Long Trade on PURR

Previous Trade Next Trade

30 Sep 2026 at 13:12:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PURR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1401.38 PURR at 0.148$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1625 (9.58 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1426 (3.84 %)

PURR LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 13:12 → 01:10 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1483$

Qty 1401.3797 PURR

Size 207.7826$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1625 (+9.58%)

TP $ 19.9$

SL 0.1426 (-3.84%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 2.49

Status win PnL +6.26% / +13$ MAE -1.29% MFE +6.63% 1.7R expires 01 Oct 01:12 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167791)

#12 / 75 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7997

Quality Score

0.627

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

81 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 13:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#12 / 75 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

81 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.84 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#12 / 75 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

81 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.84 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.31×ATR
4h	clear	1.44×ATR
1d	near	-1.05×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 12:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4477

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	+2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 35.7%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : btc_led_risk_on

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	35.1%
1h	68.4%
4h	14.0%
24h	70.2%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.9%	-0.02%
4h	29.8%	-1.81%
24h	56.1%	+1.83%

Dispersion : 0.184

Universe : 57 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 13:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5439

Score SMA

0.6096

Rank

#55 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3415

Rank Norm SMA

0.4651

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7331	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.31% · r3d: 7.53% · ema21_slope: 1.3625% · dist_ema21: 7.954%
Force Relative	25%	0.5456	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.50% · rs_3d: 8.47% · beta_24h: 1.482
Volume	20%	0.2983	rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.350 · trend: 26.69%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8525	ADX: 47.1 (trend) · Chop: 43.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.311% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 13:00

Score brut

0.6266

Score SMA

0.5373

Rank

#12 / 75

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7997

Rank Norm SMA

0.4974

Calculé le

30/09/2026 13:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6876	r1h: 2.392% · r4h: 1.802% · r1d: 4.33% · r3d: 7.96% · ema21_slope: 0.1213% · dist_ema21: 4.370%
Force Relative	25%	0.7500	rs_1h: 2.129% · rs_4h: 2.881% · rs_1d: 2.75% · rs_3d: 8.03% · beta_24h: 1.405
Volume	20%	0.5670	rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 0.880 · trend: 21.02%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6765	ADX: 23.5 (weak) · Chop: 40.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.122% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.5257

Score SMA

0.5205

Rank

#45 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5442

Rank Norm SMA

0.4132

Calculé le

30/09/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7245	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.534% · r1d: -0.22% · r3d: 7.12% · ema21_slope: 0.1401% · dist_ema21: 3.304%
Force Relative	25%	0.5982	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.244% · rs_1d: -1.51% · rs_3d: 7.50% · beta_24h: 2.458
Volume	20%	0.2537	rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: -0.195 · trend: -38.57%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4142	ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 76.3 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.4597	ATR%: 4.621% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.844% (0.0057)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.126%	0.3R	-1.288%	0.3R	0.9×	12
2h	+2.353%	0.6R	-1.288%	0.3R	1.8×	24
4h	+4.970%	1.3R	-1.288%	0.3R	3.9×	48
8h	+6.244%	1.6R	-1.288%	0.3R	4.9×	96
12h ★	+6.629%	1.7R	-1.288%	0.3R	5.2×	144
24h	+16.891%	4.4R	-1.288%	0.3R	13.1×	288

