Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 45284.73 PENGU at 0.00986$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01022 (3.63 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009685 (1.79 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 45284.73 PENGU at 0.00986$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01022 (3.63 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009685 (1.79 %)
Position
Entry 0.009862$
Qty 45284.7277 PENGU
Size 446.598$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01022 (+3.63%)
TP $ 16.21$
SL 0.009685 (-1.79%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.02
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8172
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.14×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.77×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.69519 15m : 0.67149 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | bull | expansion | 0.90 |
| 15m | 35.7% |
| 1h | 57.1% |
| 4h | 73.2% |
| 24h | 50.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 35.7% | -0.31% |
| 4h | 51.8% | +1.01% |
| 24h | 37.5% | -0.00% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8147 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.30% · r3d: 0.47% · ema21_slope: 1.6119% · dist_ema21: 11.501% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6241 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.11% · rs_3d: 1.41% · beta_24h: 1.603 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3863 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: -0.032 · trend: 45.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8069 | ADX: 36.8 (trend) · Chop: 30.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.866% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6299 | r1h: -0.734% · r4h: 3.568% · r1d: 3.22% · r3d: -1.22% · ema21_slope: 0.1286% · dist_ema21: 2.991% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5760 | rs_1h: 0.007% · rs_4h: 2.322% · rs_1d: 2.70% · rs_3d: -0.78% · beta_24h: 2.063 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 6.36× · zscore_50: 3.712 · trend: 145.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6891 | ADX: 27.3 (trend) · Chop: 42.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.456% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6426 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.288% · r1d: 2.55% · r3d: -1.93% · ema21_slope: -0.0842% · dist_ema21: 3.053% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5715 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.543% · rs_1d: 3.06% · rs_3d: -0.75% · beta_24h: 2.803 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1536 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.829 · trend: -43.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6133 | ADX: 33.7 (trend) · Chop: 58.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5197 | ATR%: 4.441% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.156% | 0.6R | -0.862% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.450% | 0.8R | -0.862% | 0.5R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.856% | 1.0R | -1.288% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.856% | 1.0R | -4.188% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.856% | 1.0R | -4.188% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.96 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.57 | bull_high | +1.97% | +0.36 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.04% | +0.46 | 30/09 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.73 | bull_medium | +0.80% | +0.10 | 30/09 10:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177627 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
mid 14b 1.0ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.682 |
— near -0.8ATR |
0.89 | above_value | +0.34 ATR | — | #97282 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:27
|
|
4h
182609 |
↑ up | bull_high |
58%
|
early 8b 0.7ATR | noisy_chop 32% | 0.615 |
— near 0.1ATR |
0.45 | above_value | +1.09 ATR | — | #99502 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:18
|
|
1h
anchor
183418 |
↑ up | bull_high |
63%
|
mid 6b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.703 |
— — |
6.36 | above_value | +1.65 ATR | — | #99903 |
30/09 09:00
upd 30/09 10:12
|
|
15m
183498 |
↑ up | bull_high |
54%
|
mid 2b 0.0ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.651 |
near -0.2ATR — |
1.53 | above_value | +1.65 ATR | — | #99903 |
30/09 10:00
upd 30/09 10:17
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 3.736×ATR | p53 | +1.044×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.496×ATR | p16 | +0.66×ATR | p29 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.445×ATR | p42 | +1.181×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 3.041×ATR | p57 | -0.02×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83941.3
-0.00323285
83670
0.69519
83741.8
0.00437251
84108
0.67149
83780.8
0.00860699
84502
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0.010646
198
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0.5573
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0.1194
0.0626
1
0.7939
1.2882
0.5
0.5
1
1
1
0.5307
0.4664
3.9107
0.5
1.5185
4.5922
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0.3665
0.353
0.8
0.1156
0.5212
0.4141
0.4891
0.6277
-2.7648
4.6609
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:29 | 0.00986200 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:41 | 0.00985000 | -0.122% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 08:15:00 | 0.009806 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 08:50:00 | 0.009966 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 09:30:00 | 0.010016 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 10:15:00 | 0.009903 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 10:55:00 | 0.010327 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 11:45:00 | 0.010067 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 12:20:00 | 0.00999 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:30:00 | 0.010646 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 13:40:00 | 0.010159 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 14:25:00 | 0.009835 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 23:15:00 | 0.010062 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 23:30:00 | 0.009877 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 0.010309 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 03:30:00 | 0.009802 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 04:15:00 | 0.010015 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.009659 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 10:45:00 | 0.010327 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 12:15:00 | 0.00999 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:30:00 | 0.010646 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:15:00 | 0.010029 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 0.0105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 09:00:00 | 0.00939 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 13:00:00 | 0.01005 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.008984 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:00:00 | 0.01006 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.00953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 19:00:00 | 0.010091 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 0.010309 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.009659 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:00:00 | 0.010646 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009862 | 0.009685 | 0.01022 | 2.02 | 0.007934 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009685 - 0.009862 = -0.000177
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009862 - 0.01022 = -0.000358
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000358 / -0.000177 = 2.0226
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 446.598 | 100 | 45284.7277 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000177 = -45197.74
Taille de position USD = -45197.74 x 0.009862 = -445.74
Donc, tu peux acheter -45197.74 avec un stoploss a 0.009685
Avec un position size USD de -445.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -45197.74 x -0.000177 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -45197.74 x -0.000358 = 16.18
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.18$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.63 % | 16.21 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.79 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -1.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8962 % | 105.65 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009862 | 0.009685 | 0.01022 | 2.02 | 0.007934 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009685 - 0.009862 = -0.000177
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009862 - 0.01022 = -0.000358
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000358 / -0.000177 = 2.0226
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(
[take_profit] => 0.01022
[entry_price] => 0.009862
[stop_loss] => 0.0095965
[rr_ratio] => 1.35
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.156% | 0.6R | -0.862% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.450% | 0.8R | -0.862% | 0.5R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.856% | 1.0R | -1.288% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.856% | 1.0R | -4.188% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.856% | 1.0R | -4.188% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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