Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 1115.61 ETHFI at 0.774$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7887 (1.86 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7672 (0.92 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 1115.61 ETHFI at 0.774$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7887 (1.86 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7672 (0.92 %)
Position
Entry 0.7743$
Qty 1115.6107 ETHFI
Size 863.8509$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7887 (+1.86%)
TP $ 16.06$
SL 0.7672 (-0.92%)
SL $ 7.92$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7583
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.53×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.518012 15m : 0.495857 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 33.9% |
| 1h | 69.5% |
| 4h | 23.7% |
| 24h | 50.9% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 33.9% | -0.11% |
| 4h | 30.5% | -0.92% |
| 24h | 44.1% | +0.02% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9190 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 9.09% · r3d: 6.04% · ema21_slope: 0.9260% · dist_ema21: 13.609% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8699 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 8.89% · rs_3d: 6.98% · beta_24h: 1.052 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4228 | rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.688 · trend: -0.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6666 | ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 48.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.139% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5963 | r1h: -1.755% · r4h: 1.334% · r1d: 0.64% · r3d: 9.49% · ema21_slope: 0.1038% · dist_ema21: 1.087% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5466 | rs_1h: -1.653% · rs_4h: 1.170% · rs_1d: 0.27% · rs_3d: 10.52% · beta_24h: 1.132 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3986 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: -0.091 · trend: 44.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6738 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.151% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7526 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.289% · r1d: -1.06% · r3d: 10.66% · ema21_slope: 0.3982% · dist_ema21: 4.770% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7083 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.999% · rs_1d: -2.36% · rs_3d: 11.03% · beta_24h: 2.262 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5727 | rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 1.080 · trend: 26.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7007 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 37.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6763 | ATR%: 3.971% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.721% | 0.8R | -2.719% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.721% | 0.8R | -2.719% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.721% | 0.8R | -3.208% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.667% | 1.8R | -3.208% | 3.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.667% | 1.8R | -3.208% | 3.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.92 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +2.22% | +0.36 | 30/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.48 | range_medium | +0.17% | -0.03 | 30/09 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.50 | range_low | -0.06% | +0.12 | 30/09 15:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177580 |
↑ up | bull_high |
59%
|
mid 13b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.679 |
— near -0.3ATR |
1.19 | above_value | +2.84 ATR | — | #97269 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:25
|
|
4h
184233 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
early 6b 1.1ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.630 |
— — |
1.75 | above_value | +3.63 ATR | — | #100205 |
30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:15
|
|
1h
anchor
185420 |
↑ up | bull_high |
60%
|
early 1b 0.5ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.723 |
near 0.4ATR — |
1.00 | above_value | +3.68 ATR | — | #100743 |
30/09 14:00
upd 30/09 15:10
|
|
15m
185498 |
↑ up | bull_high |
63%
|
early 6b -0.1ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.823 |
near -0.1ATR — |
0.25 | above_value | +3.68 ATR | — | #100743 |
30/09 15:00
upd 30/09 15:17
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 2.842×ATR | p0 | +1.289×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.496×ATR | p0 | +1.086×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.17×ATR | p37 | +0.539×ATR | p28 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 0.01×ATR | p0 | -0.098×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
84036.9
-0.0035935
83735
0.518012
83785.9
-0.000608683
83735
0.495857
83786.9
0.00133697
83899
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-27 04:00:00
[1] => 0.71779
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-27 07:00:00
[1] => 0.75548
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-27 15:00:00
[1] => 0.69672
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-28 00:00:00
[1] => 0.73021
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-28 09:00:00
[1] => 0.66289
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-28 17:00:00
[1] => 0.72056
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 02:00:00
[1] => 0.67069
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 14:00:00
[1] => 0.822
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 07:00:00
[1] => 0.75054
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 17:00:00
[1] => 0.81821
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.3191845614207
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3075652197085
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.0161750206518
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 23:30:00
[1] => 0.76605
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 01:00:00
[1] => 0.79009
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 05:30:00
[1] => 0.77504
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 07:00:00
[1] => 0.75054
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 10:30:00
[1] => 0.77187
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 11:00:00
