Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on 2Z

Previous Trade Next Trade
30 Sep 2026 at 13:15:15 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 5141.39 2Z at 0.0627$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06119 (2.35 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06422 (2.49 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 13:15 → 14:40 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.06266$

Qty 5141.3882 2Z

Size 322.1748$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.06119 (+2.35%)

TP $ 7.56$

SL 0.06422 (-2.49%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.94

Status win PnL +2.35% / +7.56$ MAE -1.17% MFE +9.50% 3.8R expires 01 Oct 01:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167810)
#72 / 75 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0569

Quality Score
0.415
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
87 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 13:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#72 / 75 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.49 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#72 / 75 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.49 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.63×ATR
4h near 0.32×ATR
1d clear 2.94×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 12:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4477
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 35.7%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 35.1%
1h 68.4%
4h 14.0%
24h 70.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.9% -0.02%
4h 29.8% -1.81%
24h 56.1% +1.83%
Dispersion : 0.184
Universe : 57 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 13:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5965
Score SMA
0.7061
Rank
#39 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5366
Rank Norm SMA
0.6931
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6868 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.91% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: 1.4248% · dist_ema21: 14.644%
Force Relative 25% 0.5774 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.11% · rs_3d: -8.23% · beta_24h: 1.086
Volume 20% 0.6656 rvol_20: 1.73× · zscore_50: 1.034 · trend: 206.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7531 ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 16.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.297% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4153
Score SMA
0.5788
Rank
#72 / 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0569
Rank Norm SMA
0.5916
Calculé le
30/09/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3672 r1h: -0.609% · r4h: -0.940% · r1d: -5.91% · r3d: -4.10% · ema21_slope: -0.1934% · dist_ema21: -1.573%
Force Relative 25% 0.3395 rs_1h: -0.871% · rs_4h: 0.139% · rs_1d: -7.48% · rs_3d: -4.03% · beta_24h: 0.897
Volume 20% 0.2106 rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.553 · trend: -39.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5264 ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.852% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4849
Score SMA
0.6601
Rank
#52 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2850
Rank Norm SMA
0.7333
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6216 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.612% · r1d: -5.48% · r3d: -3.54% · ema21_slope: 0.1227% · dist_ema21: -1.863%
Force Relative 25% 0.5207 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.323% · rs_1d: -6.77% · rs_3d: -3.17% · beta_24h: 2.532
Volume 20% 0.2224 rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.256 · trend: -35.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4675 ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 67.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.5363 ATR%: 4.391% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.490% (0.0016)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.531% 0.6R -1.171% 0.5R 1.3× 12
2h +3.889% 1.6R -1.171% 0.5R 3.3× 24
4h +6.526% 2.6R -1.171% 0.5R 5.6× 48
8h +7.222% 2.9R -1.171% 0.5R 6.2× 96
12h ★ +9.504% 3.8R -1.171% 0.5R 8.1× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 6.18
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 45% mid — near 0.2ATR 0.55 bull_high +12.90% +0.98 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 41% early near 0.3ATR — 0.33 bull_high +2.22% -0.61 30/09 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 36% mid — — 0.30 range_medium +0.67% -0.44 30/09 12:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early — near 0.2ATR 0.50 range_low +0.72% -0.06 30/09 12:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177664 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
60%
mid 3b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.678

—

near 0.2ATR

1.73 value -2.13 ATR — #97299 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
184312 		↔ neutral bull_high
53%
early 8b -0.5ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.449

near 0.3ATR

—

0.63 value -3.89 ATR — #100232 30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:18
1h anchor
184684 		↔ neutral bear_high
53%
mid 14b -0.9ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.646

—

—

0.71 value -4.12 ATR — #100462 30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 13:11
15m
184606 		↓ down bear_high
61%
early 9b -0.3ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.436

—

near 0.2ATR

0.46 value -3.89 ATR — #100232 30/09 12:45
upd 30/09 13:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 3b — 2.621×ATR p4 +1.443×ATR p72
4h ↓ down early 8b — 2.143×ATR p4 -0.502×ATR p32
1h ↓ down mid 14b — 2.676×ATR p58 -0.878×ATR p46
15m ↑ up early 9b — 1.709×ATR p3 -0.293×ATR p17

