30 Sep 2026 at 12:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on EIGEN (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 600.29 EIGEN at 0.25$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2436 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2631 (5.32 %)

EIGEN SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 12:15 → 14:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.2498$

Qty 600.2914 EIGEN

Size 149.9528$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2436 (+2.48%)

TP $ 3.72$

SL 0.2631 (-5.32%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.47

Status win PnL +2.48% / +3.72$ MAE -1.36% MFE +4.04% 0.8R expires 30 Sep 18:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167636)
#68 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2183

Quality Score
0.418
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 12:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#68 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.32 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#68 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.32 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.72×ATR
4h near 0.09×ATR
1d clear 1.55×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 10:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4473
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.1%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 64.9%
1h 64.9%
4h 24.6%
24h 56.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 63.2% +0.10%
4h 21.1% -1.16%
24h 36.8% +0.44%
Dispersion : 0.197
Universe : 57 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 12:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5555
Score SMA
0.6249
Rank
#58 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3523
Rank Norm SMA
0.4728
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6841 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.24% · r3d: -4.19% · ema21_slope: 1.4508% · dist_ema21: 8.024%
Force Relative 25% 0.5306 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -7.08% · rs_3d: -3.47% · beta_24h: 1.368
Volume 20% 0.5192 rvol_20: 1.27× · zscore_50: 0.881 · trend: 53.40%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7588 ADX: 31.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.018% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4183
Score SMA
0.5625
Rank
#68 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2183
Rank Norm SMA
0.5395
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3905 r1h: 0.650% · r4h: -1.038% · r1d: -3.62% · r3d: -8.49% · ema21_slope: -0.0991% · dist_ema21: -1.405%
Force Relative 25% 0.3538 rs_1h: 0.254% · rs_4h: -1.328% · rs_1d: -4.91% · rs_3d: -8.12% · beta_24h: 1.342
Volume 20% 0.4661 rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 0.395 · trend: 29.66%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4530 ADX: 13.8 (weak) · Chop: 58.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.157% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3863
Score SMA
0.5662
Rank
#69 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1038
Rank Norm SMA
0.4571
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4328 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.038% · r1d: -3.62% · r3d: -8.49% · ema21_slope: -0.2063% · dist_ema21: -2.956%
Force Relative 25% 0.3780 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.328% · rs_1d: -4.91% · rs_3d: -8.12% · beta_24h: 3.043
Volume 20% 0.4008 rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.376 · trend: -1.42%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4039 ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 65.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.5309 ATR%: 4.407% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.324% (0.0133)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.361% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +3.002% 0.6R -1.361% 0.3R 2.2× 24
4h +3.443% 0.7R -1.361% 0.3R 2.5× 48
6h ★ +4.043% 0.8R -1.361% 0.3R 3.0× 72
8h +4.043% 0.8R -1.361% 0.3R 3.0× 96
12h +4.043% 0.8R -1.361% 0.3R 3.0× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.26
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.58 bull_high +12.90% +0.90 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 42% early near 0.1ATR — 0.52 bull_high +1.97% -0.57 30/09 04:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 37% mid near -0.7ATR — 0.47 range_medium +0.03% -0.38 30/09 10:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
49%
noisy_chop 39% early near -0.5ATR — 0.72 range_medium +0.52% -0.15 30/09 11:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
180113
↔ neutral bull_high
55%
early 13b 0.6ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.581

—

—

0.72 value -1.17 ATR — #98425 28/09 20:00
upd 30/09 02:19
4h
182579
↔ neutral bull_high
55%
early 6b -0.6ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.534

near 0.1ATR

—

0.92 above_value -0.01 ATR — #99492 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:16
1h anchor
183805
↔ neutral bear_high
54%
mid 1b -1.2ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.520

near -0.7ATR

—

1.54 value -0.80 ATR — #100053 30/09 10:00
upd 30/09 11:10
15m
184123
↓ down bear_high
49%
early 2b -0.3ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.436

near -0.5ATR

—

0.07 value -0.80 ATR — #100053 30/09 11:45
upd 30/09 12:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 13b — 2.928×ATR p16 +0.572×ATR p39
4h ↓ down early 6b — 1.906×ATR p0 -0.559×ATR p38
1h ↓ down mid 1b — 2.055×ATR p35 -1.153×ATR p64
15m ↑ up early 2b — 2.098×ATR p18 -0.341×ATR p24

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.26312686
  2. tp_price: 0.243555
  3. atr: 0.00533074
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T22:15:10+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 76
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.3148
  4. delta_2h: -0.0363
  5. extension_atr: -0.22
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2033
  9. confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2498 0.2631 0.2436 0.47 0.234
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2498
  • Stop Loss: 0.2631
  • Take Profit: 0.2436

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2631 - 0.2498 = 0.0133

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2498 - 0.2436 = 0.0062

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0062 / 0.0133 = 0.4662

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
149.9528 100 600.2914 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0133

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0133 = 601.5

Taille de position USD = 601.5 x 0.2498 = 150.25

Donc, tu peux acheter 601.5 avec un stoploss a 0.2631

Avec un position size USD de 150.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 601.5 x 0.0133 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 601.5 x 0.0062 = 3.73

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.73$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 601.5
  • Taille de position USD 150.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.73
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4662

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.48 % 3.72 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.32 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
3.72 $ 2.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3611 % 25.56 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2498 0.2631 0.2436 0.47 0.234
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2498
  • Stop Loss: 0.2631
  • Take Profit: 0.2436

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2631 - 0.2498 = 0.0133

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2498 - 0.2436 = 0.0062

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0062 / 0.0133 = 0.4662

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.324% (0.0133)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.361% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +3.002% 0.6R -1.361% 0.3R 2.2× 24
4h +3.443% 0.7R -1.361% 0.3R 2.5× 48
6h ★ +4.043% 0.8R -1.361% 0.3R 3.0× 72
8h +4.043% 0.8R -1.361% 0.3R 3.0× 96
12h +4.043% 0.8R -1.361% 0.3R 3.0× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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