Long Trade on RUNE

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30 Sep 2026 at 14:15:10 hyperliquid

Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 166.95 RUNE at 0.823$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7751 (5.82 %)

RUNE LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 14:15 → 17:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.823$

Qty 166.9549 RUNE

Size 137.4005$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 137.4$

SL 0.7751 (-5.82%)

SL $ 8$

Status loss PnL -2.42% / -3.33$ MAE -4.27% MFE +0.32% 0.1R expires 30 Sep 17:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167844)

#1 / 74 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4682

Quality Score

0.887

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 14:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#1 / 74 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+6 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.82 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#1 / 74 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+6 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.82 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.04×ATR
4h	clear	—
1d	near	0.46×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	—	—	OK
1d	↓ down	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 13:00 Score : +4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 13:00

Score : +4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4481

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	+2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 28.2%

Impulse : -0.01

Participation : btc_led_risk_on

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	62.1%
1h	5.2%
4h	13.8%
24h	77.6%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	46.6%	+0.05%
4h	27.6%	-1.33%
24h	63.8%	+1.57%

Dispersion : 0.189

Universe : 58 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 14:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6741

Score SMA

0.7119

Rank

#20 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7683

Rank Norm SMA

0.8021

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7729	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.06% · r3d: -3.04% · ema21_slope: 2.4733% · dist_ema21: 20.700%
Force Relative	25%	0.6918	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.25% · rs_3d: -2.10% · beta_24h: 1.599
Volume	20%	0.6573	rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 1.121 · trend: 196.56%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9189	ADX: 50.3 (trend) · Chop: 12.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 6.926% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 14:00

Score brut

0.8873

Score SMA

0.6002

Rank

#1 / 74

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4682

Rank Norm SMA

0.6272

Calculé le

30/09/2026 14:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8386	r1h: 2.884% · r4h: 4.615% · r1d: 11.12% · r3d: 9.06% · ema21_slope: 0.2416% · dist_ema21: 6.408%
Force Relative	25%	0.9419	rs_1h: 3.277% · rs_4h: 5.347% · rs_1d: 9.97% · rs_3d: 9.71% · beta_24h: 1.492
Volume	20%	0.9717	rvol_20: 5.28× · zscore_50: 2.575 · trend: 128.24%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7571	ADX: 30.8 (trend) · Chop: 24.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.981% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.820% (0.0479)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.324%	0.1R	-4.273%	0.7R	0.1×	12
2h	+0.324%	0.1R	-4.273%	0.7R	0.1×	24
3h ★	+0.324%	0.1R	-4.273%	0.7R	0.1×	36
4h	+0.324%	0.1R	-4.273%	0.7R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.324%	0.1R	-4.820%	0.8R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.324%	0.1R	-4.820%	0.8R	0.1×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60

ML Pullback Score: 0.12

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	63%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	near 0.5ATR	0.69	bull_high	+12.90%	+1.00	28/09 20:00
4h	—
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 51%	late	—	near -1.0ATR	0.50	range_medium	+0.27%	+0.70	30/09 13:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.49	range_low	+0.27%	+0.43	30/09 13:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177502	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	63%	late 2b 2.2ATR	noisy_chop 46%	0.569	— near 0.5ATR	1.64	above_value	-2.07 ATR	—	#97250	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:21
4h	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
1h anchor 185025	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	58%	late 3b 2.8ATR	noisy_chop 51%	0.503	— near -1.0ATR	5.28	above_value	+5.10 ATR	—	#100570	30/09 13:00 upd 30/09 14:10
15m 184951	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	61%	late 12b 2.5ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.364	— —	1.68	value	+4.02 ATR	—	#100419	30/09 13:45 upd 30/09 14:01
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	2b	—	1.835×ATR	p0	+2.226×ATR	p87
1h	↑ up	late	3b	—	2.955×ATR	p64	+2.778×ATR	p93
15m	↑ up	late	12b	—	5.14×ATR	p78	+2.549×ATR	p91

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.77506286
atr: 0.01597238
expires_at: 2026-09-30T21:15:10+00:00

Details

rank: 2
total: 78
score: 0.84
confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.823	0.7751			0.6456

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.823
Stop Loss: 0.7751
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.7751 - 0.823 = -0.0479
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.823 - = 0.823
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.823 / -0.0479 = -17.1816

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
137.4005	100	166.9549	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0479

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0479 = -167.01

Taille de position USD = -167.01 x 0.823 = -137.45

Donc, tu peux acheter -167.01 avec un stoploss a 0.7751

Avec un position size USD de -137.45$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -167.01 x -0.0479 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -167.01 x 0.823 = -137.45

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -137.45$

Résumé

Taille de position -167.01
Taille de position USD -137.45
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -137.45
Risk-Reward Ratio -17.1816

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	137.4 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.82 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.33 $	-2.42

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.2734 %	73.42 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.823	0.7751			0.6456

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.823
Stop Loss: 0.7751
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.7751 - 0.823 = -0.0479
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.823 - = 0.823
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.823 / -0.0479 = -17.1816

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.823
            [stop_loss] => 0.77031
            [rr_ratio] => 15.62
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.823
            [stop_loss] => 0.76552
            [rr_ratio] => 14.32
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.823
            [stop_loss] => 0.76073
            [rr_ratio] => 13.22
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.823
            [stop_loss] => 0.75115
            [rr_ratio] => 11.45
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.820% (0.0479)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.324%	0.1R	-4.273%	0.7R	0.1×	12
2h	+0.324%	0.1R	-4.273%	0.7R	0.1×	24
3h ★	+0.324%	0.1R	-4.273%	0.7R	0.1×	36
4h	+0.324%	0.1R	-4.273%	0.7R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.324%	0.1R	-4.820%	0.8R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.324%	0.1R	-4.820%	0.8R	0.1×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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