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.064219
  2. tp_price: 0.06119384
  3. atr: 0.00058766
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T05:15:15+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 68
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.3783
  4. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0586
  5. rank_velocity: 0.0713
  6. pullback_depth_atr: 2.8
  7. trigger_price: 0.062724
  8. fip_24h: -0.167
  9. confidence: 0.87
  10. market_structures
  11. market_structures
  12. 15m_version: 1.1
  13. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 03:45:00
                    [1] => 0.063319
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 05:15:00
                    [1] => 0.064994
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 07:45:00
                    [1] => 0.064225
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.06334
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 09:30:00
                    [1] => 0.064566
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 12:15:00
                    [1] => 0.06322
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 12:45:00
                    [1] => 0.064872
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 14:30:00
                    [1] => 0.062571
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.064219
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.062596
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4229589373861
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10703559332864
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5928174324238
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  14. market_structures
  15. 1H_version: 1.1
  16. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-27 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.068937
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-28 02:00:00
                    [1] => 0.061974
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.062294
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-28 23:00:00
                    [1] => 0.068201
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.064251
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 06:00:00
                    [1] => 0.069935
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 02:00:00
                    [1] => 0.066679
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 03:00:00
                    [1] => 0.063319
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.064872
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.062571
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.386669133062
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.16621118409486
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.677422448099
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    17. ¸

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 13:15 0.06266300 +0.005%
2 13:45 0.06264000 -0.032%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.42%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.11%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.59%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0008
1.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0014
2.26%
DateTime Price Type
2026-09-30 03:45:00 0.063319 ↓ Low
2026-09-30 05:15:00 0.064994 ↑ High
2026-09-30 07:45:00 0.064225 ↑ High
2026-09-30 08:00:00 0.06334 ↓ Low
2026-09-30 09:30:00 0.064566 ↑ High
2026-09-30 12:15:00 0.06322 ↓ Low
2026-09-30 12:45:00 0.064872 ↑ High
2026-09-30 14:30:00 0.062571 ↓ Low
2026-09-30 16:00:00 0.064219 ↑ High
2026-09-30 17:00:00 0.062596 ↓ Low
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.39%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.17%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0057
8.90%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0008
1.28%
DateTime Price Type
2026-09-27 20:00:00 0.068937 ↑ High
2026-09-28 02:00:00 0.061974 ↓ Low
2026-09-28 09:00:00 0.062294 ↓ Low
2026-09-28 23:00:00 0.068201 ↑ High
2026-09-29 01:00:00 0.064251 ↓ Low
2026-09-29 06:00:00 0.069935 ↑ High
2026-09-30 02:00:00 0.066679 ↑ High
2026-09-30 03:00:00 0.063319 ↓ Low
2026-09-30 12:00:00 0.064872 ↑ High
2026-09-30 14:00:00 0.062571 ↓ Low

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06266 0.06422 0.06119 0.94 0.03171
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06266
  • Stop Loss: 0.06422
  • Take Profit: 0.06119

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06422 - 0.06266 = 0.00156

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06266 - 0.06119 = 0.00147

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00147 / 0.00156 = 0.9423

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
322.1748 100 5141.3882 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00156

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00156 = 5128.21

Taille de position USD = 5128.21 x 0.06266 = 321.33

Donc, tu peux acheter 5128.21 avec un stoploss a 0.06422

Avec un position size USD de 321.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5128.21 x 0.00156 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5128.21 x 0.00147 = 7.54

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.54$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5128.21
  • Taille de position USD 321.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 7.54
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9423

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.35 % 7.56 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.49 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
7.56 $ 2.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1714 % 47.05 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06266 0.06422 0.06119 0.94 0.03171
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06266
  • Stop Loss: 0.06422
  • Take Profit: 0.06119

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06422 - 0.06266 = 0.00156

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06266 - 0.06119 = 0.00147

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00147 / 0.00156 = 0.9423

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05954
            [stop_loss] => 0.06422
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05876
            [stop_loss] => 0.06422
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 20:40:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.490% (0.0016)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.531% 0.6R -1.171% 0.5R 1.3× 12
2h +3.889% 1.6R -1.171% 0.5R 3.3× 24
4h +6.526% 2.6R -1.171% 0.5R 5.6× 48
8h +7.222% 2.9R -1.171% 0.5R 6.2× 96
12h ★ +9.504% 3.8R -1.171% 0.5R 8.1× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.