Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 2255.78 SPX at 0.442$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4488 (1.61 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4381 (0.82 %)
Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 2255.78 SPX at 0.442$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4488 (1.61 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4381 (0.82 %)
Position
Entry 0.4417$
Qty 2255.7769 SPX
Size 996.2864$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4488 (+1.61%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.4381 (-0.82%)
SL $ 8.12$
RR 1.97
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8043
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.13×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.07×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.73×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.789338 15m : 0.711407 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 30/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 12:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 31.6% |
| 1h | 31.6% |
| 4h | 33.3% |
| 24h | 84.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 33.3% | -0.10% |
| 4h | 38.6% | -0.65% |
| 24h | 68.4% | +2.51% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1967 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.91% · r3d: -8.85% · ema21_slope: -0.5444% · dist_ema21: -11.001% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1880 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.11% · rs_3d: -7.92% · beta_24h: 1.938 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3226 | rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: -0.035 · trend: -6.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5115 | ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 55.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.664% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7429 | r1h: 1.696% · r4h: 1.300% · r1d: 9.79% · r3d: 2.18% · ema21_slope: 0.2304% · dist_ema21: 4.616% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7307 | rs_1h: 1.433% · rs_4h: 2.379% · rs_1d: 8.22% · rs_3d: 2.25% · beta_24h: 1.564 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3493 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: -0.092 · trend: 1.65% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6943 | ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 40.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.938% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4882 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.308% · r1d: 8.01% · r3d: 0.88% · ema21_slope: -0.2955% · dist_ema21: 3.060% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6345 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.019% · rs_1d: 6.72% · rs_3d: 1.25% · beta_24h: 2.410 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3478 | rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: -0.209 · trend: -30.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6332 | ADX: 31.2 (trend) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7828 | ATR%: 3.652% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.790% | 1.0R | -0.967% | 1.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.790% | 1.0R | -1.983% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.790% | 1.0R | -2.712% | 3.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.250% | 1.5R | -2.712% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.930% | 3.6R | -2.712% | 3.3R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
45%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bull_high | +12.90% | -0.97 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +2.22% | -0.20 | 30/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.58 | range_medium | +0.67% | +0.57 | 30/09 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | range_low | +0.65% | +0.38 | 30/09 13:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177631 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
45%
|
mid 25b -1.2ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.554 |
— — |
0.92 | value | -3.72 ATR | — | #97284 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:28
|
|
4h
184273 |
↓ down | bear_high |
58%
|
early 9b 0.8ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.389 |
— near -0.1ATR |
1.35 | above_value | -0.37 ATR | — | #100219 |
30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:17
|
|
1h
anchor
184671 |
↑ up | bull_high |
66%
|
late 2b 2.2ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.622 |
— near 0.1ATR |
1.04 | above_value | +1.54 ATR | — | #100449 |
30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 13:10
|
|
15m
184748 |
↑ up | bull_high |
55%
|
mid 10b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.354 |
— — |
0.78 | above_value | +1.54 ATR | — | #100449 |
30/09 13:00
upd 30/09 13:17
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 25b | — | 5.843×ATR | p67 | -1.168×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 3.09×ATR | p45 | +0.837×ATR | p51 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.021×ATR | p21 | +2.228×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 3.119×ATR | p64 | +1.296×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
84051.1
0.00059367
84101
0.789338
83677.2
0.00559016
84145
0.711407
83774.9
0.00595719
84274
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-27 15:00:00
[1] => 0.43258
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-27 18:00:00
[1] => 0.45331
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-28 03:00:00
[1] => 0.41818
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-28 12:00:00
[1] => 0.43197
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-28 14:00:00
[1] => 0.40761
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 02:00:00
[1] => 0.3923
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 12:00:00
[1] => 0.42184
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 17:00:00
[1] => 0.4044
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 06:00:00
[1] => 0.41803
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 16:00:00
[1] => 0.45284
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.495009274799
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.707652560821
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.3271535535727
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 23:30:00
[1] => 0.41314
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 02:00:00
[1] => 0.42576
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 03:15:00
[1] => 0.41888
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 04:15:00
