30 Sep 2026 at 09:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on WIF (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 688.62 WIF at 0.258$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2647 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2467 (4.49 %)

WIF LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 09:15 → 14:45 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2583$

Qty 688.6151 WIF

Size 177.8624$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2647 (+2.48%)

TP $ 4.41$

SL 0.2467 (-4.49%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.55

Status loss PnL -4.49% / -7.99$ MAE -5.11% MFE +0.26% 0.1R expires 30 Sep 15:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167394)
#15 / 79 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9185

Quality Score
0.640
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 09:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#15 / 79 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.49 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#15 / 79 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.49 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -2.33×ATR
4h clear 1.13×ATR
1d clear 0.72×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4461
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro bull exhaustion 0.90
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 88.5%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 50.9%
1h 92.7%
4h 94.6%
24h 45.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 41.8% +0.01%
4h 72.7% +2.21%
24h 47.3% -0.11%
Dispersion : 0.198
Universe : 55 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 09:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5459
Score SMA
0.5913
Rank
#51 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3902
Rank Norm SMA
0.4221
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7673 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.40% · r3d: -2.14% · ema21_slope: 1.4234% · dist_ema21: 7.842%
Force Relative 25% 0.5804 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.20% · rs_3d: -1.20% · beta_24h: 2.498
Volume 20% 0.2616 rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.209 · trend: 6.65%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7885 ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 32.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.370% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.6396
Score SMA
0.5275
Rank
#15 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9185
Rank Norm SMA
0.4552
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7746 r1h: 1.276% · r4h: 3.031% · r1d: 7.04% · r3d: 3.75% · ema21_slope: 0.2632% · dist_ema21: 4.743%
Force Relative 25% 0.5916 rs_1h: -0.374% · rs_4h: 0.334% · rs_1d: 5.91% · rs_3d: 3.17% · beta_24h: 1.288
Volume 20% 0.4245 rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: 0.283 · trend: 36.98%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6952 ADX: 27.2 (trend) · Chop: 42.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.861% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6374
Score SMA
0.5415
Rank
#14 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8632
Rank Norm SMA
0.4318
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7225 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.050% · r1d: 5.52% · r3d: 2.30% · ema21_slope: -0.0320% · dist_ema21: 5.728%
Force Relative 25% 0.6922 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.305% · rs_1d: 6.03% · rs_3d: 3.49% · beta_24h: 2.211
Volume 20% 0.3960 rvol_20: 1.57× · zscore_50: -0.310 · trend: -15.98%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5654 ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 49.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8359 ATR%: 3.492% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.491% (0.0116)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.263% 0.1R -2.938% 0.7R 0.1× 12
2h +0.263% 0.1R -2.946% 0.7R 0.1× 24
4h +0.263% 0.1R -2.946% 0.7R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.263% 0.1R -5.107% 1.1R 0.1× 72
8h +0.263% 0.1R -5.114% 1.1R 0.1× 96
12h +0.263% 0.1R -5.370% 1.2R 0.1× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.69 bull_high +12.90% +0.74 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate fading normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.62 bull_high +1.97% +0.52 30/09 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 49% late — near -2.3ATR 0.47 bull_medium_confirmed +1.82% +0.58 30/09 08:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.68 bull_low_confirmed +2.06% +0.19 30/09 08:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177555
↑ up bull_high
68%
early 7b 0.7ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.671

—

—

0.48 value +2.54 ATR — #97263 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:23
4h
182555
↑ up bull_high
60%
mid 11b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.442

—

—

1.57 above_value +5.31 ATR — #99483 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:15
1h anchor
183004
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
66%
late 8b 2.3ATR noisy_chop 49% 0.494

—

near -2.3ATR

1.06 above_value +5.88 ATR — #99727 30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 09:10
15m
182928
↑ up bull_high
67%
mid 10b 1.6ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.583

—

—

0.87 above_value +5.31 ATR — #99483 30/09 08:45
upd 30/09 09:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 7b — 1.98×ATR p0 +0.746×ATR p40
4h ↑ up mid 11b — 3.48×ATR p46 +1.545×ATR p76
1h ↑ up late 8b — 3.761×ATR p80 +2.331×ATR p91
15m ↑ up mid 10b — 2.585×ATR p45 +1.642×ATR p74

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.24667248
  2. tp_price: 0.26474725
  3. atr: 0.00464701
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T19:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.7741
  4. delta_2h: 0.0004
  5. extension_atr: 2.27
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9185
  9. confidence: 0.951

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2583 0.2467 0.2647 0.55 0.2149
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2583
  • Stop Loss: 0.2467
  • Take Profit: 0.2647

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2467 - 0.2583 = -0.0116

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2583 - 0.2647 = -0.0064

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0064 / -0.0116 = 0.5517

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
177.8624 100 688.6151 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0116

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0116 = -689.66

Taille de position USD = -689.66 x 0.2583 = -178.14

Donc, tu peux acheter -689.66 avec un stoploss a 0.2467

Avec un position size USD de -178.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -689.66 x -0.0116 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -689.66 x -0.0064 = 4.41

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.41$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -689.66
  • Taille de position USD -178.14
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.41
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5517

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.48 % 4.41 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.49 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -4.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.6341 % 103.19 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2583 0.2467 0.2647 0.55 0.2149
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2583
  • Stop Loss: 0.2467
  • Take Profit: 0.2647

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2467 - 0.2583 = -0.0116

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2583 - 0.2647 = -0.0064

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0064 / -0.0116 = 0.5517

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2647
            [entry_price] => 0.2583
            [stop_loss] => 0.24554
            [rr_ratio] => 0.5
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.491% (0.0116)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.263% 0.1R -2.938% 0.7R 0.1× 12
2h +0.263% 0.1R -2.946% 0.7R 0.1× 24
4h +0.263% 0.1R -2.946% 0.7R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.263% 0.1R -5.107% 1.1R 0.1× 72
8h +0.263% 0.1R -5.114% 1.1R 0.1× 96
12h +0.263% 0.1R -5.370% 1.2R 0.1× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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