30 Sep 2026 at 09:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 958.53 INIT at 0.103$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1061 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0952 (8.02 %)

INIT LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 09:15 → 11:00 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.1035$

Qty 958.535 INIT

Size 99.2563$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1061 (+2.51%)

TP $ 2.49$

SL 0.0952 (-8.02%)

SL $ 7.96$

RR 0.31

Status win PnL +2.51% / +2.49$ MAE -2.07% MFE +3.77% 0.5R expires 30 Sep 15:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167420)
#33 / 79 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8057

Quality Score
0.584
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 09:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#33 / 79 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.02 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#33 / 79 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.02 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.46×ATR
4h clear 1.57×ATR
1d near -0.62×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4461
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro bull exhaustion 0.90
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 88.5%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 50.9%
1h 92.7%
4h 94.6%
24h 45.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 41.8% +0.01%
4h 72.7% +2.21%
24h 47.3% -0.11%
Dispersion : 0.198
Universe : 55 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 09:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8545
Score SMA
—
Rank
#4 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9634
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9552 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 15.15% · r3d: 9.53% · ema21_slope: 2.3263% · dist_ema21: 24.587%
Force Relative 25% 0.9467 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 14.95% · rs_3d: 10.47% · beta_24h: 0.839
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.75× · zscore_50: 6.020 · trend: 117.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8748 ADX: 45.0 (trend) · Chop: 15.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.903% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.5835
Score SMA
0.6300
Rank
#33 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8057
Rank Norm SMA
0.8254
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8040 r1h: 1.818% · r4h: 3.276% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: 12.91% · ema21_slope: 0.0698% · dist_ema21: 1.364%
Force Relative 25% 0.6363 rs_1h: 0.167% · rs_4h: 0.579% · rs_1d: 1.16% · rs_3d: 12.33% · beta_24h: -0.516
Volume 20% 0.1712 rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.590 · trend: -42.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6673 ADX: 26.0 (trend) · Chop: 44.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8616 ATR%: 3.415% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6435
Score SMA
0.6851
Rank
#9 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8821
Rank Norm SMA
0.9288
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7972 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.573% · r1d: 1.50% · r3d: 9.50% · ema21_slope: 0.4394% · dist_ema21: 4.813%
Force Relative 25% 0.7586 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.828% · rs_1d: 2.02% · rs_3d: 10.68% · beta_24h: 0.478
Volume 20% 0.4718 rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: 0.269 · trend: 105.52%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8023 ADX: 36.3 (trend) · Chop: 23.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.061% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.019% (0.0083)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.416% 0.3R -2.068% 0.3R 1.2× 12
2h +2.937% 0.4R -2.068% 0.3R 1.4× 24
4h +3.768% 0.5R -2.068% 0.3R 1.8× 48
6h ★ +3.768% 0.5R -2.068% 0.3R 1.8× 72
8h +3.768% 0.5R -2.068% 0.3R 1.8× 96
12h +3.768% 0.5R -2.068% 0.3R 1.8× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.05
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 45% late — near -0.6ATR 0.38 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong grind volatile_reversal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.21 bull_high +1.97% +0.69 30/09 04:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 38% mid — near -0.5ATR 0.15 bull_medium_confirmed +1.82% -0.69 30/09 08:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression range_high
40%
noisy_chop 44% early — — 0.10 bull_low_confirmed +1.55% -0.19 30/09 08:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177646
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
62%
late 1b 2.3ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.678

—

near -0.6ATR

4.75 value +1.35 ATR — #97291 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:28
4h
182636
↑ up bull_high
60%
early 4b 0.6ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.755

—

—

0.84 above_value +0.15 ATR — #99511 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:19
1h anchor
183031
↔ neutral bull_high
53%
mid 5b 0.4ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.671

—

near -0.5ATR

0.22 above_value +0.25 ATR — #99754 30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 09:11
15m
182872
↔ neutral range_high
40%
early 6b 0.0ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.608

—

—

0.02 above_value +0.15 ATR — #99511 30/09 08:30
upd 30/09 08:47
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 1b — 2.257×ATR p0 +2.311×ATR p95
4h ↓ down early 4b — 2.43×ATR p18 +0.614×ATR p34
1h ↑ up mid 5b — 3.091×ATR p56 +0.403×ATR p22
15m ↓ down early 6b — 1.326×ATR p0 +0.037×ATR p3

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.09520393
  2. tp_price: 0.10613875
  3. atr: 0.00333843
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T19:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.7492
  4. delta_2h: 0.1637
  5. extension_atr: 0.48
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8057
  9. confidence: 0.988

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1035 0.0952 0.1061 0.31 0.1184
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1035
  • Stop Loss: 0.0952
  • Take Profit: 0.1061

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0952 - 0.1035 = -0.0083

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1035 - 0.1061 = -0.0026

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0026 / -0.0083 = 0.3133

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
99.2563 99.2563 958.535 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0083

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0083 = -963.86

Taille de position USD = -963.86 x 0.1035 = -99.76

Donc, tu peux acheter -963.86 avec un stoploss a 0.0952

Avec un position size USD de -99.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -963.86 x -0.0083 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -963.86 x -0.0026 = 2.51

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.51$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -963.86
  • Taille de position USD -99.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.51
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3133

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 2.49 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.02 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
2.49 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0676 % 25.78 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1035 0.0952 0.1061 0.31 0.1184
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1035
  • Stop Loss: 0.0952
  • Take Profit: 0.1061

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0952 - 0.1035 = -0.0083

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1035 - 0.1061 = -0.0026

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0026 / -0.0083 = 0.3133

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.019% (0.0083)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.416% 0.3R -2.068% 0.3R 1.2× 12
2h +2.937% 0.4R -2.068% 0.3R 1.4× 24
4h +3.768% 0.5R -2.068% 0.3R 1.8× 48
6h ★ +3.768% 0.5R -2.068% 0.3R 1.8× 72
8h +3.768% 0.5R -2.068% 0.3R 1.8× 96
12h +3.768% 0.5R -2.068% 0.3R 1.8× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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