[1] => 0.75814
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 13:30:00
[1] => 0.79361
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 14:30:00
[1] => 0.76519
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 17:15:00
[1] => 0.81821
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 19:15:00
[1] => 0.77247
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.3788147297149
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.22395691742074
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.9212655507657
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 13:30:00
[1] => 0.79361
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 13:40:00
[1] => 0.76765
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 14:05:00
[1] => 0.78442
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 14:30:00
[1] => 0.76519
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 15:25:00
[1] => 0.76686
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 15:30:00
[1] => 0.77828
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 17:20:00
[1] => 0.81821
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 17:30:00
[1] => 0.78363
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 18:05:00
[1] => 0.78147
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-30 19:15:00
[1] => 0.77247
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.3629263880911
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.24078604994368
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 24
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1650937900501
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.81821
197
0.7114
0.6298
0.318
0.2005
0.4142
1
0.3824
0.5448
0.6683
0.3131
0.6015
0.7541
0.0901
0.0805
1
0.524
1.6488
0.6
0.4
1
2
1
0.599
0.6528
3.1514
0.6
1.8656
3.3717
1.6488
0.3845
0.3374
0.42
-0.2083
0.3806
0.4898
0.6132
0.7541
-2.5283
7.7522
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 13:30:00 | 0.79361 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 13:40:00 | 0.76765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 14:05:00 | 0.78442 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:30:00 | 0.76519 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 15:25:00 | 0.76686 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 15:30:00 | 0.77828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:20:00 | 0.81821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:30:00 | 0.78363 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 18:05:00 | 0.78147 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 19:15:00 | 0.77247 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 23:30:00 | 0.76605 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 01:00:00 | 0.79009 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 05:30:00 | 0.77504 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.75054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 10:30:00 | 0.77187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 11:00:00 | 0.75814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:30:00 | 0.79361 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:30:00 | 0.76519 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 17:15:00 | 0.81821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 19:15:00 | 0.77247 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 04:00:00 | 0.71779 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 07:00:00 | 0.75548 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 0.69672 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 0.73021 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 09:00:00 | 0.66289 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 17:00:00 | 0.72056 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.67069 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:00:00 | 0.822 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.75054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 17:00:00 | 0.81821 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7743 | 0.7672 | 0.7887 | 2.03 | 0.676 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7672 - 0.7743 = -0.0071
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7743 - 0.7887 = -0.0144
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0144 / -0.0071 = 2.0282
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 863.8509 | 100 | 1115.6107 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0071 = -1126.76
Taille de position USD = -1126.76 x 0.7743 = -872.45
Donc, tu peux acheter -1126.76 avec un stoploss a 0.7672
Avec un position size USD de -872.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1126.76 x -0.0071 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1126.76 x -0.0144 = 16.23
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.23$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.86 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.92 % | 7.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.92 $ | -0.92 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3703 % | 149.43 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7743 | 0.7672 | 0.7887 | 2.03 | 0.676 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7672 - 0.7743 = -0.0071
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7743 - 0.7887 = -0.0144
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0144 / -0.0071 = 2.0282
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7887
[entry_price] => 0.7743
[stop_loss] => 0.76649
[rr_ratio] => 1.84
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7887
[entry_price] => 0.7743
[stop_loss] => 0.76578
[rr_ratio] => 1.69
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7887
[entry_price] => 0.7743
[stop_loss] => 0.76507
[rr_ratio] => 1.56
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7887
[entry_price] => 0.7743
[stop_loss] => 0.76365
[rr_ratio] => 1.35
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 19:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.721% | 0.8R | -2.719% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.721% | 0.8R | -2.719% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.721% | 0.8R | -3.208% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.667% | 1.8R | -3.208% | 3.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.667% | 1.8R | -3.208% | 3.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.