Long Trade on XLM (CatchTheWave)
With 3764.19 XLM at 0.223$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2272 (1.88 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2208 (0.99 %)
Long Trade on XLM (CatchTheWave)
With 3764.19 XLM at 0.223$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2272 (1.88 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2208 (0.99 %)
Position
Entry 0.223$
Qty 3764.1922 XLM
Size 839.3019$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2272 (+1.88%)
TP $ 15.81$
SL 0.2208 (-0.99%)
SL $ 8.28$
RR 1.91
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6367
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.39×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.41×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.735804 15m : 0.698368 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | bull | expansion | 0.90 |
| 15m | 35.7% |
| 1h | 57.1% |
| 4h | 73.2% |
| 24h | 50.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 35.7% | -0.31% |
| 4h | 51.8% | +1.01% |
| 24h | 37.5% | -0.00% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7221 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.47% · r3d: 2.57% · ema21_slope: 1.1352% · dist_ema21: 8.693% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5884 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.67% · rs_3d: 3.50% · beta_24h: 1.390 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7631 | rvol_20: 2.08× · zscore_50: 1.662 · trend: 129.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8065 | ADX: 36.8 (trend) · Chop: 36.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.269% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4941 | r1h: -1.603% · r4h: -0.290% · r1d: -2.35% · r3d: 4.86% · ema21_slope: 0.0328% · dist_ema21: 0.752% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4404 | rs_1h: -0.862% · rs_4h: -1.535% · rs_1d: -2.88% · rs_3d: 5.30% · beta_24h: 1.255 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5215 | rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 0.014 · trend: 30.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5591 | ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7463 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.794% · r1d: -2.25% · r3d: 4.99% · ema21_slope: 0.3053% · dist_ema21: 2.826% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6060 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.049% · rs_1d: -1.74% · rs_3d: 6.17% · beta_24h: 2.021 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5950 | rvol_20: 1.69× · zscore_50: 1.570 · trend: 24.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6285 | ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 46.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8871 | ATR%: 3.339% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.170% | 0.2R | -1.009% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.054% | 1.1R | -1.009% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.399% | 1.4R | -1.009% | 1.0R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.000% | 3.0R | -1.009% | 1.0R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.686% | 3.7R | -1.009% | 1.0R | 3.7× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.58 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.88 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.70 | bull_high | +1.97% | +0.61 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.60 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.04% | +0.10 | 30/09 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.62 | bull_medium | +0.80% | -0.17 | 30/09 10:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177613 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
mid 18b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.546 |
— near -0.4ATR |
2.08 | above_value | +1.07 ATR | — | #97277 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:27
|
|
4h
182597 |
↑ up | bull_high |
55%
|
early 6b 0.7ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.597 |
— — |
1.69 | above_value | +2.90 ATR | — | #99498 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:17
|
|
1h
anchor
183414 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
56%
|
early 2b 0.5ATR | noisy_chop 32% | 0.565 |
— near 0.4ATR |
1.84 | above_value | +2.33 ATR | — | #99899 |
30/09 09:00
upd 30/09 10:11
|
|
15m
183494 |
↑ up | range_high |
37%
|
early 5b -0.5ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.673 |
near 0.4ATR — |
0.33 | above_value | +2.33 ATR | — | #99899 |
30/09 10:00
upd 30/09 10:17
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 3.59×ATR | p36 | +1.183×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.132×ATR | p0 | +0.676×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.427×ATR | p2 | +0.482×ATR | p25 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.768×ATR | p44 | -0.542×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83942.9
-0.00229864
83750
0.735804
83741.8
0.00437251
84108
0.698368
83780.8
0.00860699
84502
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-28 07:00:00
[1] => 0.20715
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-28 12:00:00
[1] => 0.23105
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-28 18:00:00
[1] => 0.23549
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 00:00:00
[1] => 0.2348
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 05:00:00
[1] => 0.2213
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 11:00:00
[1] => 0.2373
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 17:00:00
[1] => 0.21967
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 23:00:00
[1] => 0.22493
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 03:00:00
[1] => 0.21904
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 11:00:00
[1] => 0.23269
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.6258111650694
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4422936449963
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.231738495252
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 23:00:00
[1] => 0.22493
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 00:15:00
[1] => 0.22038
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 02:00:00
[1] => 0.22331
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 03:15:00
[1] => 0.21904
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 06:00:00
[1] => 0.22357
