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Long Trade on NIL

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30 Sep 2026 at 11:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 767.14 NIL at 0.092$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08162 (11.33 %)

NIL LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 11:15 → 14:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.09205$

Qty 767.144 NIL

Size 70.6148$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 70.62$

SL 0.08162 (-11.33%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -5.20% / -3.67$ MAE -5.87% MFE +0.63% 0.1R expires 30 Sep 14:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167574)
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8914

Quality Score
0.791
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 11:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.33 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.33 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.10×ATR
4h clear 3.48×ATR
1d clear 3.17×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4469
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.0%
Impulse : -0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 75.0%
1h 1.8%
4h 21.4%
24h 19.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 85.7% +0.21%
4h 30.4% -0.97%
24h 19.6% -2.02%
Dispersion : 0.198
Universe : 56 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 11:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5133
Score SMA
0.6642
Rank
#61 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2683
Rank Norm SMA
0.6124
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6294 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.15% · r3d: -24.37% · ema21_slope: 6.7344% · dist_ema21: 3.670%
Force Relative 25% 0.3646 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -11.34% · rs_3d: -23.43% · beta_24h: 0.670
Volume 20% 0.4943 rvol_20: 0.95× · zscore_50: 0.437 · trend: 95.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8964 ADX: 47.6 (trend) · Chop: 7.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 19.534% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.7911
Score SMA
0.4586
Rank
#1 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8914
Rank Norm SMA
0.2605
Calculé le
30/09/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7500 r1h: 0.789% · r4h: 4.127% · r1d: 16.12% · r3d: -10.57% · ema21_slope: 0.5991% · dist_ema21: 6.530%
Force Relative 25% 0.7063 rs_1h: 1.783% · rs_4h: 4.227% · rs_1d: 16.04% · rs_3d: -9.73% · beta_24h: 1.382
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.62× · zscore_50: 3.066 · trend: 126.71%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7841 ADX: 34.1 (trend) · Chop: 20.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7248 ATR%: 3.826% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4799
Score SMA
0.4874
Rank
#50 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2308
Rank Norm SMA
0.3391
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5814 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 10.629% · r1d: 14.60% · r3d: -9.34% · ema21_slope: -0.9280% · dist_ema21: 7.560%
Force Relative 25% 0.6938 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 9.885% · rs_1d: 15.11% · rs_3d: -8.16% · beta_24h: 6.090
Volume 20% 0.2973 rvol_20: 1.25× · zscore_50: -0.433 · trend: -45.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4835 ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 65.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.786% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.331% (0.0104)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.627% 0.1R -3.531% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.627% 0.1R -4.832% 0.4R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.627% 0.1R -5.872% 0.5R 0.1× 36
4h +0.627% 0.1R -7.426% 0.7R 0.1× 48
8h +0.627% 0.1R -9.832% 0.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.627% 0.1R -9.832% 0.9R 0.1× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.15
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 46% mid — — 0.30 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.13 bull_high +1.97% -0.15 30/09 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 46% mid — — 0.12 range_medium +0.03% +0.79 30/09 10:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.19 range_medium +0.14% +0.60 30/09 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177642 		↑ up bull_high
64%
mid 5b 0.1ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.823

—

—

0.95 below_value -15.66 ATR — #97289 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:28
4h
182630 		↔ neutral bull_high
57%
early 5b 1.2ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.653

—

—

1.25 below_value -7.38 ATR — #99509 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:19
1h anchor
183821 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
61%
mid 1b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.843

—

—

4.62 below_value -6.59 ATR — #100069 30/09 10:00
upd 30/09 11:11
15m
183744 		↔ neutral bull_high
54%
early 4b 0.2ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.562

—

—

0.16 below_value -7.14 ATR — #99910 30/09 10:45
upd 30/09 11:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 4.669×ATR p62 +0.141×ATR p11
4h ↑ up early 5b — 2.594×ATR p12 +1.161×ATR p56
1h ↑ up mid 1b — 0.856×ATR p7 +1.529×ATR p62
15m ↑ up early 4b — 1.496×ATR p3 +0.164×ATR p9

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.08162071
  2. atr: 0.0034761
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T18:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.7521
  4. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09205 0.08162 0.07731
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09205
  • Stop Loss: 0.08162
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08162 - 0.09205 = -0.01043

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09205 - = 0.09205

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.09205 / -0.01043 = -8.8255

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
70.6148 70.6148 767.144 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.01043

Taille de position = 8 / -0.01043 = -767.02

Taille de position USD = -767.02 x 0.09205 = -70.6

Donc, tu peux acheter -767.02 avec un stoploss a 0.08162

Avec un position size USD de -70.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -767.02 x -0.01043 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -767.02 x 0.09205 = -70.6

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -70.6$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -767.02
  • Taille de position USD -70.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -70.6
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -8.8255

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 70.62 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.33 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.67 $ -5.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.6589 % 49.94 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09205 0.08162 0.07731
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09205
  • Stop Loss: 0.08162
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08162 - 0.09205 = -0.01043

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09205 - = 0.09205

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.09205 / -0.01043 = -8.8255

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.09205
            [stop_loss] => 0.080577
            [rr_ratio] => 8.02
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 15:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.09205
            [stop_loss] => 0.079534
            [rr_ratio] => 7.35
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 15:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.09205
            [stop_loss] => 0.078491
            [rr_ratio] => 6.79
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 15:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.09205
            [stop_loss] => 0.076405
            [rr_ratio] => 5.88
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 15:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.331% (0.0104)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.627% 0.1R -3.531% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.627% 0.1R -4.832% 0.4R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.627% 0.1R -5.872% 0.5R 0.1× 36
4h +0.627% 0.1R -7.426% 0.7R 0.1× 48
8h +0.627% 0.1R -9.832% 0.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.627% 0.1R -9.832% 0.9R 0.1× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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