[1] => 0.43014
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 06:15:00
[1] => 0.41803
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 08:30:00
[1] => 0.4221
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 09:30:00
[1] => 0.43055
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 12:15:00
[1] => 0.42572
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 13:15:00
[1] => 0.45041
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 16:15:00
[1] => 0.45284
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1044960692518
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.1318237339096
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.53950844785863
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 11:20:00
[1] => 0.43147
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 12:20:00
[1] => 0.42572
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 13:20:00
[1] => 0.45041
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 13:40:00
[1] => 0.4315
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 14:10:00
[1] => 0.44071
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 14:40:00
[1] => 0.43208
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 15:00:00
[1] => 0.44105
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 15:25:00
[1] => 0.43295
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 16:25:00
[1] => 0.45284
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 17:20:00
[1] => 0.44163
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4688631746312
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0067930167787457
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5383239363268
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.43208
196
0.7137
0.6478
0.3859
0.1824
0.5525
0.5661
0.3698
0.7746
0.6162
0.7573
0.6483
0.6681
0.1657
0.0786
1
1.5884
2.1238
0.35
0.65
1
4
1
0.6353
0.6656
3.8936
0.55
0.5661
2.2042
2.1238
0.2432
0.3467
0.68
0.224
0.396
0.5222
0.7985
0.6681
-2.9658
5.9705
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:23 | 0.44166000 | -0.009% |
| 2 | 13:46 | 0.44003000 | -0.378% |
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 11:20:00 | 0.43147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 12:20:00 | 0.42572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:20:00 | 0.45041 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 13:40:00 | 0.4315 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 14:10:00 | 0.44071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:40:00 | 0.43208 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 15:00:00 | 0.44105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 15:25:00 | 0.43295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 16:25:00 | 0.45284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:20:00 | 0.44163 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 23:30:00 | 0.41314 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 0.42576 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 03:15:00 | 0.41888 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 04:15:00 | 0.43014 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 06:15:00 | 0.41803 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 08:30:00 | 0.4221 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 09:30:00 | 0.43055 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 12:15:00 | 0.42572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:15:00 | 0.45041 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 16:15:00 | 0.45284 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 0.43258 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 18:00:00 | 0.45331 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 03:00:00 | 0.41818 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 12:00:00 | 0.43197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 14:00:00 | 0.40761 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.3923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 12:00:00 | 0.42184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.4044 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 06:00:00 | 0.41803 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 16:00:00 | 0.45284 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4417 | 0.4381 | 0.4488 | 1.97 | 0.3455 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4381 - 0.4417 = -0.0036
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4417 - 0.4488 = -0.0071
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0071 / -0.0036 = 1.9722
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 996.2864 | 100 | 2255.7769 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0036 = -2222.22
Taille de position USD = -2222.22 x 0.4417 = -981.55
Donc, tu peux acheter -2222.22 avec un stoploss a 0.4381
Avec un position size USD de -981.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2222.22 x -0.0036 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2222.22 x -0.0071 = 15.78
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.78$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.61 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.82 % | 8.12 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.12 $ | -0.82 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9667 % | 118.61 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4417 | 0.4381 | 0.4488 | 1.97 | 0.3455 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4381 - 0.4417 = -0.0036
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4417 - 0.4488 = -0.0071
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0071 / -0.0036 = 1.9722
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4488
[entry_price] => 0.4417
[stop_loss] => 0.43774
[rr_ratio] => 1.79
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 17:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4488
[entry_price] => 0.4417
[stop_loss] => 0.43738
[rr_ratio] => 1.64
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4488
[entry_price] => 0.4417
[stop_loss] => 0.43702
[rr_ratio] => 1.52
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4488
[entry_price] => 0.4417
[stop_loss] => 0.4363
[rr_ratio] => 1.31
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.790% | 1.0R | -0.967% | 1.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.790% | 1.0R | -1.983% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.790% | 1.0R | -2.712% | 3.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.250% | 1.5R | -2.712% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.930% | 3.6R | -2.712% | 3.3R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.