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 07:00:00
[1] => 0.22044
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 09:30:00
[1] => 0.22964
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 11:00:00
[1] => 0.226
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 11:30:00
[1] => 0.23269
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 14:15:00
[1] => 0.22408
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.5025140745198
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.20528382720456
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8423777222421
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 09:30:00
[1] => 0.22964
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 10:15:00
[1] => 0.22711
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 10:35:00
[1] => 0.22922
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 11:05:00
[1] => 0.226
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 11:35:00
[1] => 0.23269
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 12:20:00
[1] => 0.22651
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 12:45:00
[1] => 0.23186
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 13:40:00
[1] => 0.22525
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 14:05:00
[1] => 0.22771
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 14:20:00
[1] => 0.22276
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0815950111985
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.094271862093728
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.222122463638
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.23269
196
0.5896
0.5719
0.3344
0.1768
0.4633
0.7475
0.3478
0.5065
0.3859
0.279
0.4233
0.6444
0.0823
0.044
1
0.2733
0.6233
0.55
0.45
-1
11
1
0.6465
0.4375
5.0173
0.5
0.7475
3.7504
0.6233
0.5734
0.2555
0.28
-0.1335
0.3843
0.4402
0
0.6444
-2.8115
5.0958
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 09:30:00 | 0.22964 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 10:15:00 | 0.22711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 10:35:00 | 0.22922 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 11:05:00 | 0.226 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 11:35:00 | 0.23269 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 12:20:00 | 0.22651 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 12:45:00 | 0.23186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 13:40:00 | 0.22525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 14:05:00 | 0.22771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:20:00 | 0.22276 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 23:00:00 | 0.22493 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 00:15:00 | 0.22038 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 0.22331 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 03:15:00 | 0.21904 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 06:00:00 | 0.22357 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.22044 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 09:30:00 | 0.22964 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 11:00:00 | 0.226 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 11:30:00 | 0.23269 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:15:00 | 0.22408 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 07:00:00 | 0.20715 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 12:00:00 | 0.23105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 18:00:00 | 0.23549 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 00:00:00 | 0.2348 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 05:00:00 | 0.2213 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 11:00:00 | 0.2373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.21967 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 23:00:00 | 0.22493 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 03:00:00 | 0.21904 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 11:00:00 | 0.23269 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.223 | 0.2208 | 0.2272 | 1.91 | 0.195 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2208 - 0.223 = -0.0022
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.223 - 0.2272 = -0.0042
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0042 / -0.0022 = 1.9091
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 839.3019 | 100 | 3764.1922 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0022 = -3636.36
Taille de position USD = -3636.36 x 0.223 = -810.91
Donc, tu peux acheter -3636.36 avec un stoploss a 0.2208
Avec un position size USD de -810.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3636.36 x -0.0022 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3636.36 x -0.0042 = 15.27
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.27$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.88 % | 15.81 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.99 % | 8.28 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.28 $ | -0.99 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.009 % | 102.28 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.223 | 0.2208 | 0.2272 | 1.91 | 0.195 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2208 - 0.223 = -0.0022
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.223 - 0.2272 = -0.0042
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0042 / -0.0022 = 1.9091
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2272
[entry_price] => 0.223
[stop_loss] => 0.22058
[rr_ratio] => 1.74
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2272
[entry_price] => 0.223
[stop_loss] => 0.22036
[rr_ratio] => 1.59
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2272
[entry_price] => 0.223
[stop_loss] => 0.22014
[rr_ratio] => 1.47
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2272
[entry_price] => 0.223
[stop_loss] => 0.2197
[rr_ratio] => 1.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.170% | 0.2R | -1.009% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.054% | 1.1R | -1.009% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.399% | 1.4R | -1.009% | 1.0R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.000% | 3.0R | -1.009% | 1.0R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.686% | 3.7R | -1.009% | 1.0R | 3.7× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.