Long Trade on LDO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 508.84 LDO at 0.485$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5248 (8.09 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4697 (3.25 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 08:14:04
hyperliquid
LDO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 08:14
→ 09:35
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.4855$
Qty 508.8444 LDO
Size 247.0287$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5248 (+8.09%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.4697 (-3.25%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-3.25%
/ -8.04$
MAE -7.85%
MFE +1.67%
0.5R
expires
30 Sep 20:13
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 167211)
#17 / 81
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 08:00
score du 30/09/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7842
Quality Score
0.557
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 08:00
30/09 08:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#17 / 81
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#17 / 81
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.84×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.76×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4457
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
72.2%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 48.2% |
| 1h | 29.6% |
| 4h | 79.6% |
| 24h | 40.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 40.7% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 66.7% | +0.75% |
| 24h | 50.0% | -0.86% |
Dispersion :
0.127
Universe :
54
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 08:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6788
Score SMA
0.6696
Rank
#17
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8049
Rank Norm SMA
0.6364
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8497 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.62% · r3d: -2.54% · ema21_slope: 1.3664% · dist_ema21: 10.689% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7228 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.42% · rs_3d: -1.60% · beta_24h: 1.501 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6416 | rvol_20: 1.63× · zscore_50: 1.033 · trend: 93.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7655 | ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 33.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.494% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5569
Score SMA
0.5818
Rank
#17
/ 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7842
Rank Norm SMA
0.5890
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7071 | r1h: 2.097% · r4h: 2.574% · r1d: 2.17% · r3d: -0.72% · ema21_slope: 0.1570% · dist_ema21: 2.904% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6627 | rs_1h: 2.091% · rs_4h: 1.830% · rs_1d: 2.69% · rs_3d: 0.46% · beta_24h: 1.454 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3949 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.055 · trend: -2.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5344 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.018% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5290
Score SMA
0.5986
Rank
#27
/ 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6959
Rank Norm SMA
0.5856
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6585 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.574% · r1d: 2.17% · r3d: -0.72% · ema21_slope: -0.0861% · dist_ema21: 4.003% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6782 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.830% · rs_1d: 2.69% · rs_3d: 0.46% · beta_24h: 2.583 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3648 | rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.090 · trend: -13.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5165 | ADX: 19.9 (weak) · Chop: 56.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6354 | ATR%: 4.094% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.254%
(0.0158)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.675% | 0.5R | -0.950% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.675% | 0.5R | -3.506% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.675% | 0.5R | -6.043% | 1.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.675% | 0.5R | -6.342% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.675% | 0.5R | -7.854% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.675% | 0.5R | -10.237% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.69
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.92 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.52 | bull_high | +1.97% | +0.12 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.45 | range_medium | +0.20% | +0.39 | 30/09 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.62 | range_low | +0.50% | +0.28 | 30/09 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177461 |
↑ up | bull_high |
66%
|
early 13b 1.0ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.698 |
— — |
1.63 | value | -2.16 ATR | — | #97240 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:19
|
|
4h
182513 |
↑ up | bull_high |
61%
|
early 8b 0.9ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.561 |
— — |
1.19 | above_value | -0.28 ATR | — | #99462 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:13
|
|
1h
anchor
182512 |
↑ up | bull_high |
62%
|
mid 4b 1.5ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.576 |
— — |
1.30 | above_value | -0.28 ATR | — | #99462 |
30/09 07:00
upd 30/09 08:13
|
|
15m
182424 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
mid 3b 1.5ATR | noisy_chop 47% | 0.694 |
— near -1.6ATR |
0.24 | value | -1.36 ATR | — | #99298 |
30/09 07:45
upd 30/09 08:01
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 3.524×ATR | p42 | +1.023×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.908×ATR | p46 | +0.913×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.282×ATR | p50 | +1.523×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.574×ATR | p38 | +1.482×ATR | p70 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.969
- reason: up_bo width=1.74×ATR dur=25b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.4697481
- tp_price: 0.52477476
- atr:
- score: 0.96903351228961
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T00:13:56.957439
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.96903351228961
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.065
- obi_top10 : -0.019
- micro_price : 0.48678818
- spread_pct : 0.041093
- mid_price : 0.4868
- bid_wall_price : 0.481
- bid_wall_size : 115152.28
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.489
- ask_wall_size : 104570.84
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0635
- obi_top5_std : 0.0057
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6846
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.47876
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.46259
- balance_zone_mid:
0.470675
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790683200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790769600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7445
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
25
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.969
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790766000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.47876
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7239
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00926904 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
25
inside_close_ratio
0.8
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7239
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:14 | 0.48547000 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 08:26 | 0.48547000 | -0.006% |
| 3 | 08:37 | 0.49260000 | +1.462% |
| 4 | 08:47 | 0.49260000 | +1.462% |
| 5 | 08:58 | 0.49260000 | +1.462% |
| 6 | 09:10 | 0.48266000 | -0.585% |
| 7 | 09:21 | 0.48266000 | -0.585% |
| 8 | 09:33 | 0.48266000 | -0.585% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6846ms
Confidence avant OB :
97%
→
97%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.065
avg -0.064
± 0.006
OBI Top 10
-0.019
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.4868
Micro Price
0.4868
Spread
0.0411%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.4810
Size
115,152.28
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.4890
Size
104,570.84
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4855 | 0.4697 | 0.5248 | 2.49 | 0.4397 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4855
- Stop Loss: 0.4697
- Take Profit: 0.5248
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4697 - 0.4855 = -0.0158
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4855 - 0.5248 = -0.0393
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0393 / -0.0158 = 2.4873
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 247.0287 | 100 | 508.8444 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0158
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0158 = -506.33
Taille de position USD = -506.33 x 0.4855 = -245.82
Donc, tu peux acheter -506.33 avec un stoploss a 0.4697
Avec un position size USD de -245.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -506.33 x -0.0158 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -506.33 x -0.0393 = 19.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.9$
Résumé
- Taille de position -506.33
- Taille de position USD -245.82
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.9
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4873
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.09 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.25 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.04 $ | -3.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4727 % | 106.71 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4855 | 0.4697 | 0.5248 | 2.49 | 0.4397 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4855
- Stop Loss: 0.4697
- Take Profit: 0.5248
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4697 - 0.4855 = -0.0158
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4855 - 0.5248 = -0.0393
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0393 / -0.0158 = 2.4873
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5248
[entry_price] => 0.4855
[stop_loss] => 0.46812
[rr_ratio] => 2.26
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 14:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5248
[entry_price] => 0.4855
[stop_loss] => 0.46654
[rr_ratio] => 2.07
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 14:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5248
[entry_price] => 0.4855
[stop_loss] => 0.46496
[rr_ratio] => 1.91
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 14:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5248
[entry_price] => 0.4855
[stop_loss] => 0.4618
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 14:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.254%
(0.0158)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.675% | 0.5R | -0.950% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.675% | 0.5R | -3.506% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.675% | 0.5R | -6.043% | 1.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.675% | 0.5R | -6.342% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.675% | 0.5R | -7.854% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.675% | 0.5R | -10.237% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.