Long Trade on RUNE (CatchTheWave)
With 931.55 RUNE at 0.797$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8144 (2.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7886 (1.08 %)
Long Trade on RUNE (CatchTheWave)
With 931.55 RUNE at 0.797$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8144 (2.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7886 (1.08 %)
Position
Entry 0.7972$
Qty 931.5486 RUNE
Size 742.6119$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8144 (+2.16%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.7886 (-1.08%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5045
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.46×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.476304 15m : 0.561747 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 14:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 33.9% |
| 1h | 69.5% |
| 4h | 23.7% |
| 24h | 50.9% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 33.9% | -0.11% |
| 4h | 30.5% | -0.92% |
| 24h | 44.1% | +0.02% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7729 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.06% · r3d: -3.04% · ema21_slope: 2.4733% · dist_ema21: 20.700% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6918 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.25% · rs_3d: -2.10% · beta_24h: 1.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6573 | rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 1.121 · trend: 196.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9189 | ADX: 50.3 (trend) · Chop: 12.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.926% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6805 | r1h: -2.479% · r4h: 2.914% · r1d: 6.83% · r3d: 6.24% · ema21_slope: 0.2800% · dist_ema21: 3.416% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5995 | rs_1h: -2.378% · rs_4h: 2.750% · rs_1d: 6.46% · rs_3d: 7.26% · beta_24h: 1.543 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9445 | rvol_20: 3.93× · zscore_50: 2.168 · trend: 153.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7660 | ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 25.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.292% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.711% | 0.7R | -0.452% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.868% | 0.8R | -0.452% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.330% | 1.2R | -0.452% | 0.4R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.628% | 2.4R | -1.740% | 1.6R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.628% | 2.4R | -2.011% | 1.9R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.90% | +1.00 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.50 | range_medium | +0.17% | +0.58 | 30/09 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.06% | +0.23 | 30/09 15:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177502 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
late 2b 2.2ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.569 |
— near 0.5ATR |
1.64 | above_value | -2.07 ATR | — | #97250 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:21
|
|
4h
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
|
1h
anchor
185402 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
early 1b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.816 |
near 0.0ATR — |
3.93 | value | +1.01 ATR | — | #100725 |
30/09 14:00
upd 30/09 15:09
|
|
15m
185480 |
↑ up | bull_high |
67%
|
early 1b -0.1ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.820 |
— — |
0.12 | value | +1.01 ATR | — | #100725 |
30/09 15:00
upd 30/09 15:16
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.835×ATR | p0 | +2.226×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.688×ATR | p18 | +1.297×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.94×ATR | p8 | -0.069×ATR | p3 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
84047.8
-0.00368674
83738
0.476304
83785.9
-0.000608683
83735
0.561747
83786.9
0.00133697
83899
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0.84011
197
0.75
0.6628
0.3124
0.2248
0.3842
1
0.3128
0.5812
0.6921
0.94
0.7321
0.8063
0.1643
0.087
1
1.1159
1.8259
0.55
0.45
1
2
1
0.5505
0.7244
3.6086
0.55
2.0947
3.9929
1.8259
0.1868
0.3133
0.9
0.861
0.5553
0.5219
0.778
0.8063
-2.0191
8.404
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:28 | 0.79718000 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 15:51 | 0.79753000 | +0.041% |
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 13:40:00 | 0.78366 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 14:05:00 | 0.79534 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:45:00 | 0.78083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 15:25:00 | 0.78585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 16:30:00 | 0.81043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 16:45:00 | 0.80303 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 17:45:00 | 0.84011 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 18:00:00 | 0.81782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 18:45:00 | 0.78783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 19:20:00 | 0.79565 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 21:00:00 | 0.75357 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 00:00:00 | 0.74285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 03:15:00 | 0.74485 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 05:00:00 | 0.76205 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.74514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 10:30:00 | 0.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 13:00:00 | 0.80913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:45:00 | 0.78083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 17:45:00 | 0.84011 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 18:45:00 | 0.78783 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 0.76681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 02:00:00 | 0.70801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 09:00:00 | 0.70607 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 17:00:00 | 0.80358 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 06:00:00 | 0.7995 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:00:00 | 0.73837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 00:00:00 | 0.74285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 10:00:00 | 0.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:00:00 | 0.84011 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7972 | 0.7886 | 0.8144 | 2 | 0.637 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7886 - 0.7972 = -0.0086000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7972 - 0.8144 = -0.0172
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0172 / -0.0086000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 742.6119 | 100 | 931.5486 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0086000000000001 = -930.23
Taille de position USD = -930.23 x 0.7972 = -741.58
Donc, tu peux acheter -930.23 avec un stoploss a 0.7886
Avec un position size USD de -741.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -930.23 x -0.0086000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -930.23 x -0.0172 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.16 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.08 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 2.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4516 % | 41.86 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7972 | 0.7886 | 0.8144 | 2 | 0.637 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7886 - 0.7972 = -0.0086000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7972 - 0.8144 = -0.0172
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0172 / -0.0086000000000001 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.711% | 0.7R | -0.452% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.868% | 0.8R | -0.452% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.330% | 1.2R | -0.452% | 0.4R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.628% | 2.4R | -1.740% | 1.6R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.628% | 2.4R | -2.011% | 1.9R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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