Long Trade on SOL

Previous Trade Next Trade

30 Sep 2026 at 10:33:31 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 3.51 SOL at 121.08$ per unit. Take profit: 126.7717 (4.7 %) & Stop Loss: 118.8033 (1.88 %)

SOL LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 10:33 → 10:35 · 1 minute

Position

Entry 121.08$

Qty 3.5139 SOL

Size 425.4621$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 126.7717 (+4.7%)

TP $ 20$

SL 118.8033 (-1.88%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.88% / -8$ MAE -3.37% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 22:33

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167442)

#27 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6411

Quality Score

0.582

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

86 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

255.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 10:30

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#27 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

86 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.88 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#27 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

86 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.88 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.05×ATR
4h	clear	2.11×ATR
1d	clear	3.53×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 09:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4467

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	+2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 71.9%

Impulse : +0.01

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : mixed

% Positive (universe)

15m	40.4%
1h	56.1%
4h	73.7%
24h	50.9%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	33.3%	-0.14%
4h	52.6%	+1.01%
24h	38.6%	+0.01%

Dispersion : 0.176

Universe : 57 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 10:31 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5955

Score SMA

0.6369

Rank

#41 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5122

Rank Norm SMA

0.5591

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7369	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.18% · r3d: -1.91% · ema21_slope: 1.0454% · dist_ema21: 6.081%
Force Relative	25%	0.5519	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.02% · rs_3d: -0.97% · beta_24h: 1.451
Volume	20%	0.2727	rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.447 · trend: -0.43%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8709	ADX: 44.5 (trend) · Chop: 35.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.5128	ATR%: 4.462% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 10:00

Score brut

0.5815

Score SMA

0.5401

Rank

#27 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6411

Rank Norm SMA

0.5323

Calculé le

30/09/2026 10:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5123	r1h: -0.722% · r4h: 1.417% · r1d: 0.02% · r3d: -1.77% · ema21_slope: 0.0271% · dist_ema21: 1.306%
Force Relative	25%	0.4871	rs_1h: 0.019% · rs_4h: 0.171% · rs_1d: -0.50% · rs_3d: -1.33% · beta_24h: 1.370
Volume	20%	0.9229	rvol_20: 3.04× · zscore_50: 1.915 · trend: 96.47%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5928	ADX: 14.8 (weak) · Chop: 42.0 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.066% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.5147

Score SMA

0.5741

Rank

#31 / 81

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5039

Rank Norm SMA

0.5667

Calculé le

30/09/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5388	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.887% · r1d: -0.57% · r3d: -3.60% · ema21_slope: -0.0587% · dist_ema21: 0.130%
Force Relative	25%	0.5078	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.142% · rs_1d: -0.06% · rs_3d: -2.42% · beta_24h: 1.447
Volume	20%	0.3463	rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: -0.001 · trend: -24.44%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3788	ADX: 14.8 (weak) · Chop: 68.5 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.862% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.880% (2.2767)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.569%	1.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.569%	1.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.569%	1.4R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.370%	1.8R	0.0×	96
12h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.370%	1.8R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.634%	1.9R	0.0×	288

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.88	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.73	28/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	0.80	bull_high	+1.97%	-0.04	30/09 04:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	mid	—	near -0.1ATR	0.82	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.04%	+0.09	30/09 09:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	range_medium	32%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	—	0.91	range_medium	+0.08%	-0.05	30/09 10:15
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177417	↑ up	bull_high	65%	mid 14b 1.2ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.587	— —	0.73	value	-1.80 ATR	—	#97229	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:16
4h 182493	↑ up	bull_high	62%	early 8b 0.1ATR	noisy_chop 36%	0.705	— —	1.20	above_value	-1.58 ATR	—	#99452	30/09 04:00 upd 30/09 08:12
1h anchor 183369	↑ up	bull_high	59%	mid 5b 1.2ATR	noisy_chop 33%	0.515	— near -0.1ATR	3.04	above_value	-0.04 ATR	—	#99855	30/09 09:00 upd 30/09 10:09
15m 183532	↔ neutral	range_medium	32%	late 3b -1.3ATR	noisy_chop 41%	0.673	— —	3.44	above_value	-0.04 ATR	—	#99855	30/09 10:15 upd 30/09 10:30
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	14b	—	4.388×ATR	p63	+1.207×ATR	p69
4h	↑ up	early	8b	—	1.416×ATR	p0	+0.07×ATR	p5
1h	↑ up	mid	5b	—	2.497×ATR	p52	+1.249×ATR	p70
15m	↓ down	late	3b	—	4.275×ATR	p83	-1.27×ATR	p67

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.8557
reason: up_bo width=2.37×ATR dur=54b phase=fresh
stop_price: 118.80332244
tp_price: 126.7716939
atr:
score: 0.85571402941192
expires_at: 2026-10-01T02:33:23.830924
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.85571402941192

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0765
obi_top10 : 0.0765
micro_price : 118.62458733
spread_pct : 0.000843
mid_price : 118.6245
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price :
ask_wall_size :
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.0205
obi_top5_std : 0.072
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7281
aggregation_tick : 1
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
120.4
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
117.455
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
118.9275
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1790586000
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1790776800
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.3716
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
54
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.8557
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1790769600
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
120.4
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.8704
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
2
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.5476
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
7
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
10
```
regime : bull_high
atr_entry : 1.24177559

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.8704

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.5476

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7281ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.077

avg 0.021 ± 0.072

OBI Top 10 0.077

Microstructure

Mid Price

118.6245

Micro Price

118.6246

Spread

0.0008%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
121.08	118.8033	126.7717	2.5	107.4

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 121.08
Stop Loss: 118.8033
Take Profit: 126.7717

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 118.8033 - 121.08 = -2.2767
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 121.08 - 126.7717 = -5.6917
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.6917 / -2.2767 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
425.4621	100	3.5139	4.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -2.2767

Taille de position = 8 / -2.2767 = -3.51

Taille de position USD = -3.51 x 121.08 = -424.99

Donc, tu peux acheter -3.51 avec un stoploss a 118.8033

Avec un position size USD de -424.99$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3.51 x -2.2767 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3.51 x -5.6917 = 19.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.98$

Résumé

Taille de position -3.51
Taille de position USD -424.99
Perte potentielle 7.99
Gain potentiel 19.98
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
4.7 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
1.88 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-1.88

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.04 %	108.49 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
121.08	118.8033	126.7717	2.5	107.4

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 121.08
Stop Loss: 118.8033
Take Profit: 126.7717

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 118.8033 - 121.08 = -2.2767
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 121.08 - 126.7717 = -5.6917
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.6917 / -2.2767 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.7717
            [entry_price] => 121.08
            [stop_loss] => 118.57563
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 14:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.7717
            [entry_price] => 121.08
            [stop_loss] => 118.34796
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 15:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.7717
            [entry_price] => 121.08
            [stop_loss] => 118.12029
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 15:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.7717
            [entry_price] => 121.08
            [stop_loss] => 117.66495
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.880% (2.2767)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.569%	1.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.569%	1.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.569%	1.4R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.370%	1.8R	0.0×	96
12h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.370%	1.8R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.634%	1.9R	0.0×	288

computed 1 week ago

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