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 4.09

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	near -1.1ATR	0.44	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.88	28/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.35	bull_high	+2.22%	+0.57	30/09 08:00
1h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	65%	noisy_chop 40%	late	—	—	0.39	range_medium	+0.67%	+0.38	30/09 12:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.39	range_low	+0.72%	+0.23	30/09 12:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177609	↑ up	bull_high	63%	early 13b 0.6ATR	noisy_chop 36%	0.662	— near -1.1ATR	0.62	value	+1.73 ATR	—	#97276	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:26
4h 184252	↑ up	bull_high	64%	early 15b 0.8ATR	noisy_chop 35%	0.733	— —	0.82	value	+3.42 ATR	—	#100212	30/09 08:00 upd 30/09 12:16
1h anchor 184664	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	65%	late 1b 2.0ATR	noisy_chop 40%	0.542	— —	1.84	above_value	+4.85 ATR	—	#100442	30/09 12:00 upd 30/09 13:10
15m 184590	↔ neutral	bull_high_confirmed	51%	late 6b 2.0ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.613	— —	0.99	value	+3.42 ATR	—	#100212	30/09 12:45 upd 30/09 13:02
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	13b	—	2.251×ATR	p4	+0.561×ATR	p45
4h	↓ down	early	15b	—	3.271×ATR	p42	+0.812×ATR	p57
1h	↑ up	late	1b	—	2.759×ATR	p57	+1.987×ATR	p92
15m	↑ up	late	6b	—	5.01×ATR	p89	+1.976×ATR	p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.8102
reason: up_bo width=2.87×ATR dur=54b phase=fresh
stop_price: 0.14256134
tp_price: 0.16254165
atr:
score: 0.81019503367558
expires_at: 2026-10-01T05:12:00.649667
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.81019503367558

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : -0.0117
obi_top10 : -0.0379
micro_price : 12.5373659
spread_pct : 0.399202
mid_price : 12.55
bid_wall_price : 12.4
bid_wall_size : 19372.396
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 12.7
ask_wall_size : 18083.25
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.0144
obi_top5_std : 0.0148
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6892
aggregation_tick : 0.1
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.147255
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.13848
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.1428675
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1790596800
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1790787600
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.8662
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
54
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.8102
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1790784000
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.147255
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.7963
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.3315
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
7
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
14
```
regime : bull_high
atr_entry : 0.00306158

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.7963

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.3315

Signaux confirmants (8)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	13:12	0.14827000	-0.02%
2	13:22	0.14827000	-0.02%
3	13:34	0.14827000	-0.02%
4	14:10	0.14760000	-0.472%
5	14:23	0.14760000	-0.472%
6	14:35	0.14760000	-0.472%
7	14:46	0.14969000	+0.937%
8	14:57	0.14969000	+0.937%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6892ms Confidence avant OB : 81% → 81%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.012

avg 0.014 ± 0.015

OBI Top 10 -0.038

Microstructure

Mid Price

12.5500

Micro Price

12.5374

Spread

0.3992%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

12.4000

Size

19,372.40

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

12.7000

Size

18,083.25

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1483	0.1426	0.1625	2.49	0.1074

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1483
Stop Loss: 0.1426
Take Profit: 0.1625

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1426 - 0.1483 = -0.0057
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1483 - 0.1625 = -0.0142
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0142 / -0.0057 = 2.4912

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
207.7826	100	1401.3797	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0057

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0057 = -1403.51

Taille de position USD = -1403.51 x 0.1483 = -208.14

Donc, tu peux acheter -1403.51 avec un stoploss a 0.1426

Avec un position size USD de -208.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1403.51 x -0.0057 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1403.51 x -0.0142 = 19.93

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.93$

Résumé

Taille de position -1403.51
Taille de position USD -208.14
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.93
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4912

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
9.58 %	19.9 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.84 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
13 $	6.26

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.2879 %	33.51 %	9

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1483	0.1426	0.1625	2.49	0.1074

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1483
Stop Loss: 0.1426
Take Profit: 0.1625

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1426 - 0.1483 = -0.0057
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1483 - 0.1625 = -0.0142
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0142 / -0.0057 = 2.4912

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.844% (0.0057)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.126%	0.3R	-1.288%	0.3R	0.9×	12
2h	+2.353%	0.6R	-1.288%	0.3R	1.8×	24
4h	+4.970%	1.3R	-1.288%	0.3R	3.9×	48
8h	+6.244%	1.6R	-1.288%	0.3R	4.9×	96
12h ★	+6.629%	1.7R	-1.288%	0.3R	5.2×	144
24h	+16.891%	4.4R	-1.288%	0.3R	13.1×	288

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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