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Short Trade on SKY

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30 Sep 2026 at 14:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SKY (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1854.92 SKY at 0.0781$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08244 (5.52 %)

SKY SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 14:15 → 17:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.07813$

Qty 1854.9219 SKY

Size 144.9269$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 144.93$

SL 0.08244 (-5.52%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status win PnL +1.23% / +1.78$ MAE -0.19% MFE +2.36% 0.4R expires 30 Sep 17:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167882)
#56 / 74 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1669

Quality Score
0.440
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 14:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#56 / 74 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#56 / 74 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.23×ATR
4h clear 0.75×ATR
1d clear 4.55×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 13:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4481
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.2%
Impulse : -0.01
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 62.1%
1h 5.2%
4h 13.8%
24h 77.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 46.6% +0.05%
4h 27.6% -1.33%
24h 63.8% +1.57%
Dispersion : 0.189
Universe : 58 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 14:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6948
Score SMA
0.6563
Rank
#16 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8171
Rank Norm SMA
0.6508
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8775 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.74% · r3d: 4.42% · ema21_slope: 1.1502% · dist_ema21: 13.893%
Force Relative 25% 0.7580 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.55% · rs_3d: 5.36% · beta_24h: 1.107
Volume 20% 0.6723 rvol_20: 1.68× · zscore_50: 1.252 · trend: 218.07%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7171 ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 29.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.552% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.4396
Score SMA
0.5790
Rank
#56 / 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1669
Rank Norm SMA
0.6235
Calculé le
30/09/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2744 r1h: -1.558% · r4h: -3.622% · r1d: -8.36% · r3d: 3.40% · ema21_slope: -0.1490% · dist_ema21: -3.675%
Force Relative 25% 0.3059 rs_1h: -1.165% · rs_4h: -2.891% · rs_1d: -9.52% · rs_3d: 4.05% · beta_24h: 1.140
Volume 20% 0.4997 rvol_20: 2.21× · zscore_50: 0.023 · trend: -31.71%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5231 ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 52.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.867% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4468
Score SMA
0.6468
Rank
#64 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4363
Rank Norm SMA
0.7370
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5459 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.911% · r1d: -7.20% · r3d: 5.09% · ema21_slope: 0.2585% · dist_ema21: -1.573%
Force Relative 25% 0.4024 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.201% · rs_1d: -8.49% · rs_3d: 5.46% · beta_24h: 0.462
Volume 20% 0.1685 rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.473 · trend: -55.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5782 ADX: 26.5 (trend) · Chop: 55.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6201 ATR%: 4.140% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.516% (0.0043)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.556% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.360% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +2.360% 0.4R -0.191% 0.0R 12.4× 36
4h +2.360% 0.4R -0.191% 0.0R 12.4× 48
8h +2.360% 0.4R -0.869% 0.2R 2.7× 96
12h +2.360% 0.4R -2.189% 0.4R 1.1× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.26
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 38% mid — near 0.1ATR 0.56 bull_high +12.90% +0.96 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.38 bull_high +2.22% +0.26 30/09 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
49%
noisy_chop 38% late near -1.2ATR — 0.36 range_medium +0.27% -0.59 30/09 13:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
60%
ranging_calm 53% late near -0.1ATR — 0.49 range_low +0.27% -0.37 30/09 13:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177655 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
57%
mid 13b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.665

—

near 0.1ATR

1.68 above_value +2.29 ATR — #97295 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
184303 		↑ up bull_high
52%
early 5b -0.4ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.652

—

—

0.20 above_value +0.68 ATR — #100229 30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:18
1h anchor
185064 		↔ neutral bear_high
49%
late 5b -2.3ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.523

near -1.2ATR

—

2.21 above_value +0.60 ATR — #100609 30/09 13:00
upd 30/09 14:12
15m
184988 		↓ down bear_high_confirmed
60%
late 3b -2.7ATR ranging_calm 53% 0.734

near -0.1ATR

—

0.70 above_value +1.09 ATR — #100459 30/09 13:45
upd 30/09 14:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 13b — 4.232×ATR p68 +1.426×ATR p76
4h ↓ down early 5b — 2.641×ATR p38 -0.374×ATR p23
1h ↓ down late 5b — 3.474×ATR p69 -2.336×ATR p93
15m ↓ down late 3b — 2.59×ATR p43 -2.742×ATR p97

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.08244385
  2. atr: 0.00143762
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T21:15:10+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 74
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.3113
  4. confidence: 0.948

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07813 0.08244 0.07194
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07813
  • Stop Loss: 0.08244
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08244 - 0.07813 = 0.00431

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07813 - = 0.07813

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07813 / 0.00431 = 18.1276

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
144.9269 100 1854.9219 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00431

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00431 = 1856.15

Taille de position USD = 1856.15 x 0.07813 = 145.02

Donc, tu peux acheter 1856.15 avec un stoploss a 0.08244

Avec un position size USD de 145.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1856.15 x 0.00431 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1856.15 x 0.07813 = 145.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 145.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1856.15
  • Taille de position USD 145.02
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 145.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 18.1276

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 144.93 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.52 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
1.78 $ 1.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1907 % 3.46 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07813 0.08244 0.07194
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07813
  • Stop Loss: 0.08244
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08244 - 0.07813 = 0.00431

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07813 - = 0.07813

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07813 / 0.00431 = 18.1276

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.516% (0.0043)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.556% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.360% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +2.360% 0.4R -0.191% 0.0R 12.4× 36
4h +2.360% 0.4R -0.191% 0.0R 12.4× 48
8h +2.360% 0.4R -0.869% 0.2R 2.7× 96
12h +2.360% 0.4R -2.189% 0.4R 1.1× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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