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Long Trade on NEAR

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30 Sep 2026 at 10:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 22.12 NEAR at 5.369$ per unit. Take profit: 5.5029 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 5.007 (6.74 %)

NEAR LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 10:15 → 12:45 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 5.3687$

Qty 22.1199 NEAR

Size 118.7553$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 5.5029 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.97$

SL 5.007 (-6.74%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.37

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.97$ MAE -4.13% MFE +2.65% 0.4R expires 30 Sep 16:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167467)
#6 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8270

Quality Score
0.674
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
340.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 10:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#6 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.40×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 09:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4465
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro bull expansion 0.90
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 73.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 45.5%
1h 34.6%
4h 83.6%
24h 52.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 56.4% -0.04%
4h 43.6% +1.79%
24h 36.4% +0.05%
Dispersion : 0.260
Universe : 55 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 10:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7113
Score SMA
0.7684
Rank
#13 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8537
Rank Norm SMA
0.8906
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8149 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.30% · r3d: -3.17% · ema21_slope: 5.3289% · dist_ema21: 24.772%
Force Relative 25% 0.7037 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.10% · rs_3d: -2.23% · beta_24h: 1.664
Volume 20% 0.7045 rvol_20: 1.63× · zscore_50: 1.864 · trend: 135.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 1.0000 ADX: 61.6 (trend) · Chop: 16.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.789% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.6744
Score SMA
0.5760
Rank
#6 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8270
Rank Norm SMA
0.6184
Calculé le
30/09/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7494 r1h: 0.150% · r4h: 5.115% · r1d: 6.74% · r3d: 1.45% · ema21_slope: 0.2471% · dist_ema21: 5.242%
Force Relative 25% 0.7112 rs_1h: 0.891% · rs_4h: 3.869% · rs_1d: 6.22% · rs_3d: 1.90% · beta_24h: 1.367
Volume 20% 0.4740 rvol_20: 1.39× · zscore_50: 0.301 · trend: 33.38%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6427 ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 42.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.780% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6562
Score SMA
0.5852
Rank
#6 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8576
Rank Norm SMA
0.5812
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8232 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.880% · r1d: 7.77% · r3d: 2.36% · ema21_slope: -0.0846% · dist_ema21: 6.761%
Force Relative 25% 0.8128 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.135% · rs_1d: 8.28% · rs_3d: 3.54% · beta_24h: 2.209
Volume 20% 0.4691 rvol_20: 1.36× · zscore_50: 0.828 · trend: 6.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5633 ADX: 27.7 (trend) · Chop: 58.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.2777 ATR%: 5.167% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.737% (0.3617)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.403% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.255% 0.0R -4.130% 0.6R 0.1× 24
4h +2.652% 0.4R -4.130% 0.6R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +2.652% 0.4R -4.130% 0.6R 0.6× 72
8h +2.652% 0.4R -4.130% 0.6R 0.6× 96
12h +2.652% 0.4R -4.130% 0.6R 0.6× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.46
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.54 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.40 bull_high +1.97% +0.51 30/09 04:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 38% late — near 0.4ATR 0.26 bull_medium_confirmed +1.04% +0.68 30/09 09:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.55 bull_medium_confirmed +1.17% +0.32 30/09 09:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177535 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
60%
late 16b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.728

—

—

1.63 above_value -0.26 ATR — #97258 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:22
4h
182545 		↑ up bull_high
68%
mid 8b 1.2ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.630

—

—

1.36 above_value +2.70 ATR — #99478 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:14
1h anchor
183395 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
65%
late 6b 1.8ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.575

—

near 0.4ATR

1.39 above_value +2.83 ATR — #99880 30/09 09:00
upd 30/09 10:11
15m
183320 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
65%
early 3b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.570

—

—

0.72 above_value +2.81 ATR — #99722 30/09 09:45
upd 30/09 10:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 16b — 5.475×ATR p83 +1.544×ATR p73
4h ↑ up mid 8b — 2.774×ATR p32 +1.203×ATR p68
1h ↑ up late 6b — 3.462×ATR p75 +1.817×ATR p89
15m ↑ up early 3b — 0.588×ATR p4 +0.979×ATR p56

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 5.00703537
  2. tp_price: 5.5029175
  3. atr: 0.14466585
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T20:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 81
  3. score: 0.7845
  4. delta_2h: 0.0417
  5. extension_atr: 1.8
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8286
  9. confidence: 0.95

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.3687 5.007 5.5029 0.37 5.1762
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.3687
  • Stop Loss: 5.007
  • Take Profit: 5.5029

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.007 - 5.3687 = -0.3617

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.3687 - 5.5029 = -0.1342

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1342 / -0.3617 = 0.371

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
118.7553 100 22.1199 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.3617

Taille de position = 8 / -0.3617 = -22.12

Taille de position USD = -22.12 x 5.3687 = -118.76

Donc, tu peux acheter -22.12 avec un stoploss a 5.007

Avec un position size USD de -118.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -22.12 x -0.3617 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -22.12 x -0.1342 = 2.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -22.12
  • Taille de position USD -118.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.371

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.74 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.97 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.1295 % 61.29 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.3687 5.007 5.5029 0.37 5.1762
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.3687
  • Stop Loss: 5.007
  • Take Profit: 5.5029

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.007 - 5.3687 = -0.3617

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.3687 - 5.5029 = -0.1342

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1342 / -0.3617 = 0.371

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.737% (0.3617)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.403% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.255% 0.0R -4.130% 0.6R 0.1× 24
4h +2.652% 0.4R -4.130% 0.6R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +2.652% 0.4R -4.130% 0.6R 0.6× 72
8h +2.652% 0.4R -4.130% 0.6R 0.6× 96
12h +2.652% 0.4R -4.130% 0.6R 0.6× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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