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Short Trade on W

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30 Sep 2026 at 11:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on W (momentum_rotation_score)

With 9802.84 W at 0.0133$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01414 (6.16 %)

W SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 11:15 → 14:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.01332$

Qty 9802.8404 W

Size 130.5738$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 130.57$

SL 0.01414 (-6.16%)

SL $ 8.04$

RR

Status win PnL +1.50% / +1.96$ MAE -1.20% MFE +1.73% 0.3R expires 30 Sep 14:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167551)
#75 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0596

Quality Score
0.388
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 11:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#75 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.16 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#75 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.16 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.82×ATR
4h clear 3.06×ATR
1d clear 4.43×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 10:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4469
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.0%
Impulse : -0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 75.0%
1h 1.8%
4h 21.4%
24h 19.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 85.7% +0.21%
4h 30.4% -0.97%
24h 19.6% -2.02%
Dispersion : 0.198
Universe : 56 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 11:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7053
Score SMA
0.7799
Rank
#14 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8415
Rank Norm SMA
0.9109
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8212 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.31% · r3d: 3.98% · ema21_slope: 1.9318% · dist_ema21: 15.450%
Force Relative 25% 0.7328 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.50% · rs_3d: 4.92% · beta_24h: 1.508
Volume 20% 0.7919 rvol_20: 2.34× · zscore_50: 1.450 · trend: 242.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7826 ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 16.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.573% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3880
Score SMA
0.5943
Rank
#75 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0596
Rank Norm SMA
0.6067
Calculé le
30/09/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3149 r1h: -1.625% · r4h: -1.770% · r1d: -5.20% · r3d: -8.89% · ema21_slope: -0.1151% · dist_ema21: -2.272%
Force Relative 25% 0.3059 rs_1h: -0.631% · rs_4h: -1.670% · rs_1d: -5.27% · rs_3d: -8.05% · beta_24h: 1.472
Volume 20% 0.4326 rvol_20: 1.80× · zscore_50: -0.118 · trend: -25.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3848 ADX: 10.2 (weak) · Chop: 62.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.120% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4197
Score SMA
0.6721
Rank
#68 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2541
Rank Norm SMA
0.7540
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5529 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.517% · r1d: -6.78% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0054% · dist_ema21: -1.753%
Force Relative 25% 0.4100 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.262% · rs_1d: -6.27% · rs_3d: -7.99% · beta_24h: 2.988
Volume 20% 0.1734 rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.488 · trend: -45.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5509 ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 65.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.3400 ATR%: 4.980% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.156% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.652% 0.3R -1.201% 0.2R 1.4× 12
2h +1.652% 0.3R -1.201% 0.2R 1.4× 24
3h ★ +1.727% 0.3R -1.201% 0.2R 1.4× 36
4h +2.703% 0.4R -1.201% 0.2R 2.3× 48
8h +2.703% 0.4R -1.502% 0.2R 1.8× 96
12h +2.703% 0.4R -2.402% 0.4R 1.1× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.94
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
72%
noisy_chop 47% mid — — 0.59 bull_high +12.90% +0.98 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.49 bull_high +1.97% -0.42 30/09 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.33 range_medium +0.03% -0.48 30/09 10:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced expansion bear_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — 0.52 range_medium +0.14% -0.25 30/09 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177563 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
72%
mid 2b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.679

—

—

2.34 above_value -0.38 ATR — #97265 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:24
4h
182559 		↔ neutral bull_high
54%
early 6b -0.4ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.510

—

—

0.18 above_value -0.30 ATR — #99485 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:15
1h anchor
183798 		↓ down bear_high
57%
mid 1b -1.3ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.502

—

—

1.80 below_value -0.88 ATR — #100046 30/09 10:00
upd 30/09 11:10
15m
183722 		↔ neutral bear_high_confirmed
56%
mid 7b -1.3ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.646

—

—

0.25 above_value -0.01 ATR — #99887 30/09 10:45
upd 30/09 11:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 2b — 2.264×ATR p0 +1.378×ATR p70
4h ↓ down early 6b — 2.162×ATR p17 -0.35×ATR p22
1h ↓ down mid 1b — 1.983×ATR p30 -1.294×ATR p69
15m ↓ down mid 7b — 4.287×ATR p55 -1.284×ATR p67

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.01413609
  2. atr: 0.00027203
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T18:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 75
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.2914
  4. confidence: 0.949

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01332 0.01414 0.01745
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01332
  • Stop Loss: 0.01414
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01414 - 0.01332 = 0.00082

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01332 - = 0.01332

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01332 / 0.00082 = 16.2439

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
130.5738 100 9802.8404 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00082

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00082 = 9756.1

Taille de position USD = 9756.1 x 0.01332 = 129.95

Donc, tu peux acheter 9756.1 avec un stoploss a 0.01414

Avec un position size USD de 129.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9756.1 x 0.00082 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9756.1 x 0.01332 = 129.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 129.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9756.1
  • Taille de position USD 129.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 129.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 16.2439

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 130.57 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.16 % 8.04 $
PNL PNL %
1.96 $ 1.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2012 % 19.51 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01332 0.01414 0.01745
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01332
  • Stop Loss: 0.01414
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01414 - 0.01332 = 0.00082

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01332 - = 0.01332

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01332 / 0.00082 = 16.2439

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.156% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.652% 0.3R -1.201% 0.2R 1.4× 12
2h +1.652% 0.3R -1.201% 0.2R 1.4× 24
3h ★ +1.727% 0.3R -1.201% 0.2R 1.4× 36
4h +2.703% 0.4R -1.201% 0.2R 2.3× 48
8h +2.703% 0.4R -1.502% 0.2R 1.8× 96
12h +2.703% 0.4R -2.402% 0.4R 1.1× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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