30 Sep 2026 at 13:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 17941.64 PUMP at 0.00596$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006111 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005516 (7.48 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 13:15 → 19:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.005962$

Qty 17941.6448 PUMP

Size 106.9681$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.006111 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.67$

SL 0.005516 (-7.48%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.33

Status loss PnL -0.29% / -0.31$ MAE -3.64% MFE +0.57% 0.1R expires 30 Sep 19:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167805)
#13 / 75 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7673

Quality Score
0.623
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
175.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 13:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#13 / 75 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.48 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#13 / 75 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.48 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.07×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 12:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4477
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 35.7%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 35.1%
1h 68.4%
4h 14.0%
24h 70.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.9% -0.02%
4h 29.8% -1.81%
24h 56.1% +1.83%
Dispersion : 0.184
Universe : 57 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 13:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8549
Score SMA
0.5683
Rank
#3 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9756
Rank Norm SMA
0.3897
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9854 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 19.54% · r3d: 33.89% · ema21_slope: 1.1367% · dist_ema21: 34.114%
Force Relative 25% 0.9756 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 19.34% · rs_3d: 34.83% · beta_24h: 1.139
Volume 20% 0.9891 rvol_20: 3.56× · zscore_50: 2.836 · trend: 114.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7837 ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 34.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.640% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.6234
Score SMA
0.6001
Rank
#13 / 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7673
Rank Norm SMA
0.5908
Calculé le
30/09/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7903 r1h: 2.975% · r4h: 2.028% · r1d: 3.41% · r3d: 20.82% · ema21_slope: 0.0926% · dist_ema21: 2.937%
Force Relative 25% 0.8257 rs_1h: 2.712% · rs_4h: 3.108% · rs_1d: 1.83% · rs_3d: 20.89% · beta_24h: 1.123
Volume 20% 0.4756 rvol_20: 1.70× · zscore_50: 0.140 · trend: 6.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5364 ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 61.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9639 ATR%: 3.108% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6294
Score SMA
0.6023
Rank
#13 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8200
Rank Norm SMA
0.5386
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7478 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.609% · r1d: -0.57% · r3d: 16.99% · ema21_slope: 1.1496% · dist_ema21: 8.039%
Force Relative 25% 0.7080 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.898% · rs_1d: -1.87% · rs_3d: 17.36% · beta_24h: 1.328
Volume 20% 0.4835 rvol_20: 1.18× · zscore_50: 1.078 · trend: 27.20%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7742 ADX: 37.4 (trend) · Chop: 42.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.1526 ATR%: 5.542% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.481% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.151% 0.0R -2.499% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.151% 0.0R -2.583% 0.4R 0.1× 24
4h +0.151% 0.0R -3.640% 0.5R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.570% 0.1R -3.640% 0.5R 0.2× 72
8h +0.570% 0.1R -3.640% 0.5R 0.2× 96
12h +0.570% 0.1R -4.445% 0.6R 0.1× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.50 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.27 bull_high +2.22% +0.99 30/09 08:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 30% early — near 0.1ATR 0.35 range_medium +0.67% -0.11 30/09 12:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 41% late — near -0.2ATR 0.40 range_low +0.72% +0.18 30/09 12:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177651
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
69%
late 13b 2.7ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.682

—

—

3.56 value +4.00 ATR inside #97293 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
184297
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
57%
mid 9b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.664

—

—

1.18 value -0.95 ATR — #100227 30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:18
1h anchor
184679
↑ up bull_high
55%
early 2b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 30% 0.633

—

near 0.1ATR

1.70 value +0.61 ATR — #100457 30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 13:11
15m
184602
↔ neutral bull_high_confirmed
56%
late 6b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.396

—

near -0.2ATR

1.74 value -0.95 ATR — #100227 30/09 12:45
upd 30/09 13:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 13b — 4.413×ATR p70 +2.701×ATR p97
4h ↑ up mid 9b — 3.268×ATR p58 +1.112×ATR p60
1h ↑ up early 2b — 2.209×ATR p49 +1.072×ATR p58
15m ↑ up late 6b — 3.428×ATR p71 +1.451×ATR p81

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00551611
  2. tp_price: 0.00611105
  3. atr: 0.00017836
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T23:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.7457
  4. delta_2h: 0.1188
  5. extension_atr: 1.2
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7538
  9. confidence: 0.998

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005962 0.005516 0.006111 0.33 0.004343
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005962
  • Stop Loss: 0.005516
  • Take Profit: 0.006111

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005516 - 0.005962 = -0.000446

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005962 - 0.006111 = -0.000149

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000149 / -0.000446 = 0.3341

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
106.9681 100 17941.6448 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000446

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000446 = -17937.22

Taille de position USD = -17937.22 x 0.005962 = -106.94

Donc, tu peux acheter -17937.22 avec un stoploss a 0.005516

Avec un position size USD de -106.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -17937.22 x -0.000446 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -17937.22 x -0.000149 = 2.67

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.67$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -17937.22
  • Taille de position USD -106.94
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.67
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3341

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.67 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.48 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.31 $ -0.29
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.6397 % 48.65 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005962 0.005516 0.006111 0.33 0.004343
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005962
  • Stop Loss: 0.005516
  • Take Profit: 0.006111

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005516 - 0.005962 = -0.000446

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005962 - 0.006111 = -0.000149

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000149 / -0.000446 = 0.3341

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.481% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.151% 0.0R -2.499% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.151% 0.0R -2.583% 0.4R 0.1× 24
4h +0.151% 0.0R -3.640% 0.5R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.570% 0.1R -3.640% 0.5R 0.2× 72
8h +0.570% 0.1R -3.640% 0.5R 0.2× 96
12h +0.570% 0.1R -4.445% 0.6R 0.1× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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