Long Trade on JTO

Previous Trade Next Trade

30 Sep 2026 at 09:13:31 hyperliquid

Long Trade on JTO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 614.01 JTO at 0.572$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6042 (5.7 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5586 (2.27 %)

JTO LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 09:13 → 09:35 · 21 minutes

Position

Entry 0.5716$

Qty 614.0102 JTO

Size 350.9805$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.6042 (+5.7%)

TP $ 20.02$

SL 0.5586 (-2.27%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 2.51

Status loss PnL -2.27% / -7.98$ MAE -8.90% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 21:13

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167393)

#74 / 79 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3036

Quality Score

0.434

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 09:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#74 / 79 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.27 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#74 / 79 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.27 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.22×ATR
4h	clear	3.51×ATR
1d	clear	2.05×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4461

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	+2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	bull	exhaustion	0.90

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 88.5%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : broad_risk_on

Leadership : alts

% Positive (universe)

15m	50.9%
1h	92.7%
4h	94.6%
24h	45.5%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	41.8%	+0.01%
4h	72.7%	+2.21%
24h	47.3%	-0.11%

Dispersion : 0.198

Universe : 55 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 09:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4935

Score SMA

0.5501

Rank

#68 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1829

Rank Norm SMA

0.3386

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6344	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.42% · r3d: -8.63% · ema21_slope: 1.1963% · dist_ema21: 7.835%
Force Relative	25%	0.5084	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.62% · rs_3d: -7.69% · beta_24h: 1.372
Volume	20%	0.3816	rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.029 · trend: 35.88%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6653	ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 35.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.982% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 09:00

Score brut

0.4343

Score SMA

0.5744

Rank

#74 / 79

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3036

Rank Norm SMA

0.5519

Calculé le

30/09/2026 09:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5649	r1h: 2.507% · r4h: 2.261% · r1d: 1.09% · r3d: -8.32% · ema21_slope: 0.0163% · dist_ema21: 2.179%
Force Relative	25%	0.4518	rs_1h: 0.857% · rs_4h: -0.436% · rs_1d: -0.05% · rs_3d: -8.90% · beta_24h: 1.749
Volume	20%	0.3967	rvol_20: 1.52× · zscore_50: -0.047 · trend: -21.97%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3826	ADX: 10.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.779% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.4302

Score SMA

0.5959

Rank

#65 / 81

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3407

Rank Norm SMA

0.5606

Calculé le

30/09/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5098	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.448% · r1d: -1.76% · r3d: -10.51% · ema21_slope: -0.1566% · dist_ema21: -0.802%
Force Relative	25%	0.4668	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.193% · rs_1d: -1.25% · rs_3d: -9.33% · beta_24h: 1.780
Volume	20%	0.1687	rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.678 · trend: -39.59%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3765	ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 73.9 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.7037	ATR%: 3.889% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.274% (0.0130)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.716%	1.6R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-6.473%	2.9R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-8.016%	3.5R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-8.487%	3.7R	0.0×	96
12h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-8.905%	3.9R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.000%	0.0R	-8.905%	3.9R	0.0×	288

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	68%	noisy_chop 47%	early	—	—	0.40	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.96	28/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.46	bull_high	+1.97%	-0.84	30/09 04:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	near -0.2ATR	0.40	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.82%	+0.04	30/09 08:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 45%	late	—	near 0.1ATR	0.70	bull_low_confirmed	+2.06%	-0.04	30/09 08:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177551	↔ neutral	bull_high	68%	early 25b 0.8ATR	noisy_chop 47%	0.582	— —	0.93	value	-1.33 ATR	—	#97262	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:23
4h 182553	↑ up	bull_high	54%	early 18b -0.2ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.694	— —	0.46	above_value	-0.81 ATR	—	#99482	30/09 04:00 upd 30/09 08:15
1h anchor 183003	↔ neutral	bull_high	58%	mid 6b 1.3ATR	noisy_chop 40%	0.484	— near -0.2ATR	1.52	above_value	+0.63 ATR	—	#99726	30/09 08:00 upd 30/09 09:10
15m 182927	↔ neutral	bull_high_confirmed	59%	late 2b 2.7ATR	noisy_chop 45%	0.493	— near 0.1ATR	1.52	above_value	-0.81 ATR	—	#99482	30/09 08:45 upd 30/09 09:02
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	25b	—	3.654×ATR	p16	+0.788×ATR	p49
4h	↓ down	early	18b	—	4.129×ATR	p46	-0.216×ATR	p12
1h	↑ up	mid	6b	—	2.208×ATR	p38	+1.262×ATR	p68
15m	↑ up	late	2b	—	3.797×ATR	p73	+2.653×ATR	p99

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.9994
reason: up_bo width=2.38×ATR dur=53b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
stop_price: 0.5585909
tp_price: 0.60419275
atr:
score: 0.92936567076893
expires_at: 2026-10-01T01:13:23.881236
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.92936567076893

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.1749
obi_top10 : 0.0624
micro_price : 0.56998551
spread_pct : 0.052659
mid_price : 0.56985
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.578
ask_wall_size : 107445
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.1742
obi_top5_std : 0.0047
pressure_side : bid
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6842
aggregation_tick : 0.001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.570915
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.54818
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.5595475
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1790586000
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1790773200
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.3766
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
53
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.9294
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1790769600
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.570915
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.8868
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.0737
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
13
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
10
```
regime : bull_high
atr_entry : 0.009566

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.8868

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.0737

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	09:13	0.57162000	+0.003%
2	09:24	0.57162000	+0.003%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6842ms Confidence avant OB : 93% → 100%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.175

avg 0.174 ± 0.005

OBI Top 10 0.062

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.5699

Micro Price

0.5700

Spread

0.0527%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.5780

Size

107,445.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.5716	0.5586	0.6042	2.51	0.5572

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.5716
Stop Loss: 0.5586
Take Profit: 0.6042

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.5586 - 0.5716 = -0.013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.5716 - 0.6042 = -0.0326
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0326 / -0.013 = 2.5077

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
350.9805	100	614.0102	4.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.013

Taille de position = 8 / -0.013 = -615.38

Taille de position USD = -615.38 x 0.5716 = -351.75

Donc, tu peux acheter -615.38 avec un stoploss a 0.5586

Avec un position size USD de -351.75$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -615.38 x -0.013 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -615.38 x -0.0326 = 20.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$

Résumé

Taille de position -615.38
Taille de position USD -351.75
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20.06
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5077

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
5.7 %	20.02 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.27 %	7.98 $

PNL	PNL %
-7.98 $	-2.27

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.5332 %	111.38 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.5716	0.5586	0.6042	2.51	0.5572

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.5716
Stop Loss: 0.5586
Take Profit: 0.6042

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.5586 - 0.5716 = -0.013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.5716 - 0.6042 = -0.0326
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0326 / -0.013 = 2.5077

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.6042
            [entry_price] => 0.5716
            [stop_loss] => 0.5573
            [rr_ratio] => 2.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 13:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.6042
            [entry_price] => 0.5716
            [stop_loss] => 0.556
            [rr_ratio] => 2.09
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 13:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.6042
            [entry_price] => 0.5716
            [stop_loss] => 0.5547
            [rr_ratio] => 1.93
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 13:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.6042
            [entry_price] => 0.5716
            [stop_loss] => 0.5521
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 13:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.274% (0.0130)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.716%	1.6R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-6.473%	2.9R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-8.016%	3.5R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-8.487%	3.7R	0.0×	96
12h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-8.905%	3.9R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.000%	0.0R	-8.905%	3.9R	0.0×	288

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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