963 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.250 · trend: 3.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7687 | ADX: 32.2 (trend) · Chop: 37.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.049% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.6695
Score SMA
0.5157
Rank
#6
/ 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3692
Rank Norm SMA
0.4211
Calculé le
30/09/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5613 | r1h: 1.173% · r4h: 2.532% · r1d: 0.34% · r3d: -2.43% · ema21_slope: -0.0182% · dist_ema21: 1.440% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5609 | rs_1h: 0.833% · rs_4h: 1.489% · rs_1d: 0.47% · rs_3d: -1.28% · beta_24h: 1.734 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 6.47× · zscore_50: 4.188 · trend: 141.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4060 | ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 63.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.017% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4509
Score SMA
0.5429
Rank
#58
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2531
Rank Norm SMA
0.4410
Calculé le
30/09/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4662 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.408% · r1d: -1.31% · r3d: -4.48% · ema21_slope: -0.1454% · dist_ema21: -0.935% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4566 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.424% · rs_1d: -0.51% · rs_3d: -2.70% · beta_24h: 1.735 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1556 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.695 · trend: -48.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4386 | ADX: 15.1 (weak) · Chop: 61.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.215% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.743%
(0.0017)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.512% | 0.9R | -0.149% | 0.1R | 10.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.751% | 1.6R | -0.149% | 0.1R | 18.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.102% | 1.8R | -0.982% | 0.6R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.102% | 1.8R | -1.736% | 1.0R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.102% | 1.8R | -1.736% | 1.0R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.102% | 1.8R | -1.830% | 1.1R | 1.7× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.43
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.20 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +1.26% | -0.18 | 30/09 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.68 | range_medium | +0.20% | -0.04 | 30/09 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.87 | range_low | +0.44% | +0.08 | 30/09 07:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177441 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
57%
|
early 13b 0.4ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.567 |
— — |
0.76 | above_value | -3.50 ATR | — | #97235 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:18
|
|
4h
180802 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
55%
|
early 10b -0.4ATR | noisy_chop 35% | 0.596 |
— — |
0.46 | above_value | +0.36 ATR | — | #98719 |
30/09 00:00
upd 30/09 04:13
|
|
1h
anchor
182089 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
38%
|
mid 4b 1.6ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.543 |
— near 0.5ATR |
6.47 | value | +2.04 ATR | — | #99293 |
30/09 06:00
upd 30/09 07:09
|
|
15m
182172 |
↔ neutral | bull_medium_confirmed |
61%
|
late 11b 2.2ATR | noisy_chop 48% | 0.460 |
— near 0.1ATR |
1.18 | value | +2.04 ATR | — | #99293 |
30/09 07:00
upd 30/09 07:15
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.748×ATR | p11 | +0.413×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.067×ATR | p0 | -0.406×ATR | p24 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.593×ATR | p54 | +1.622×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.296×ATR | p81 | +2.151×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9435
- reason: up_bo width=1.90×ATR dur=48b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.09358251
- tp_price: 0.09937323
- atr:
- score: 0.94350562972115
- expires_at: 2026-09-30T23:16:13.424190
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.94350562972115
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0678
- obi_top10 : 0.0126
- micro_price : 0.09514795
- spread_pct : 0.010511
- mid_price : 0.095145
- bid_wall_price : 0.0948
- bid_wall_size : 28681761.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0954
- ask_wall_size : 37602087
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0533
- obi_top5_std : 0.0693
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6992
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.09455
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.092799
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0936745
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790596800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790766000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9034
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
48
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9435
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790762400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.09455
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6458
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7468
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00091992 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
48
inside_close_ratio
0.6458
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7468
Signaux confirmants (19)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:16 | 0.09523700 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 07:26 | 0.09523700 | -0.003% |
| 3 | 07:38 | 0.09526600 | +0.027% |
| 4 | 07:48 | 0.09526600 | +0.027% |
| 5 | 07:58 | 0.09526600 | +0.027% |
| 6 | 08:13 | 0.09583100 | +0.621% |
| 7 | 08:25 | 0.09583100 | +0.621% |
| 8 | 10:10 | 0.09652400 | +1.348% |
| 9 | 10:22 | 0.09652400 | +1.348% |
| 10 | 10:34 | 0.09491300 | -0.343% |
| 11 | 10:45 | 0.09491300 | -0.343% |
| 12 | 10:56 | 0.09491300 | -0.343% |
| 13 | 11:41 | 0.09522300 | -0.018% |
| 14 | 11:52 | 0.09522300 | -0.018% |
| 15 | 12:04 | 0.09522300 | -0.018% |
| 16 | 12:18 | 0.09573300 | +0.518% |
| 17 | 12:32 | 0.09573300 | +0.518% |
| 18 | 12:43 | 0.09511300 | -0.133% |
| 19 | 12:54 | 0.09511300 | -0.133% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6992ms
Confidence avant OB :
94%
→
94%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.068
avg -0.053
± 0.069
OBI Top 10
0.013
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0951
Micro Price
0.0951
Spread
0.0105%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0948
Size
28,681,761.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0954
Size
37,602,087.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09524 | 0.09358 | 0.09937 | 2.49 | 0.08648 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.09524
- Stop Loss: 0.09358
- Take Profit: 0.09937
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09358 - 0.09524 = -0.00166
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09524 - 0.09937 = -0.00413
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00413 / -0.00166 = 2.488
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 460.502 | 100 | 4835.3269 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00166
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00166 = -4819.28
Taille de position USD = -4819.28 x 0.09524 = -458.99
Donc, tu peux acheter -4819.28 avec un stoploss a 0.09358
Avec un position size USD de -458.99$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4819.28 x -0.00166 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4819.28 x -0.00413 = 19.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.9$
Résumé
- Taille de position -4819.28
- Taille de position USD -458.99
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.9
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.488
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.34 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.74 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.18 $ | -0.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7356 % | 99.58 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09524 | 0.09358 | 0.09937 | 2.49 | 0.08648 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.09524
- Stop Loss: 0.09358
- Take Profit: 0.09937
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09358 - 0.09524 = -0.00166
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09524 - 0.09937 = -0.00413
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00413 / -0.00166 = 2.488
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.743%
(0.0017)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.512% | 0.9R | -0.149% | 0.1R | 10.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.751% | 1.6R | -0.149% | 0.1R | 18.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.102% | 1.8R | -0.982% | 0.6R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.102% | 1.8R | -1.736% | 1.0R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.102% | 1.8R | -1.736% | 1.0R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.102% | 1.8R | -1.830% | 1.1R | 1.7× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.