Long Trade on ZEC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.13 ZEC at 1470.6$ per unit. Take profit: 1621.8244 (10.28 %) & Stop Loss: 1410.1102 (4.11 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 13:14:23
hyperliquid
ZEC
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 13:14
→ 18:00
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 1470.6$
Qty 0.1323 ZEC
Size 194.4924$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1621.8244 (+10.28%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1410.1102 (-4.11%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-4.11%
/ -8$
MAE -5.13%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
01 Oct 01:14
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 167811)
#39 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 13:00
score du 30/09/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5132
Quality Score
0.514
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
460.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 13:02
30/09 13:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#39 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#39 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.83×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.76×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 30/09 12:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4477
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
35.7%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
btc_led_risk_on
Leadership :
btc
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 35.1% |
| 1h | 68.4% |
| 4h | 14.0% |
| 24h | 70.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.9% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 29.8% | -1.81% |
| 24h | 56.1% | +1.83% |
Dispersion :
0.184
Universe :
57
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 13:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5227
Score SMA
0.6147
Rank
#58
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3049
Rank Norm SMA
0.4952
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5903 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.51% · r3d: -14.31% · ema21_slope: 2.0163% · dist_ema21: 2.221% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3920 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.70% · rs_3d: -13.37% · beta_24h: 1.343 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5293 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 1.313 · trend: 35.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9448 | ADX: 56.9 (trend) · Chop: 41.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.470% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.5138
Score SMA
0.5150
Rank
#39
/ 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5132
Rank Norm SMA
0.4157
Calculé le
30/09/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5745 | r1h: 1.885% · r4h: 0.747% · r1d: 5.50% · r3d: -7.15% · ema21_slope: 0.0631% · dist_ema21: 2.741% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5957 | rs_1h: 1.622% · rs_4h: 1.826% · rs_1d: 3.92% · rs_3d: -7.08% · beta_24h: 1.664 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5125 | rvol_20: 1.62× · zscore_50: 0.037 · trend: 47.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6030 | ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.063% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5222
Score SMA
0.5230
Rank
#46
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2500
Rank Norm SMA
0.3688
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4134 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.263% · r1d: 3.72% · r3d: -8.80% · ema21_slope: -0.5463% · dist_ema21: -1.791% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4350 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.973% · rs_1d: 2.42% · rs_3d: -8.43% · beta_24h: 3.067 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6200 | rvol_20: 2.02× · zscore_50: 1.456 · trend: 9.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6350 | ADX: 21.7 (weak) · Chop: 43.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7017 | ATR%: 3.895% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.113%
(60.4898)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.448% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.985% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.985% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.127% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.127% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -9.534% | 2.3R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.56 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.54 | bull_high | +2.22% | -0.88 | 30/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.39 | range_medium | +0.67% | +0.35 | 30/09 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.69 | range_low | +0.72% | +0.25 | 30/09 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177666 |
↑ up | bull_high |
69%
|
early 3b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.700 |
— — |
1.30 | below_value | -4.84 ATR | — | #97300 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
|
|
4h
184315 |
↓ down | bull_high |
54%
|
early 8b -0.4ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.391 |
— — |
2.02 | below_value | -4.37 ATR | — | #100233 |
30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:18
|
|
1h
anchor
184685 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
62%
|
mid 1b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.628 |
— near -0.8ATR |
1.62 | value | -2.72 ATR | — | #100463 |
30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 13:11
|
|
15m
184607 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
51%
|
mid 6b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.509 |
— near 0.0ATR |
1.11 | below_value | -4.37 ATR | — | #100233 |
30/09 12:45
upd 30/09 13:03
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.074×ATR | p0 | +0.195×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.527×ATR | p0 | -0.418×ATR | p30 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.984×ATR | p25 | +1.352×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 3.399×ATR | p61 | +1.201×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7825
- reason: up_bo width=2.59×ATR dur=38b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)|ob:obi_bearish(-0.05)
- stop_price: 1410.11024659
- tp_price: 1621.82438354
- atr:
- score: 0.93246042395645
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T05:14:15.610723
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.93246042395645
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.6339
- obi_top10 : -0.6339
- micro_price : 1468.7942953
- spread_pct : 0.000681
- mid_price : 1468.795
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.6227
- obi_top5_std : 0.0203
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7058
- aggregation_tick : 10
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1450.45
- balance_zone_bottom:
1375.55
- balance_zone_mid:
1413
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790654400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790787600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5919
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
38
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9325
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790784000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1450.45
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8421
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6973
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 28.89753415 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
38
inside_close_ratio
0.8421
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6973
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:14 | 1470.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:25 | 1470.60000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 13:37 | 1451.50000000 | -1.299% |
| 4 | 13:48 | 1451.50000000 | -1.299% |
| 5 | 13:58 | 1451.50000000 | -1.299% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7058ms
Confidence avant OB :
93%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.634
avg -0.623
± 0.020
OBI Top 10
-0.634
Microstructure
Mid Price
1,468.7950
Micro Price
1,468.7943
Spread
0.0007%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1470.6 | 1410.1102 | 1621.8244 | 2.5 | 1138 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1470.6
- Stop Loss: 1410.1102
- Take Profit: 1621.8244
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1410.1102 - 1470.6 = -60.4898
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1470.6 - 1621.8244 = -151.2244
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -151.2244 / -60.4898 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 194.4924 | 100 | 0.1323 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -60.4898
Taille de position = 8 / -60.4898 = -0.13
Taille de position USD = -0.13 x 1470.6 = -191.18
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.13 avec un stoploss a 1410.1102
Avec un position size USD de -191.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.13 x -60.4898 = 7.86
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.86$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.13 x -151.2244 = 19.66
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.66$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.13
- Taille de position USD -191.18
- Perte potentielle 7.86
- Gain potentiel 19.66
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.28 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.11 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.488 % | 109.11 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1470.6 | 1410.1102 | 1621.8244 | 2.5 | 1138 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1470.6
- Stop Loss: 1410.1102
- Take Profit: 1621.8244
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1410.1102 - 1470.6 = -60.4898
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1470.6 - 1621.8244 = -151.2244
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -151.2244 / -60.4898 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1621.8244
[entry_price] => 1470.6
[stop_loss] => 1404.06122
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 22:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1621.8244
[entry_price] => 1470.6
[stop_loss] => 1398.01224
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 22:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.113%
(60.4898)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.448% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.985% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.985% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.127% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.127% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -9.534% | 2.3R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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