Long Trade on CHIP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 4346.57 CHIP at 0.0462$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05083 (9.97 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04438 (3.98 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 09:19:50
hyperliquid
CHIP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 09:19
→ 11:00
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.04622$
Qty 4346.5741 CHIP
Size 200.916$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.05083 (+9.97%)
TP $ 20.04$
SL 0.04438 (-3.98%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-3.98%
/ -8$
MAE -8.23%
MFE +0.98%
0.3R
expires
30 Sep 21:19
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 167439)
#65 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 09:00
score du 30/09/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3436
Quality Score
0.476
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 09:17
30/09 09:17
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#65 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#65 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.19×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.70×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.68×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 08:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4462
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | bull | exhaustion | 0.90 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
83.6%
Impulse :
-0.05
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 80.0% |
| 1h | 69.1% |
| 4h | 94.6% |
| 24h | 65.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 80.0% | +0.20% |
| 4h | 58.2% | +2.40% |
| 24h | 43.6% | +1.00% |
Dispersion :
0.175
Universe :
55
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 09:16
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4190
Score SMA
0.4981
Rank
#79
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0488
Rank Norm SMA
0.1728
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6665 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.21% · r3d: -9.74% · ema21_slope: 0.4223% · dist_ema21: -1.928% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4332 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.02% · rs_3d: -8.80% · beta_24h: 2.692 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1566 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.907 · trend: -37.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5294 | ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 60.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.961% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.4758
Score SMA
0.5205
Rank
#65
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3436
Rank Norm SMA
0.3996
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6478 | r1h: 2.251% · r4h: 4.466% · r1d: 3.59% · r3d: -3.79% · ema21_slope: 0.0240% · dist_ema21: 3.653% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5561 | rs_1h: 0.601% · rs_4h: 1.769% · rs_1d: 2.45% · rs_3d: -4.37% · beta_24h: 1.644 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8397 | rvol_20: 4.18× · zscore_50: 1.964 · trend: 31.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5086 | ADX: 12.3 (weak) · Chop: 49.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.878% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3996
Score SMA
0.4665
Rank
#71
/ 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1057
Rank Norm SMA
0.2071
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4321 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.783% · r1d: -0.43% · r3d: -8.26% · ema21_slope: -0.3279% · dist_ema21: 0.074% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4727 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.039% · rs_1d: 0.09% · rs_3d: -7.07% · beta_24h: 2.789 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1714 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.689 · trend: -56.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3260 | ADX: 13.5 (weak) · Chop: 73.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6858 | ATR%: 3.943% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.981%
(0.0018)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.978% | 0.3R | -1.889% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.978% | 0.3R | -5.783% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.978% | 0.3R | -5.783% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.978% | 0.3R | -8.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.978% | 0.3R | -8.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.978% | 0.3R | -10.818% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | bull_high | +12.90% | -0.98 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
33%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | bull_high | +1.97% | -0.62 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.34 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.82% | +0.18 | 30/09 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.15% | +0.25 | 30/09 09:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177691 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
50%
|
early 13b -0.2ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.656 |
— — |
0.45 | below_value | -5.56 ATR | — | #97310 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:31
|
|
4h
182695 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
33%
|
mid 22b 0.0ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.645 |
— — |
0.61 | value | -5.51 ATR | — | #99531 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:22
|
|
1h
anchor
183050 |
↔ neutral | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
late 5b 2.0ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.382 |
— near -0.2ATR |
4.18 | value | -3.32 ATR | — | #99773 |
30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 09:12
|
|
15m
183131 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
late 3b 3.1ATR | noisy_chop 47% | 0.687 |
— — |
0.89 | value | -3.32 ATR | — | #99773 |
30/09 09:00
upd 30/09 09:18
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 1.562×ATR | p0 | -0.157×ATR | p5 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 4.054×ATR | p59 | +0.021×ATR | p1 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.238×ATR | p68 | +1.965×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.844×ATR | p80 | +3.148×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8888
- reason: up_bo width=2.78×ATR dur=49b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.04438347
- tp_price: 0.05082531
- atr:
- score: 0.8887861215546
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T01:19:42.806796
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8887861215546
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0031
- obi_top10 : 0.1279
- micro_price : 0.0461398
- spread_pct : 0.08673
- mid_price : 0.04614
- bid_wall_price : 0.046
- bid_wall_size : 681333.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0463
- ask_wall_size : 704201
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0018
- obi_top5_std : 0.0033
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6942
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.04563
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.043304
- balance_zone_mid:
0.044467
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790600400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790773200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7848
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
49
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8888
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790769600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.04563
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8367
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7112
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
12
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00083525 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
49
inside_close_ratio
0.8367
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7112
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:19 | 0.04622400 | +0.009% |
| 2 | 09:31 | 0.04622400 | +0.009% |
| 3 | 09:43 | 0.04592600 | -0.636% |
| 4 | 09:54 | 0.04592600 | -0.636% |
| 5 | 10:08 | 0.04592600 | -0.636% |
| 6 | 10:20 | 0.04602700 | -0.418% |
| 7 | 10:33 | 0.04602700 | -0.418% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6942ms
Confidence avant OB :
89%
→
89%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.003
avg 0.002
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.128
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0461
Micro Price
0.0461
Spread
0.0867%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0460
Size
681,333.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0463
Size
704,201.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04622 | 0.04438 | 0.05083 | 2.51 | 0.06942 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04622
- Stop Loss: 0.04438
- Take Profit: 0.05083
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04438 - 0.04622 = -0.00184
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04622 - 0.05083 = -0.00461
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00461 / -0.00184 = 2.5054
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200.916 | 100 | 4346.5741 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00184
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00184 = -4347.83
Taille de position USD = -4347.83 x 0.04622 = -200.96
Donc, tu peux acheter -4347.83 avec un stoploss a 0.04438
Avec un position size USD de -200.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4347.83 x -0.00184 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4347.83 x -0.00461 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position -4347.83
- Taille de position USD -200.96
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5054
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.97 % | 20.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.98 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.1952 % | 105.38 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04622 | 0.04438 | 0.05083 | 2.51 | 0.06942 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04622
- Stop Loss: 0.04438
- Take Profit: 0.05083
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04438 - 0.04622 = -0.00184
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04622 - 0.05083 = -0.00461
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00461 / -0.00184 = 2.5054
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05083
[entry_price] => 0.04622
[stop_loss] => 0.044196
[rr_ratio] => 2.28
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 15:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05083
[entry_price] => 0.04622
[stop_loss] => 0.044012
[rr_ratio] => 2.09
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 15:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05083
[entry_price] => 0.04622
[stop_loss] => 0.043828
[rr_ratio] => 1.93
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 15:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05083
[entry_price] => 0.04622
[stop_loss] => 0.04346
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.981%
(0.0018)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.978% | 0.3R | -1.889% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.978% | 0.3R | -5.783% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.978% | 0.3R | -5.783% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.978% | 0.3R | -8.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.978% | 0.3R | -8.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.978% | 0.3R | -10.818% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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