Long Trade on TRUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 609.03 TRUMP at 2.059$ per unit. Take profit: 2.0848 (1.28 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0454 (0.64 %)
Long Trade on TRUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 609.03 TRUMP at 2.059$ per unit. Take profit: 2.0848 (1.28 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0454 (0.64 %)
Position
Entry 2.0585$
Qty 609.0319 TRUMP
Size 1253.6923$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 2.0848 (+1.28%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 2.0454 (-0.64%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6461
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.84×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.90×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.91×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.759019 15m : 0.661285 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 12:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 31.6% |
| 1h | 31.6% |
| 4h | 33.3% |
| 24h | 84.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 33.3% | -0.10% |
| 4h | 38.6% | -0.65% |
| 24h | 68.4% | +2.51% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4721 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.80% · r3d: -4.23% · ema21_slope: 0.0520% · dist_ema21: -2.581% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3489 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.60% · rs_3d: -3.29% · beta_24h: 1.508 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1880 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.407 · trend: -56.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4403 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 66.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.962% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5208 | r1h: -0.498% · r4h: -0.820% · r1d: 2.91% · r3d: -2.05% · ema21_slope: 0.0840% · dist_ema21: 0.907% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4739 | rs_1h: -0.760% · rs_4h: 0.259% · rs_1d: 1.34% · rs_3d: -1.98% · beta_24h: 0.951 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4990 | rvol_20: 1.48× · zscore_50: 0.273 · trend: 42.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5210 | ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.685% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5002 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.946% · r1d: 2.17% · r3d: -1.55% · ema21_slope: -0.1125% · dist_ema21: 1.841% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5497 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.657% · rs_1d: 0.87% · rs_3d: -1.18% · beta_24h: 1.686 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4574 | rvol_20: 1.96× · zscore_50: -0.075 · trend: -28.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4624 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 58.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9922 | ATR%: 3.023% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.642% | 2.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.070% | 3.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.070% | 3.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.816% | 1.3R | -2.070% | 3.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.468% | 14.9R | -2.070% | 3.3R | 4.6× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.47 | bull_high | +12.90% | -0.59 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.31 | bull_high | +2.22% | -0.20 | 30/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.2ATR | near -0.8ATR | 0.59 | range_medium | +0.67% | +0.07 | 30/09 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.72 | range_low | +0.65% | -0.02 | 30/09 13:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177635 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
49%
|
mid 31b -0.3ATR | noisy_chop 33% | 0.532 |
— — |
0.59 | value | -2.74 ATR | — | #97286 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:28
|
|
4h
184279 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
35%
|
early 9b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 33% | 0.627 |
— — |
1.96 | above_value | -0.37 ATR | — | #100221 |
30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:17
|
|
1h
anchor
184673 |
↑ up | bull_high |
61%
|
early 2b 0.5ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.611 |
near 0.2ATR near -0.8ATR |
1.48 | above_value | -0.53 ATR | — | #100451 |
30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 13:10
|
|
15m
184750 |
↑ up | bull_high |
59%
|
early 4b -0.3ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.604 |
near 0.0ATR — |
0.39 | above_value | -0.53 ATR | — | #100451 |
30/09 13:00
upd 30/09 13:17
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 31b | — | 5.741×ATR | p50 | -0.328×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.541×ATR | p17 | +0.612×ATR | p41 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.674×ATR | p0 | +0.526×ATR | p37 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.948×ATR | p22 | -0.284×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
84051
0.000547023
84097
0.759019
83677.2
0.00559016
84145
0.661285
83774.9
0.00595719
84274
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2.0565
196
0.6975
0.61
0.3784
0.2022
0.5225
0.5961
0.3802
0.7649
0.622
0.6057
0.6433
0.5645
0.0719
0.041
1
0.4016
0.7675
0.4
0.6
1
4
1
0.5956
0.6605
3.4446
0.5
0.5961
2.0533
0.7675
0.5987
0.2941
0.58
0.0866
0.4331
0.5306
0.6602
0.5645
-3.3701
4.369
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 13:30:00 | 2.1244 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 13:40:00 | 2.0682 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 14:05:00 | 2.1031 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:30:00 | 2.0565 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 14:50:00 | 2.0856 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 15:25:00 | 2.0585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 16:10:00 | 2.1091 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 16:35:00 | 2.0679 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 17:05:00 | 2.0822 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:20:00 | 2.0573 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 23:30:00 | 2.0183 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 2.0951 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 03:15:00 | 2.0455 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 04:30:00 | 2.0737 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 06:45:00 | 2.0105 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 09:30:00 | 2.0725 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 13:30:00 | 2.1244 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:30:00 | 2.0565 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 16:00:00 | 2.1091 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:15:00 | 2.06 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 13:00:00 | 2.106 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 18:00:00 | 2.1582 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 12:00:00 | 2.0483 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 15:00:00 | 1.9438 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 1.9299 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:00:00 | 2.1054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 2.0022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 2.0951 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 06:00:00 | 2.0105 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:00:00 | 2.1244 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0585 | 2.0454 | 2.0848 | 2.01 | 1.7932 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0454 - 2.0585 = -0.0131
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0585 - 2.0848 = -0.0263
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0263 / -0.0131 = 2.0076
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1253.6923 | 100 | 609.0319 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0131 = -610.69
Taille de position USD = -610.69 x 2.0585 = -1257.11
Donc, tu peux acheter -610.69 avec un stoploss a 2.0454
Avec un position size USD de -1257.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -610.69 x -0.0131 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -610.69 x -0.0263 = 16.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.28 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -0.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6704 % | 105.34 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0585 | 2.0454 | 2.0848 | 2.01 | 1.7932 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0454 - 2.0585 = -0.0131
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0585 - 2.0848 = -0.0263
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0263 / -0.0131 = 2.0076
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.642% | 2.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.070% | 3.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.070% | 3.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.816% | 1.3R | -2.070% | 3.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.468% | 14.9R | -2.070% | 3.3R | 4.6× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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