Short Trade on 2Z

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30 Sep 2026 at 15:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2740.91 2Z at 0.0614$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05984 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06429 (4.76 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 15:15 → 15:20 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 0.06137$

Qty 2740.9087 2Z

Size 168.2205$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.05984 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.19$

SL 0.06429 (-4.76%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.52

Status win PnL +2.49% / +4.19$ MAE -0.00% MFE +5.27% 1.1R expires 30 Sep 21:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167961)

#35 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1900

Quality Score

0.501

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 15:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#35 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.76 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#35 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.76 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.80×ATR
4h	near	0.32×ATR
1d	clear	2.94×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 14:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 14:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4485

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 31.6%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : mixed

% Positive (universe)

15m	57.6%
1h	8.5%
4h	37.3%
24h	44.1%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	62.7%	+0.05%
4h	35.6%	-0.25%
24h	39.0%	-0.29%

Dispersion : 0.148

Universe : 59 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 15:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5965

Score SMA

0.7061

Rank

#39 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5366

Rank Norm SMA

0.6931

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6868	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.91% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: 1.4248% · dist_ema21: 14.644%
Force Relative	25%	0.5774	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.11% · rs_3d: -8.23% · beta_24h: 1.086
Volume	20%	0.6656	rvol_20: 1.73× · zscore_50: 1.034 · trend: 206.04%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7531	ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 16.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.297% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 15:00

Score brut

0.5009

Score SMA

0.5764

Rank

#35 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1900

Rank Norm SMA

0.5864

Calculé le

30/09/2026 15:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2753	r1h: -1.455% · r4h: -2.874% · r1d: -8.17% · r3d: -8.23% · ema21_slope: -0.2106% · dist_ema21: -4.030%
Force Relative	25%	0.2137	rs_1h: -1.354% · rs_4h: -3.037% · rs_1d: -8.53% · rs_3d: -7.20% · beta_24h: 0.908
Volume	20%	0.9794	rvol_20: 3.76× · zscore_50: 2.960 · trend: 86.57%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5391	ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 56.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.031% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.4849

Score SMA

0.6601

Rank

#52 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2850

Rank Norm SMA

0.7333

Calculé le

30/09/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6216	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.612% · r1d: -5.48% · r3d: -3.54% · ema21_slope: 0.1227% · dist_ema21: -1.863%
Force Relative	25%	0.5207	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.323% · rs_1d: -6.77% · rs_3d: -3.17% · beta_24h: 2.532
Volume	20%	0.2224	rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.256 · trend: -35.53%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4675	ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 67.1 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.5363	ATR%: 4.391% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.758% (0.0029)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.391%	0.7R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+4.561%	1.0R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+5.271%	1.1R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+5.271%	1.1R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	72
8h	+7.601%	1.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h	+7.601%	1.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.44

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	near 0.2ATR	0.55	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.98	28/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 41%	early	near 0.3ATR	—	0.33	bull_high	+2.22%	-0.61	30/09 08:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	normal	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 39%	late	—	—	0.30	range_medium	+0.17%	-0.56	30/09 14:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 50%	late	—	—	0.51	range_low	+0.16%	-0.32	30/09 14:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177664	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	60%	mid 3b 1.4ATR	noisy_chop 45%	0.678	— near 0.2ATR	1.73	value	-2.13 ATR	—	#97299	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:29
4h 184312	↔ neutral	bull_high	53%	early 8b -0.5ATR	noisy_chop 41%	0.449	near 0.3ATR —	0.63	value	-3.89 ATR	—	#100232	30/09 08:00 upd 30/09 12:18
1h anchor 185444	↔ neutral	bear_high_confirmed	52%	late 16b -2.3ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.314	— —	3.76	below_value	-5.65 ATR	—	#100767	30/09 14:00 upd 30/09 15:11
15m 185368	↓ down	bear_high_confirmed	60%	late 7b -2.1ATR	noisy_chop 50%	0.442	— —	0.19	value	-4.68 ATR	—	#100612	30/09 14:45 upd 30/09 15:03
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	3b	—	2.621×ATR	p4	+1.443×ATR	p72
4h	↓ down	early	8b	—	2.143×ATR	p4	-0.502×ATR	p32
1h	↓ down	late	16b	—	4.137×ATR	p82	-2.321×ATR	p94
15m	↓ down	late	7b	—	4.801×ATR	p83	-2.055×ATR	p90

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.06429274
tp_price: 0.05983965
atr: 0.00116749
expires_at: 2026-10-01T01:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 77
total: 79
score: 0.2635
delta_2h: -0.1037
extension_atr: -2.07
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1851
confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.06137	0.06429	0.05984	0.52	0.03302

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.06137
Stop Loss: 0.06429
Take Profit: 0.05984

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.06429 - 0.06137 = 0.00292
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.06137 - 0.05984 = 0.00153
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00153 / 0.00292 = 0.524

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
168.2205	100	2740.9087	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00292

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00292 = 2739.73

Taille de position USD = 2739.73 x 0.06137 = 168.14

Donc, tu peux acheter 2739.73 avec un stoploss a 0.06429

Avec un position size USD de 168.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2739.73 x 0.00292 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2739.73 x 0.00153 = 4.19

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.19$

Résumé

Taille de position 2739.73
Taille de position USD 168.14
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.19
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.524

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	4.19 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.76 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
4.19 $	2.49

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.06137	0.06429	0.05984	0.52	0.03302

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.06137
Stop Loss: 0.06429
Take Profit: 0.05984

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.06429 - 0.06137 = 0.00292
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.06137 - 0.05984 = 0.00153
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00153 / 0.00292 = 0.524

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.758% (0.0029)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.391%	0.7R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+4.561%	1.0R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+5.271%	1.1R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+5.271%	1.1R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	72
8h	+7.601%	1.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h	+7.601%	1.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	144

computed 2 weeks ago

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