Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2855.6 2Z at 0.0642$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06256 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06697 (4.36 %)
Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2855.6 2Z at 0.0642$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06256 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06697 (4.36 %)
Position
Entry 0.06417$
Qty 2855.6029 2Z
Size 183.2355$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06256 (+2.51%)
TP $ 4.6$
SL 0.06697 (-4.36%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.58
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0472
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.11×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.18×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.94×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/09 09:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | bull | expansion | 0.90 |
| 15m | 45.5% |
| 1h | 34.6% |
| 4h | 83.6% |
| 24h | 52.7% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 56.4% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 43.6% | +1.79% |
| 24h | 36.4% | +0.05% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6868 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.91% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: 1.4248% · dist_ema21: 14.644% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5774 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.11% · rs_3d: -8.23% · beta_24h: 1.086 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6656 | rvol_20: 1.73× · zscore_50: 1.034 · trend: 206.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7531 | ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 16.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.297% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3806 | r1h: -0.066% · r4h: 0.091% · r1d: -6.90% · r3d: -4.31% · ema21_slope: -0.1994% · dist_ema21: -1.184% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3791 | rs_1h: 0.676% · rs_4h: -1.155% · rs_1d: -7.42% · rs_3d: -3.87% · beta_24h: 0.853 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3016 | rvol_20: 0.99× · zscore_50: -0.249 · trend: -20.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4793 | ADX: 20.3 (weak) · Chop: 61.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.832% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5681 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.439% · r1d: -7.85% · r3d: -6.68% · ema21_slope: 0.1640% · dist_ema21: -2.641% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4619 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.184% · rs_1d: -7.34% · rs_3d: -5.50% · beta_24h: 2.520 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1665 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.648 · trend: -42.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4746 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 67.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5069 | ATR%: 4.479% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.492% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.492% | 0.6R | -0.076% | 0.0R | 32.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.848% | 0.9R | -0.482% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +7.606% | 1.7R | -0.482% | 0.1R | 15.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +9.405% | 2.2R | -0.482% | 0.1R | 19.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +11.633% | 2.7R | -0.482% | 0.1R | 24.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.55 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.98 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.32 | bull_high | +1.97% | -0.58 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.29 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.04% | -0.48 | 30/09 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.3ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.50 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.17% | -0.14 | 30/09 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177664 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
mid 3b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.678 |
— near 0.2ATR |
1.73 | value | -2.13 ATR | — | #97299 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
|
|
4h
182662 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
54%
|
early 7b -0.7ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.574 |
near 0.2ATR — |
0.27 | value | -3.96 ATR | — | #99520 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:21
|
|
1h
anchor
183435 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
53%
|
early 11b -0.7ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.641 |
— — |
0.99 | above_value | -3.62 ATR | — | #99920 |
30/09 09:00
upd 30/09 10:12
|
|
15m
183354 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
56%
|
early 1b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.593 |
near 0.3ATR near 0.0ATR |
0.54 | above_value | -3.19 ATR | — | #99762 |
30/09 09:45
upd 30/09 10:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.621×ATR | p4 | +1.443×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.251×ATR | p11 | -0.672×ATR | p43 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.204×ATR | p33 | -0.675×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.534×ATR | p0 | +0.227×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06417 | 0.06697 | 0.06256 | 0.58 | 0.03467 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06697 - 0.06417 = 0.0028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06417 - 0.06256 = 0.00161
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00161 / 0.0028 = 0.575
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 183.2355 | 100 | 2855.6029 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0028 = 2857.14
Taille de position USD = 2857.14 x 0.06417 = 183.34
Donc, tu peux acheter 2857.14 avec un stoploss a 0.06697
Avec un position size USD de 183.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2857.14 x 0.0028 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2857.14 x 0.00161 = 4.6
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.6$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 4.6 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.6 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4815 % | 11.03 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06417 | 0.06697 | 0.06256 | 0.58 | 0.03467 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06697 - 0.06417 = 0.0028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06417 - 0.06256 = 0.00161
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00161 / 0.0028 = 0.575
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.492% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.492% | 0.6R | -0.076% | 0.0R | 32.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.848% | 0.9R | -0.482% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +7.606% | 1.7R | -0.482% | 0.1R | 15.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +9.405% | 2.2R | -0.482% | 0.1R | 19.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +11.633% | 2.7R | -0.482% | 0.1R | 24.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.