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Long Trade on ZRO

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30 Sep 2026 at 09:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 65.83 ZRO at 1.789$ per unit. Take profit: 1.834 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6678 (6.79 %)

ZRO LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 09:15 → 09:25 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 1.7893$

Qty 65.8343 ZRO

Size 117.7973$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 1.834 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.94$

SL 1.6678 (-6.79%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.37

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.94$ MAE -7.39% MFE +2.69% 0.4R expires 30 Sep 15:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167383)
#8 / 79 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8981

Quality Score
0.665
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
28.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 09:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#8 / 79 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 79 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.57×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 2.93×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4461
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro bull exhaustion 0.90
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 88.5%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 50.9%
1h 92.7%
4h 94.6%
24h 45.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 41.8% +0.01%
4h 72.7% +2.21%
24h 47.3% -0.11%
Dispersion : 0.198
Universe : 55 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 09:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7901
Score SMA
0.7408
Rank
#7 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9268
Rank Norm SMA
0.8193
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9408 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 6.78% · r3d: 4.48% · ema21_slope: 2.7927% · dist_ema21: 24.959%
Force Relative 25% 0.8774 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 6.58% · rs_3d: 5.42% · beta_24h: 0.107
Volume 20% 0.7696 rvol_20: 2.16× · zscore_50: 1.554 · trend: 108.66%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8971 ADX: 47.7 (trend) · Chop: 26.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.123% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.6651
Score SMA
0.6007
Rank
#8 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8981
Rank Norm SMA
0.6435
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8038 r1h: 1.726% · r4h: 0.833% · r1d: 9.64% · r3d: 9.50% · ema21_slope: 0.5850% · dist_ema21: 2.937%
Force Relative 25% 0.6449 rs_1h: 0.076% · rs_4h: -1.864% · rs_1d: 8.50% · rs_3d: 8.92% · beta_24h: 0.865
Volume 20% 0.2931 rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: 0.100 · trend: -19.84%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6940 ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 44.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.891% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5784
Score SMA
0.6337
Rank
#23 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8440
Rank Norm SMA
0.6935
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7080 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.595% · r1d: 9.35% · r3d: 7.33% · ema21_slope: 0.3158% · dist_ema21: 7.192%
Force Relative 25% 0.7496 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.339% · rs_1d: 9.87% · rs_3d: 8.51% · beta_24h: 0.682
Volume 20% 0.3426 rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: -0.336 · trend: 50.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7140 ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 41.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0297 ATR%: 5.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.790% (0.1215)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.688% 0.4R -1.973% 0.3R 1.4× 12
2h +2.688% 0.4R -5.863% 0.9R 0.5× 24
4h +2.688% 0.4R -5.863% 0.9R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +2.688% 0.4R -7.388% 1.1R 0.4× 72
8h +2.688% 0.4R -7.411% 1.1R 0.4× 96
12h +2.688% 0.4R -7.411% 1.1R 0.4× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.67
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.43 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.29 bull_high +1.97% +0.72 30/09 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
71%
noisy_chop 49% mid — — 0.24 bull_medium_confirmed +1.82% +0.65 30/09 08:00
15m ↑ up range range strong grind compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 33% early near -0.3ATR — 0.40 bull_low_confirmed +2.06% -0.32 30/09 08:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177506 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
58%
late 14b 1.9ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.676

—

—

2.16 above_value +2.40 ATR — #97251 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:21
4h
182533 		↑ up bull_high
66%
early 4b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.576

—

—

0.70 above_value +4.20 ATR inside #99472 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:14
1h anchor
182992 		↑ up bull_high
71%
mid 7b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 49% 0.616

—

—

0.79 above_value +4.76 ATR — #99716 30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 09:09
15m
182917 		↑ up bull_high
58%
early 5b 0.3ATR noisy_chop 33% 0.631

near -0.3ATR

—

2.97 above_value +4.20 ATR — #99472 30/09 08:45
upd 30/09 09:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 14b — 4.933×ATR p62 +1.948×ATR p90
4h ↑ up early 4b — 2.292×ATR p14 +1×ATR p54
1h ↓ down mid 7b — 2.068×ATR p31 +0.974×ATR p62
15m ↓ down early 5b — 0.179×ATR p0 +0.347×ATR p20

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.66778278
  2. tp_price: 1.8340325
  3. atr: 0.04860689
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T19:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.8038
  4. delta_2h: 0.0817
  5. extension_atr: 1.06
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.911
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.7893 1.6678 1.834 0.37 2.0499
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.7893
  • Stop Loss: 1.6678
  • Take Profit: 1.834

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.6678 - 1.7893 = -0.1215

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.7893 - 1.834 = -0.0447

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0447 / -0.1215 = 0.3679

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
117.7973 100 65.8343 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1215

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1215 = -65.84

Taille de position USD = -65.84 x 1.7893 = -117.81

Donc, tu peux acheter -65.84 avec un stoploss a 1.6678

Avec un position size USD de -117.81$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -65.84 x -0.1215 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -65.84 x -0.0447 = 2.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -65.84
  • Taille de position USD -117.81
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3679

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.79 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.94 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.7893 1.6678 1.834 0.37 2.0499
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.7893
  • Stop Loss: 1.6678
  • Take Profit: 1.834

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.6678 - 1.7893 = -0.1215

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.7893 - 1.834 = -0.0447

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0447 / -0.1215 = 0.3679

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.0323
            [stop_loss] => 1.6678
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.09305
            [stop_loss] => 1.6678
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.1538
            [stop_loss] => 1.6678
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.21455
            [stop_loss] => 1.6678
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.2753
            [stop_loss] => 1.6678
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.33605
            [stop_loss] => 1.6678
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.3968
            [stop_loss] => 1.6678
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.45755
            [stop_loss] => 1.6678
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5183
            [stop_loss] => 1.6678
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.57905
            [stop_loss] => 1.6678
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.6398
            [stop_loss] => 1.6678
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.790% (0.1215)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.688% 0.4R -1.973% 0.3R 1.4× 12
2h +2.688% 0.4R -5.863% 0.9R 0.5× 24
4h +2.688% 0.4R -5.863% 0.9R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +2.688% 0.4R -7.388% 1.1R 0.4× 72
8h +2.688% 0.4R -7.411% 1.1R 0.4× 96
12h +2.688% 0.4R -7.411% 1.1R 0.4× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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