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Short Trade on W

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30 Sep 2026 at 14:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on W (momentum_rotation_score)

With 10784.14 W at 0.0131$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01385 (5.64 %)

W SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 14:15 → 17:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.01311$

Qty 10784.1419 W

Size 141.3801$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 141.38$

SL 0.01385 (-5.64%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR

Status loss PnL -2.14% / -3.02$ MAE -3.13% MFE +1.14% 0.2R expires 30 Sep 17:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167858)
#74 / 74 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0211

Quality Score
0.333
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 14:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#74 / 74 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.64 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#74 / 74 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.64 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.27×ATR
4h clear 2.86×ATR
1d clear 4.43×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 13:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4481
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.2%
Impulse : -0.01
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 62.1%
1h 5.2%
4h 13.8%
24h 77.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 46.6% +0.05%
4h 27.6% -1.33%
24h 63.8% +1.57%
Dispersion : 0.189
Universe : 58 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 14:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7053
Score SMA
0.7799
Rank
#14 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8415
Rank Norm SMA
0.9109
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8212 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.31% · r3d: 3.98% · ema21_slope: 1.9318% · dist_ema21: 15.450%
Force Relative 25% 0.7328 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.50% · rs_3d: 4.92% · beta_24h: 1.508
Volume 20% 0.7919 rvol_20: 2.34× · zscore_50: 1.450 · trend: 242.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7826 ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 16.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.573% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.3334
Score SMA
0.5885
Rank
#74 / 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0211
Rank Norm SMA
0.5908
Calculé le
30/09/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2692 r1h: -1.644% · r4h: -2.807% · r1d: -5.26% · r3d: -14.71% · ema21_slope: -0.1270% · dist_ema21: -2.850%
Force Relative 25% 0.2072 rs_1h: -1.252% · rs_4h: -2.075% · rs_1d: -6.41% · rs_3d: -14.07% · beta_24h: 1.498
Volume 20% 0.3168 rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: -0.322 · trend: -41.89%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4046 ADX: 9.2 (weak) · Chop: 59.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.054% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4218
Score SMA
0.6617
Rank
#66 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1479
Rank Norm SMA
0.7281
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5356 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.817% · r1d: -3.19% · r3d: -12.05% · ema21_slope: -0.0117% · dist_ema21: -2.328%
Force Relative 25% 0.4333 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.106% · rs_1d: -4.48% · rs_3d: -11.68% · beta_24h: 2.921
Volume 20% 0.2096 rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.122 · trend: -37.39%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5346 ADX: 31.2 (trend) · Chop: 66.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.3068 ATR%: 5.080% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.645% (0.0007)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.144% 0.2R -1.831% 0.3R 0.6× 12
2h +1.144% 0.2R -2.670% 0.5R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +1.144% 0.2R -3.127% 0.6R 0.4× 36
4h +1.144% 0.2R -3.127% 0.6R 0.4× 48
8h +1.144% 0.2R -4.043% 0.7R 0.3× 96
12h +1.144% 0.2R -5.034% 0.9R 0.2× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.54
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
72%
noisy_chop 47% mid — — 0.59 bull_high +12.90% +0.98 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.49 bull_high +2.22% -0.83 30/09 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 41% mid near 0.3ATR — 0.34 range_medium +0.27% -0.48 30/09 13:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive normal bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 49% mid near -1.2ATR — 0.49 range_low +0.27% -0.27 30/09 13:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177563 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
72%
mid 2b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.679

—

—

2.34 above_value -0.38 ATR — #97265 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:24
4h
184227 		↔ neutral bull_high
51%
early 7b -0.5ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.452

—

—

0.51 value -0.74 ATR — #100202 30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:14
1h anchor
185039 		↓ down bear_high
57%
mid 4b -1.5ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.508

near 0.3ATR

—

1.30 below_value -1.51 ATR — #100584 30/09 13:00
upd 30/09 14:11
15m
184965 		↓ down bear_high
62%
mid 7b -1.4ATR noisy_chop 49% 0.388

near -1.2ATR

—

0.68 value -0.69 ATR — #100433 30/09 13:45
upd 30/09 14:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 2b — 2.264×ATR p0 +1.378×ATR p70
4h ↓ down early 7b — 2.299×ATR p25 -0.482×ATR p30
1h ↓ down mid 4b — 2.663×ATR p63 -1.481×ATR p78
15m ↓ down mid 7b — 2.266×ATR p21 -1.4×ATR p70

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.01385183
  2. atr: 0.00024728
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T21:15:10+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 76
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.2822
  4. confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01311 0.01385 0.01464
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01311
  • Stop Loss: 0.01385
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01385 - 0.01311 = 0.00074

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01311 - = 0.01311

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01311 / 0.00074 = 17.7162

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
141.3801 100 10784.1419 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00074

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00074 = 10810.81

Taille de position USD = 10810.81 x 0.01311 = 141.73

Donc, tu peux acheter 10810.81 avec un stoploss a 0.01385

Avec un position size USD de 141.73$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10810.81 x 0.00074 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10810.81 x 0.01311 = 141.73

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 141.73$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10810.81
  • Taille de position USD 141.73
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 141.73
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 17.7162

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 141.38 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.64 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-3.02 $ -2.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.1274 % 55.41 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01311 0.01385 0.01464
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01311
  • Stop Loss: 0.01385
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01385 - 0.01311 = 0.00074

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01311 - = 0.01311

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01311 / 0.00074 = 17.7162

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.645% (0.0007)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.144% 0.2R -1.831% 0.3R 0.6× 12
2h +1.144% 0.2R -2.670% 0.5R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +1.144% 0.2R -3.127% 0.6R 0.4× 36
4h +1.144% 0.2R -3.127% 0.6R 0.4× 48
8h +1.144% 0.2R -4.043% 0.7R 0.3× 96
12h +1.144% 0.2R -5.034% 0.9R 0.2× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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